Fleury 91 vs Caen• Ligue 3, France

#102.2:1.43-2FT03/10 · Stade Robert Bobin, Bondoufle1.4:1.0#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.63PINX3.891XB22.601XBMargin at best2.2%Books7Markets46Rating46 · 54 levelExp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Sep 03:48 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.52	3.38	2.69	6.4%
Betano	2.45	3.25	2.70	8.6%
Betfair	2.38	3.50	2.55	9.8%
1xBet	2.40	3.22	2.56	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.40	3.22	2.56	11.8%
Bet365	2.40	3.30	2.50	12.0%
William Hill	2.40	3.00	2.50	15.0%
Best of all books	2.52	3.50	2.70	5.3%
Average	2.42	3.27	2.58	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Fleury 91Caen

Last 10#10Table position#31.33Points per game1.8010Form pts · last 592.2Goals for · last 51.41.4Goals against · last 51.061Attack rating3942Defence rating5844Form rating560H2H rating10059Goals model4146Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:02 UTC

Fleury 91

3W 3D 4L · goals 16:14 · per match 1.6 for, 1.4 against

3 Oct	H	Caen	3-2	W
26 Sep	H	Aubagne	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	Thionville Lusitanos	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Valenciennes	2-1	W
5 Sep	H	Villefranche	6-1	W
29 Aug	A	Quevilly	1-2	L
20 Aug	H	Orleans	0-2	L
14 Aug	A	Cannes	1-1	D
7 Aug	H	Amiens	0-0	D
25 Jul	A	Versailles	1-2	L

Caen

5W 1D 4L · goals 18:13 · per match 1.8 for, 1.3 against

3 Oct	A	Fleury 91	2-3	L
24 Sep	H	Rouen	3-2	W
19 Sep	A	Concarneau	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	Gobelins	2-0	W
5 Sep	A	Bourg-en-bresse 01	2-0	W
27 Aug	H	Bastia	0-1	L
20 Aug	H	Aubagne	1-0	W
14 Aug	A	Thionville Lusitanos	3-4	L
7 Aug	H	Valenciennes	4-0	W
31 Jul	H	Dieppe	1-1	D

Head to head

0Fleury 91 wins

0draws

2Caen wins

2 meetings · goals 1:3 · last 2: 0W 0D 2L for Fleury 91

6 Feb 2026Ligue 3	Ligue 3	Caen1-0Fleury 91
29 Aug 2025Ligue 3	Ligue 3	Fleury 911-2Caen

Ligue 3 tableNationalupdated 17 Oct 14:42 UTC

In the Ligue 3 table, Fleury 91 sit 10th with 12 points from 9 games, while Caen are 3rd with 18 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	La Roche VF	10	6	3	1	16:10	+6	21
2	Rouen	9	6	2	1	17:5	+12	20
3	Caen	10	6	0	4	19:13	+6	18
4	Concarneau	9	4	4	1	12:8	+4	16
5	Versailles	9	5	1	3	13:12	+1	16
6	Amiens	9	4	3	2	12:3	+9	15
7	Cannes	9	3	6	0	11:4	+7	15
8	Le Puy Foot	9	4	1	4	11:9	+2	13
9	Thionville Lusitanos	9	3	3	3	14:14	0	12
10	Fleury 91	9	3	3	3	15:12	+3	12
11	Gobelins	9	3	3	3	7:9	-2	12
12	Bastia	9	3	2	4	7:11	-4	11
13	Quevilly	9	2	4	3	8:12	-4	10
14	Orleans	9	2	3	4	7:11	-4	9
15	Valenciennes	9	2	2	5	9:14	-5	8
16	Aubagne	9	2	1	6	6:12	-6	7
17	Bourg-en-bresse 01	9	1	2	6	5:15	-10	5
18	Villefranche	9	1	1	7	7:22	-15	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.48X27%3.39237%2.49

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.42 → 2.45 +1.2%X3.27 → 3.42 +4.6%22.58 → 2.51 -2.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.68	2.15	6.0%
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
1xBet	1.65	2.06	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.65	2.06	9.1%
Betano	1.65	2.00	10.6%
Best of all books	1.70	2.15	5.3%
Average	1.67	2.07	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
1xBet	1.52	2.34	8.5%
William Hill	1.55	2.25	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.52	2.30	9.3%
Betano	1.50	2.25	11.1%
Best of all books	1.67	2.34	2.6%
Average	1.55	2.25	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Fleury 91 35%Draw 35%Caen 30%

The statistical model rated Fleury 91 at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Caen at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.48 | 3.39 | 2.49, which imply roughly 40.3% for a Fleury 91 win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Ligue 3 table: Fleury 91 are 10th (12 pts, 15-12 goals), Caen 3rd (18 pts, 19-13).

Over their last five matches, Fleury 91 averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Caen averaged 1.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Fleury 91 or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.42	3.27	2.58

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.42	1.46	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.78	1.86

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.55	2.25

1st half

1	X	2
2.97	2.21	3.12

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.90	11.6	2.00

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	11.9
1.5	1.19	4.02
2.5	1.67	2.07
3.5	2.58	1.42
4.5	4.58	1.15
5.5	7.98	1.07
6.5	11.0	1.02
7.5	17.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	8.60
1.25	1.08	5.65
1.75	1.21	3.58
2	1.27	3.14
2.25	1.47	2.47
2.75	1.83	1.86
3	2.08	1.64
3.25	2.35	1.50
3.75	3.08	1.28
4	4.05	1.17
4.25	4.39	1.14
4.75	6.00	1.06
5	8.50	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.91	1.35
-0.5	2.47	1.52
-0.25	2.12	1.65
0	1.81	1.92
+0.25	1.60	2.19
+0.5	1.48	2.59

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.50	1.01
-2	8.50	1.03
-1.75	6.08	1.09
-1.5	4.67	1.15
-1.25	4.22	1.17
-1	3.91	1.21
+0.75	1.32	3.11
+1	1.18	4.26
+1.25	1.15	4.59
+1.5	1.13	4.97
+1.75	1.07	6.64
+2	1.02	8.70
+2.5	1.01	9.70

Latest Ligue 3 results

17 Oct	Aubagne 0-1 Le Puy Foot
17 Oct	Gobelins 3-1 Rouen
17 Oct	Concarneau 1-1 Bastia
17 Oct	Villefranche 2-1 Cannes
17 Oct	Quevilly 3-2 Orleans
17 Oct	Bourg-en-bresse 01 0-1 Fleury 91