Amiens vs Villefranche• Ligue 3, France

#61.8:0.23-0FT03/10 · Stade de la Licorne, Amiens0.6:2.8#18

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.751XBX4.061XB24.56PINMargin at best3.7%Books7Markets49Rating89 · 12Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Sep 03:48 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.69	3.65	4.84	7.2%
Betano	1.70	3.50	4.60	9.1%
Betfair	1.65	3.60	4.60	10.1%
1xBet	1.66	3.48	4.65	10.5%
Bet365	1.70	3.40	4.33	11.3%
Marathonbet	1.64	3.48	4.55	11.7%
William Hill	1.67	3.30	4.50	12.4%
Best of all books	1.70	3.65	4.84	6.9%
Average	1.67	3.49	4.58	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AmiensVillefranche

Last 10#6Table position#181.67Points per game0.4411Form pts · last 511.8Goals for · last 50.60.2Goals against · last 52.875Attack rating2593Defence rating792Form rating80H2H rating094Goals model689Overall rating12

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:02 UTC

Amiens

5W 3D 2L · goals 15:4 · per match 1.5 for, 0.4 against

3 Oct	H	Villefranche	3-0	W
26 Sep	A	Quevilly	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Orleans	2-0	W
10 Sep	A	Cannes	0-0	D
5 Sep	A	Bastia	3-0	W
29 Aug	H	Versailles	3-0	W
20 Aug	A	Le Puy Foot	0-1	L
14 Aug	H	La Roche VF	0-1	L
7 Aug	A	Fleury 91	0-0	D
31 Jul	H	RED Star FC 93	3-1	W

Villefranche

1W 1D 8L · goals 9:27 · per match 0.9 for, 2.7 against

3 Oct	A	Amiens	0-3	L
26 Sep	H	Versailles	1-2	L
19 Sep	A	Le Puy Foot	1-4	L
12 Sep	H	La Roche VF	0-0	D
5 Sep	A	Fleury 91	1-6	L
29 Aug	H	Rouen	0-2	L
20 Aug	A	Concarneau	0-2	L
14 Aug	H	Gobelins	2-0	W
7 Aug	A	Bourg-en-bresse 01	2-3	L
15 Jul	A	Grenoble	2-5	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Amiens and Villefranche on record.

Ligue 3 tableNationalupdated 17 Oct 14:42 UTC

In the Ligue 3 table, Amiens sit 6th with 15 points from 9 games, while Villefranche are 18th with 4 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	La Roche VF	10	6	3	1	16:10	+6	21
2	Rouen	9	6	2	1	17:5	+12	20
3	Caen	10	6	0	4	19:13	+6	18
4	Concarneau	9	4	4	1	12:8	+4	16
5	Versailles	9	5	1	3	13:12	+1	16
6	Amiens	9	4	3	2	12:3	+9	15
7	Cannes	9	3	6	0	11:4	+7	15
8	Le Puy Foot	9	4	1	4	11:9	+2	13
9	Thionville Lusitanos	9	3	3	3	14:14	0	12
10	Fleury 91	9	3	3	3	15:12	+3	12
11	Gobelins	9	3	3	3	7:9	-2	12
12	Bastia	9	3	2	4	7:11	-4	11
13	Quevilly	9	2	4	3	8:12	-4	10
14	Orleans	9	2	3	4	7:11	-4	9
15	Valenciennes	9	2	2	5	9:14	-5	8
16	Aubagne	9	2	1	6	6:12	-6	7
17	Bourg-en-bresse 01	9	1	2	6	5:15	-10	5
18	Villefranche	9	1	1	7	7:22	-15	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.69X25%3.66221%4.28

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.67 → 1.69 +1.2%X3.49 → 3.62 +3.7%24.58 → 4.30 -6.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Pinnacle	2.00	1.79	5.9%
Betano	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Best of all books	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Average	1.96	1.77	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.73	7.8%
1xBet	1.86	1.83	8.4%
William Hill	1.83	1.85	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.86	1.80	9.3%
Betano	1.85	1.75	11.2%
Best of all books	2.00	1.85	4.1%
Average	1.88	1.79	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Amiens 50%Draw 50%Villefranche 0%

The statistical model rated Amiens at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Villefranche at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.69 | 3.66 | 4.28, which imply roughly 59.2% for a Amiens win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Ligue 3 table: Amiens are 6th (15 pts, 12-3 goals), Villefranche 18th (4 pts, 7-22).

Over their last five matches, Amiens averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game; Villefranche averaged 0.6 scored and 2.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Amiens.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.67	3.49	4.58

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.15	2.01	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.29	3.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.88	1.79

1st half

1	X	2
2.26	2.15	4.93

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.54	9.63	2.76

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	7.82
1.5	1.30	3.13
2.5	1.96	1.77
3.5	3.33	1.27
4.5	6.15	1.07
5.5	12.5	1.02
6.5	15.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.73
1	1.02	8.00
1.25	1.14	4.39
1.75	1.33	2.81
2	1.46	2.45
2.25	1.71	2.00
2.75	2.21	1.57
3	2.73	1.38
3.25	3.04	1.29
3.75	4.20	1.15
4	5.95	1.07
4.25	6.35	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.95	1.34
-1.25	2.64	1.43
-1	2.29	1.57
-0.75	1.89	1.82
-0.5	1.72	2.10
-0.25	1.47	2.48

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	8.30	1.01
-2.5	6.05	1.09
-2.25	5.58	1.10
-2	5.13	1.12
-1.75	3.72	1.23
0	1.27	3.41
+0.25	1.20	3.97
+0.5	1.21	4.25
+0.75	1.09	6.07
+1	1.03	8.30
+1.5	1.02	9.30

Latest Ligue 3 results

17 Oct	Bourg-en-bresse 01 0-1 Fleury 91
17 Oct	Quevilly 3-2 Orleans
17 Oct	Gobelins 3-1 Rouen
17 Oct	Aubagne 0-1 Le Puy Foot
17 Oct	Concarneau 1-1 Bastia
17 Oct	Villefranche 2-1 Cannes