Thionville Lusitanos vs Versailles• Ligue 3, France

#90.8:2.01-2FT17/10 · Stadium Plaine1.4:0.8#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.71PINX3.47PIN22.00PINMargin at best5.8%Books6Markets76Rating28 · 73Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 10:25 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.73	3.49	2.01	5.2%
BetVictor	3.60	3.40	1.91	9.5%
1xBet	3.56	3.32	1.91	10.6%
Bet365	3.50	3.40	1.90	10.6%
Marathonbet	3.48	3.32	1.89	11.8%
William Hill	3.40	3.10	1.91	14.0%
Best of all books	3.73	3.49	2.01	5.2%
Average	3.54	3.34	1.92	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Thionville LusitanosVersailles

Last 10#9Table position#51.33Points per game1.782Form pts · last 5100.8Goals for · last 51.42.0Goals against · last 50.836Attack rating6429Defence rating7117Form rating830H2H rating028Goals model7228Overall rating73

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:02 UTC

Thionville Lusitanos

3W 4D 3L · goals 16:16 · per match 1.6 for, 1.6 against

3 Oct	A	Le Puy Foot	0-1	L
26 Sep	H	La Roche VF	1-2	L
19 Sep	A	Fleury 91	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Rouen	0-4	L
5 Sep	A	Concarneau	2-2	D
29 Aug	H	Gobelins	1-1	D
20 Aug	A	Bourg-en-bresse 01	2-0	W
14 Aug	H	Caen	4-3	W
7 Aug	A	Aubagne	3-0	W
18 Jul	H	Nancy	2-2	D

Versailles

6W 1D 3L · goals 15:13 · per match 1.5 for, 1.3 against

3 Oct	H	Valenciennes	1-0	W
26 Sep	A	Villefranche	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Quevilly	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Orleans	4-0	W
5 Sep	H	Cannes	0-3	L
29 Aug	A	Amiens	0-3	L
20 Aug	A	Bastia	3-2	W
14 Aug	H	Le Puy Foot	1-0	W
7 Aug	A	La Roche VF	2-3	L
25 Jul	H	Fleury 91	2-1	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Thionville Lusitanos and Versailles on record.

Ligue 3 tableNationalupdated 17 Oct 14:42 UTC

In the Ligue 3 table, Thionville Lusitanos sit 9th with 12 points from 9 games, while Versailles are 5th with 16 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	La Roche VF	10	6	3	1	16:10	+6	21
2	Rouen	9	6	2	1	17:5	+12	20
3	Caen	10	6	0	4	19:13	+6	18
4	Concarneau	9	4	4	1	12:8	+4	16
5	Versailles	9	5	1	3	13:12	+1	16
6	Amiens	9	4	3	2	12:3	+9	15
7	Cannes	9	3	6	0	11:4	+7	15
8	Le Puy Foot	9	4	1	4	11:9	+2	13
9	Thionville Lusitanos	9	3	3	3	14:14	0	12
10	Fleury 91	9	3	3	3	15:12	+3	12
11	Gobelins	9	3	3	3	7:9	-2	12
12	Bastia	9	3	2	4	7:11	-4	11
13	Quevilly	9	2	4	3	8:12	-4	10
14	Orleans	9	2	3	4	7:11	-4	9
15	Valenciennes	9	2	2	5	9:14	-5	8
16	Aubagne	9	2	1	6	6:12	-6	7
17	Bourg-en-bresse 01	9	1	2	6	5:15	-10	5
18	Villefranche	9	1	1	7	7:22	-15	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.55X27%3.34247%1.92

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.34 → 3.54 +6.0%X3.43 → 3.34 -2.6%21.96 → 1.92 -2.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.93	1.91	4.2%
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
1xBet	1.83	1.84	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.84	9.0%
BetVictor	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Best of all books	1.95	1.91	3.6%
Average	1.88	1.85	7.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.69	2.03	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.69	2.00	9.2%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
William Hill	1.67	2.00	9.9%
Best of all books	1.83	2.03	3.9%
Average	1.72	1.97	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Thionville Lusitanos 0%Draw 50%Versailles 50%

The statistical model rated Thionville Lusitanos at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Versailles at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.55 | 3.34 | 1.92, which imply roughly 29.9% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Ligue 3 table: Thionville Lusitanos are 9th (12 pts, 14-14 goals), Versailles 5th (16 pts, 13-12).

Over their last five matches, Thionville Lusitanos averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Versailles averaged 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Versailles and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.55	3.34	1.92

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.74	1.22	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
2.63	1.44

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.72	1.97

1st half

1	X	2
4.13	2.18	2.51

2nd half

1	X	2
3.62	2.49	2.28

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.80	15.0	25.7
HT X	8.00	5.33	4.87
HT 2	36.7	14.8	2.95

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.38	10.8	1.66

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.18
1.5	1.26	3.49
2.5	1.88	1.85
3.5	3.18	1.31
4.5	6.14	1.09
5.5	10.8	1.03
6.5	13.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.80
1.25	1.12	4.80
1.75	1.28	3.05
2	1.41	2.66
2.25	1.63	2.13
2.75	2.08	1.66
3	2.49	1.46
3.25	2.63	1.42
3.75	3.78	1.19
4	5.20	1.10
4.25	5.55	1.08
4.75	7.80	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	3.07	1.33
0	2.64	1.43
+0.25	2.06	1.68
+0.5	1.82	1.95
+0.75	1.59	2.23
+1	1.38	2.79

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	7.80	1.05
-1.25	7.32	1.05
-1	6.82	1.07
-0.75	4.42	1.16
-0.5	3.58	1.29
+1.25	1.31	3.16
+1.5	1.25	3.56
+1.75	1.16	4.45
+2	1.07	6.42
+2.25	1.06	6.95
+2.5	1.05	7.33

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.06	5.50
6.5	1.23	3.38
7.5	1.50	2.37
8.5	1.88	1.86
9.5	2.43	1.47
10.5	3.38	1.23
11.5	5.11	1.08

20 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.08	5.23
6	1.09	4.96
6.25	1.17	3.94
6.75	1.27	3.15
7	1.31	2.96
7.25	1.41	2.58
7.75	1.58	2.20
8	1.67	2.10
8.25	1.79	1.92
8.75	2.02	1.70
9	2.17	1.62
9.25	2.33	1.52
9.75	2.71	1.37
10	3.08	1.29
10.25	3.24	1.25
10.75	3.92	1.17
11	4.70	1.11
11.25	4.91	1.09
11.75	5.69	1.06
12	7.15	1.01

Latest Ligue 3 results

17 Oct	Bourg-en-bresse 01 0-1 Fleury 91
17 Oct	Quevilly 3-2 Orleans
17 Oct	Gobelins 3-1 Rouen
17 Oct	Aubagne 0-1 Le Puy Foot
17 Oct	Concarneau 1-1 Bastia
17 Oct	Villefranche 2-1 Cannes