Middelfart vs Roskilde• 2. Division, Denmark

#51.0:1.23-3FT17/102.4:0.6#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.35B365X3.50B36522.82PINMargin at best6.6%Books6Markets50Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 10:28 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.32	3.40	2.84	7.7%
BetVictor	2.30	3.40	2.75	9.3%
Bet365	2.35	3.50	2.50	11.1%
1xBet	2.29	3.28	2.66	11.7%
Marathonbet	2.29	3.28	2.66	11.7%
William Hill	2.25	3.10	2.75	13.1%
Best of all books	2.35	3.50	2.84	6.3%
Average	2.30	3.33	2.69	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MiddelfartRoskilde

Last 10#5Table position#21.50Points per game1.836Form pts · last 5111.0Goals for · last 52.41.2Goals against · last 50.629Attack rating7133Defence rating6735Form rating6538H2H rating6254Goals model4639Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 18:01 UTC

Middelfart

3W 6D 1L · goals 17:16 · per match 1.7 for, 1.6 against

17 Oct	H	Roskilde	3-3	D
10 Oct	A	B 93	1-3	L
3 Oct	H	FA 2000	1-0	W
27 Sep	A	Naestved	2-2	D
19 Sep	H	VSK Århus	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Skive	0-0	D
9 Sep	A	Nykobing FC	5-5	D
5 Sep	H	Fremad Amager	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	HIK	2-1	W
25 Aug	A	OKS	1-0	W

Roskilde

6W 4D 0L · goals 25:9 · per match 2.5 for, 0.9 against

17 Oct	A	Middelfart	3-3	D
10 Oct	H	Skive	3-0	W
4 Oct	A	Thisted FC	2-0	W
25 Sep	A	HIK	1-1	D
18 Sep	H	FA 2000	5-1	W
13 Sep	A	Brabrand	1-1	D
9 Sep	A	Frem	2-1	W
5 Sep	H	VSK Århus	1-0	W
28 Aug	A	Nykobing FC	2-2	D
25 Aug	A	Såby	5-0	W

Head to head

1Middelfart wins

2draws

2Roskilde wins

5 meetings · goals 4:5 · last 5: 1W 2D 2L for Middelfart

15 Aug 20262. Division	2. Division	Roskilde1-1Middelfart
18 May 20242. Division	2. Division	Roskilde0-0Middelfart
27 Apr 20242. Division	2. Division	Middelfart2-0Roskilde
9 Mar 20242. Division	2. Division	Roskilde3-1Middelfart
7 Oct 20232. Division	2. Division	Middelfart0-1Roskilde

2. Division table2nd Divisionupdated 23 Oct 03:10 UTC

In the 2. Division table, Middelfart sit 5th with 18 points from 12 games, while Roskilde are 2nd with 22 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Nykobing FC	12	7	4	1	30:15	+15	25
2	Roskilde	12	5	7	0	24:13	+11	22
3	VSK Århus	12	5	4	3	17:12	+5	19
4	Naestved	12	4	7	1	17:14	+3	19
5	Middelfart	12	4	6	2	22:16	+6	18
6	B 93	12	5	3	4	20:16	+4	18
7	Skive	12	5	2	5	15:15	0	17
8	Fremad Amager	12	4	5	3	16:18	-2	17
9	Brabrand	12	3	3	6	13:19	-6	12
10	HIK	12	3	3	6	10:19	-9	12
11	Thisted FC	12	1	3	8	11:24	-13	6
12	FA 2000	12	1	3	8	11:25	-14	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.30X27%3.33234%2.69

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.55 → 2.29 -10.2%X3.25 → 3.32 +2.2%22.50 → 2.68 +7.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.75	2.07	5.5%
Bet365	1.73	2.08	5.9%
1xBet	1.70	1.99	9.1%
BetVictor	1.70	1.99	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.70	1.99	9.1%
Best of all books	1.75	2.08	5.2%
Average	1.72	2.02	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
BetVictor	1.57	2.25	8.1%
1xBet	1.57	2.23	8.5%
William Hill	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.19	9.4%
Best of all books	1.67	2.25	4.3%
Average	1.59	2.19	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Middelfart 10%Draw 45%Roskilde 45%

The statistical model rated Middelfart at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Roskilde at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.30 | 3.33 | 2.69, which imply roughly 30% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 2. Division table: Middelfart are 5th (18 pts, 22-16 goals), Roskilde 2nd (22 pts, 24-13).

Over their last five matches, Middelfart averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Roskilde averaged 2.4 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Roskilde.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.30	3.33	2.69

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.37	1.50	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.71	2.00

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.59	2.19

1st half

1	X	2
2.88	2.21	3.25

2nd half

1	X	2
2.61	2.51	2.96

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.65	14.0	28.3
HT X	5.83	5.50	6.50
HT 2	26.0	14.0	4.38

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.88	12.9	1.98

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	9.80
1.5	1.21	3.87
2.5	1.72	2.02
3.5	2.75	1.38
4.5	5.03	1.13
5.5	9.10	1.02
6.5	12.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.90
1	1.01	8.70
1.25	1.10	5.05
1.75	1.25	3.35
2	1.32	3.00
2.25	1.51	2.33
2.75	1.89	1.81
3	2.17	1.60
3.25	2.44	1.47
3.75	3.15	1.27
4	4.15	1.16
4.25	4.50	1.13
4.75	5.90	1.07
5	8.20	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.68	1.41
-0.5	2.29	1.59
-0.25	2.00	1.72
0	1.71	2.03
+0.25	1.52	2.36
+0.5	1.42	2.69

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.70	1.01
-2	8.00	1.02
-1.75	5.55	1.10
-1.5	4.28	1.17
-1.25	3.91	1.20
-1	3.50	1.25
+0.75	1.30	3.20
+1	1.16	4.40
+1.25	1.14	4.87
+1.5	1.12	5.30
+1.75	1.07	6.73
+2.5	1.01	9.45

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	2.00	1.80

Next 2. Division matches

23 Oct	FA 2000 – HIK
23 Oct	Roskilde – Fremad Amager
24 Oct	VSK Århus – Naestved
24 Oct	Middelfart – Skive
24 Oct	B 93 – Brabrand
25 Oct	Nykobing FC – Thisted FC

All 2. Division fixtures and the table

Latest 2. Division results

18 Oct	Thisted FC 2-2 VSK Århus
17 Oct	Skive 2-0 FA 2000
17 Oct	Brabrand 0-1 HIK
16 Oct	Fremad Amager 3-2 Nykobing FC
16 Oct	Naestved 2-1 B 93
11 Oct	Nykobing FC 3-1 VSK Århus