Thisted FC vs VSK Århus• 2. Division, Denmark

#111.0:1.62-2FT18/101.0:1.6#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.931XBX3.43PIN22.31PINMargin at best6.6%Books6Markets49Rating36 · 64Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 06:10 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.73	3.43	2.31	9.1%
BetVictor	2.90	3.40	2.20	9.3%
1xBet	2.93	3.28	2.18	10.5%
Bet365	2.80	3.40	2.15	11.6%
Marathonbet	2.86	3.28	2.16	11.7%
William Hill	2.80	3.10	2.25	12.4%
Best of all books	2.93	3.43	2.31	6.6%
Average	2.84	3.31	2.21	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Thisted FCVSK Århus

Last 10#11Table position#30.50Points per game1.585Form pts · last 551.0Goals for · last 51.01.6Goals against · last 51.650Attack rating5050Defence rating5044Form rating5615H2H rating8520Goals model8036Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 00:03 UTC

Thisted FC

1W 3D 6L · goals 9:18 · per match 0.9 for, 1.8 against

18 Oct	H	VSK Århus	2-2	D
10 Oct	A	HIK	1-1	D
4 Oct	H	Roskilde	0-2	L
26 Sep	A	B 93	0-1	L
20 Sep	H	Brabrand	3-1	W
13 Sep	A	Naestved	1-3	L
6 Sep	H	Nykobing FC	0-3	L
3 Sep	H	Sonderjyske	0-2	L
28 Aug	A	Fremad Amager	2-2	D
21 Aug	H	Skive	0-1	L

VSK Århus

2W 4D 4L · goals 10:14 · per match 1.0 for, 1.4 against

18 Oct	A	Thisted FC	2-2	D
11 Oct	A	Nykobing FC	1-3	L
2 Oct	H	Brabrand	0-2	L
26 Sep	H	Skive	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Middelfart	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	B 93	2-2	D
9 Sep	H	Lyngby	0-2	L
5 Sep	A	Roskilde	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	FA 2000	0-0	D
26 Aug	A	Marienlyst	3-1	W

Head to head

0Thisted FC wins

5draws

5VSK Århus wins

10 meetings · goals 11:19 · last 10: 0W 5D 5L for Thisted FC

15 Aug 20262. Division	2. Division	VSK Århus3-1Thisted FC
7 Mar 20262. Division	2. Division	VSK Århus0-0Thisted FC
16 Aug 20252. Division	2. Division	Thisted FC2-2VSK Århus
5 Mar 2022Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Thisted FC1-2VSK Århus
31 Aug 2021DBU Pokalen	DBU Pokalen	VSK Århus3-2Thisted FC
30 May 20212nd Division - Group 1	2nd Division - Group 1	Thisted FC1-1VSK Århus
24 Oct 20202nd Division - Group 1	2nd Division - Group 1	VSK Århus2-2Thisted FC
22 Aug 2020Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Thisted FC1-1VSK Århus
12 Oct 20192nd Division - Group 2	2nd Division - Group 2	VSK Århus1-0Thisted FC
4 Aug 20192nd Division - Group 2	2nd Division - Group 2	Thisted FC1-4VSK Århus

2. Division table2nd Divisionupdated 23 Oct 03:10 UTC

In the 2. Division table, Thisted FC sit 11th with 6 points from 12 games, while VSK Århus are 3rd with 19 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Nykobing FC	12	7	4	1	30:15	+15	25
2	Roskilde	12	5	7	0	24:13	+11	22
3	VSK Århus	12	5	4	3	17:12	+5	19
4	Naestved	12	4	7	1	17:14	+3	19
5	Middelfart	12	4	6	2	22:16	+6	18
6	B 93	12	5	3	4	20:16	+4	18
7	Skive	12	5	2	5	15:15	0	17
8	Fremad Amager	12	4	5	3	16:18	-2	17
9	Brabrand	12	3	3	6	13:19	-6	12
10	HIK	12	3	3	6	10:19	-9	12
11	Thisted FC	12	1	3	8	11:24	-13	6
12	FA 2000	12	1	3	8	11:25	-14	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg132%2.84X27%3.32241%2.21

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.20 → 2.85 -10.9%X3.35 → 3.32 -0.9%22.08 → 2.20 +5.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Pinnacle	1.88	1.90	5.8%
1xBet	1.81	1.86	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.81	1.86	9.0%
BetVictor	1.78	1.89	9.1%
Best of all books	1.88	2.00	3.2%
Average	1.82	1.90	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
William Hill	1.67	2.05	8.7%
1xBet	1.65	2.08	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.65	2.05	9.4%
Best of all books	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Average	1.66	2.08	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Thisted FC 10%Draw 45%VSK Århus 45%

The statistical model rated Thisted FC at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and VSK Århus at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.84 | 3.32 | 2.21, which imply roughly 30.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 2. Division table: Thisted FC are 11th (6 pts, 11-24 goals), VSK Århus 3rd (19 pts, 17-12).

Over their last five matches, Thisted FC averaged 1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; VSK Århus averaged 1 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or VSK Århus.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.84	3.32	2.21

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.55	1.33	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
2.17	1.62

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.66	2.08

1st half

1	X	2
3.47	2.16	2.79

2nd half

1	X	2
3.19	2.45	2.53

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.75	14.5	27.3
HT X	6.83	5.20	5.43
HT 2	31.7	14.5	3.45

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.11	12.0	1.80

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	11.1
1.5	1.23	3.59
2.5	1.82	1.90
3.5	3.03	1.33
4.5	5.82	1.09
5.5	9.50	1.04
6.5	13.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.00
1.25	1.11	4.90
1.75	1.30	3.10
2	1.39	2.70
2.25	1.61	2.15
2.75	2.04	1.68
3	2.42	1.47
3.25	2.70	1.39
3.75	3.75	1.19
4	5.15	1.10
4.25	5.51	1.08
4.75	7.70	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.77	1.42
-0.25	2.46	1.47
0	2.12	1.63
+0.25	1.79	1.92
+0.5	1.61	2.22
+0.75	1.42	2.61

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.07	1.04
-1.5	6.23	1.08
-1.25	5.78	1.09
-1	5.28	1.11
-0.75	3.57	1.23
+1	1.26	3.48
+1.25	1.21	3.83
+1.5	1.17	4.25
+1.75	1.10	5.63
+2	1.01	8.80
+2.25	1.01	8.80
+2.5	1.02	9.00

Next 2. Division matches

23 Oct	FA 2000 – HIK
23 Oct	Roskilde – Fremad Amager
24 Oct	VSK Århus – Naestved
24 Oct	Middelfart – Skive
24 Oct	B 93 – Brabrand
25 Oct	Nykobing FC – Thisted FC

All 2. Division fixtures and the table

Latest 2. Division results

17 Oct	Middelfart 3-3 Roskilde
17 Oct	Skive 2-0 FA 2000
17 Oct	Brabrand 0-1 HIK
16 Oct	Fremad Amager 3-2 Nykobing FC
16 Oct	Naestved 2-1 B 93
11 Oct	Nykobing FC 3-1 VSK Århus