Versailles vs Valenciennes• Ligue 3, France

#51.2:1.41-0FT03/10 · Saint-Germain-en-Laye1.2:1.4#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.96PINX3.921XB23.85PINMargin at best2.5%Books7Markets48Rating46 · 54 levelExp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Sep 03:48 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.85	3.53	4.08	6.9%
Betano	1.83	3.50	3.85	9.2%
Betfair	1.80	3.60	3.75	10.0%
1xBet	1.81	3.35	3.92	10.6%
Bet365	1.83	3.50	3.50	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.79	3.35	3.82	11.9%
William Hill	1.83	3.30	3.60	12.7%
Best of all books	1.85	3.60	4.08	6.3%
Average	1.82	3.45	3.79	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VersaillesValenciennes

Last 10#5Table position#151.78Points per game0.8910Form pts · last 541.2Goals for · last 51.21.4Goals against · last 51.450Attack rating5050Defence rating5058Form rating4233H2H rating6743Goals model5746Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:02 UTC

Versailles

6W 1D 3L · goals 15:13 · per match 1.5 for, 1.3 against

3 Oct	H	Valenciennes	1-0	W
26 Sep	A	Villefranche	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Quevilly	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Orleans	4-0	W
5 Sep	H	Cannes	0-3	L
29 Aug	A	Amiens	0-3	L
20 Aug	A	Bastia	3-2	W
14 Aug	H	Le Puy Foot	1-0	W
7 Aug	A	La Roche VF	2-3	L
25 Jul	H	Fleury 91	2-1	W

Valenciennes

2W 3D 5L · goals 10:15 · per match 1.0 for, 1.5 against

3 Oct	A	Versailles	0-1	L
26 Sep	H	Le Puy Foot	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	La Roche VF	2-3	L
12 Sep	H	Fleury 91	1-2	L
3 Sep	A	Rouen	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	Concarneau	0-0	D
20 Aug	A	Gobelins	1-2	L
14 Aug	H	Bourg-en-bresse 01	2-0	W
7 Aug	A	Caen	0-4	L
31 Jul	H	Boulogne	1-1	D

Head to head

0Versailles wins

3draws

1Valenciennes wins

4 meetings · goals 2:3 · last 4: 0W 3D 1L for Versailles

10 Apr 2026Ligue 3	Ligue 3	Valenciennes1-0Versailles
7 Nov 2025Ligue 3	Ligue 3	Versailles1-1Valenciennes
28 Feb 2025Ligue 3	Ligue 3	Valenciennes0-0Versailles
26 Sep 2024Ligue 3	Ligue 3	Versailles1-1Valenciennes

Ligue 3 tableNationalupdated 17 Oct 14:42 UTC

In the Ligue 3 table, Versailles sit 5th with 16 points from 9 games, while Valenciennes are 15th with 8 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	La Roche VF	10	6	3	1	16:10	+6	21
2	Rouen	9	6	2	1	17:5	+12	20
3	Caen	10	6	0	4	19:13	+6	18
4	Concarneau	9	4	4	1	12:8	+4	16
5	Versailles	9	5	1	3	13:12	+1	16
6	Amiens	9	4	3	2	12:3	+9	15
7	Cannes	9	3	6	0	11:4	+7	15
8	Le Puy Foot	9	4	1	4	11:9	+2	13
9	Thionville Lusitanos	9	3	3	3	14:14	0	12
10	Fleury 91	9	3	3	3	15:12	+3	12
11	Gobelins	9	3	3	3	7:9	-2	12
12	Bastia	9	3	2	4	7:11	-4	11
13	Quevilly	9	2	4	3	8:12	-4	10
14	Orleans	9	2	3	4	7:11	-4	9
15	Valenciennes	9	2	2	5	9:14	-5	8
16	Aubagne	9	2	1	6	6:12	-6	7
17	Bourg-en-bresse 01	9	1	2	6	5:15	-10	5
18	Villefranche	9	1	1	7	7:22	-15	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.86X26%3.49225%3.60

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.82 → 1.87 +2.7%X3.45 → 3.46 +0.3%23.79 → 3.63 -4.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.81	1.99	5.5%
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
1xBet	1.75	1.93	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.75	1.93	9.0%
Betano	1.72	1.90	10.8%
Best of all books	1.81	2.00	5.2%
Average	1.77	1.95	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.67	2.06	8.4%
William Hill	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.03	9.1%
Betano	1.65	2.00	10.6%
Best of all books	1.80	2.06	4.1%
Average	1.69	2.01	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Versailles 10%Draw 45%Valenciennes 45%

The statistical model rated Versailles at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Valenciennes at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.86 | 3.49 | 3.60, which imply roughly 28.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 3 table: Versailles are 5th (16 pts, 13-12 goals), Valenciennes 15th (8 pts, 9-14).

Over their last five matches, Versailles averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Valenciennes averaged 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Valenciennes.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.82	3.45	3.79

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.20	1.85	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.40	2.65

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.69	2.01

1st half

1	X	2
2.37	2.21	4.31

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.65	10.0	2.48

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	9.67
1.5	1.23	3.58
2.5	1.77	1.95
3.5	2.77	1.36
4.5	4.97	1.12
5.5	8.63	1.05
6.5	12.0	1.01
7.5	17.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.50
1	1.02	8.00
1.25	1.12	4.80
1.75	1.27	3.14
2	1.34	2.87
2.25	1.55	2.26
2.75	1.95	1.75
3	2.29	1.53
3.25	2.49	1.42
3.75	3.28	1.25
4	4.40	1.14
4.25	4.70	1.12
5	8.60	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.83	1.37
-1	2.49	1.47
-0.75	2.05	1.68
-0.5	1.85	1.92
-0.25	1.60	2.21
0	1.37	2.87

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.00	1.08
-2.25	5.68	1.10
-2	5.37	1.11
-1.75	3.81	1.20
-1.5	3.15	1.31
+0.25	1.29	3.26
+0.5	1.25	3.80
+0.75	1.15	4.63
+1	1.07	6.87
+1.25	1.05	7.27
+1.5	1.02	7.90