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Bellinzona vs Zürich II• 1. Liga Promotion, Switzerland

#181.0:2.20-4FT04/101.4:2.4#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.22PINX4.081XB22.871XBMargin at best4.4%Books1Markets2Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.133.602.938.9%
Best of all books2.133.602.938.9%
Average2.133.602.938.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BellinzonaZürich II
Last 10#18Table position#80.45Points per game1.504Form pts · last 541.0Goals for · last 51.42.2Goals against · last 52.442Attack rating5852Defence rating4856Form rating4462H2H rating3847Goals model5350Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 09:40 UTC

Bellinzona

2W 2D 6L · goals 9:21 · per match 0.9 for, 2.1 against

16 OctHCollina d'Oro2-0W
10 OctAYF Juventus0-2L
4 OctHZürich II0-4L
27 SepHBreitenrain2-2D
19 SepAGrand-Saconnex0-3L
13 SepHKreuzlingen2-1W
5 SepAParadiso0-4L
29 AugACham1-1D
22 AugAFC Schaffhausen0-1L
18 AugHBasel II2-3L

Zürich II

4W 2D 4L · goals 18:18 · per match 1.8 for, 1.8 against

4 OctABellinzona4-0W
26 SepHGrand-Saconnex1-2L
20 SepAKreuzlingen2-2D
13 SepHParadiso1-3L
5 SepACham0-4L
30 AugHFC Schaffhausen3-1W
22 AugABasel II3-2W
19 AugHAmical Saint-Prex2-1W
8 AugABavois2-2D
2 AugHBiel-Bienne0-1L

Head to head

4Bellinzona wins
3draws
1Zürich II wins

8 meetings · goals 10:9 · last 8: 4W 3D 1L for Bellinzona

7 May 20221. Liga Promotion1. Liga PromotionBellinzona1-0Zürich II
12 Mar 20221. Liga Promotion1. Liga PromotionZürich II0-0Bellinzona
18 Sep 20211. Liga Promotion1. Liga PromotionBellinzona1-0Zürich II
1 May 20211. Liga Promotion1. Liga PromotionZürich II3-0Bellinzona
4 Oct 20201. Liga Promotion1. Liga PromotionBellinzona3-3Zürich II
28 Aug 20191. Liga Promotion1. Liga PromotionBellinzona2-1Zürich II
24 Nov 20181. Liga Promotion1. Liga PromotionZürich II1-1Bellinzona
8 Aug 20181. Liga Promotion1. Liga PromotionBellinzona2-1Zürich II

1. Liga Promotion table1 Liga Promotionupdated 21 Oct 09:40 UTC

In the 1. Liga Promotion table, Bellinzona sit 18th with 5 points from 11 games, while Zürich II are 8th with 18 points from 12.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Biel-Bienne1182125:12+1326
2FC Schaffhausen1181229:13+1625
3Cham1171319:14+522
4Bulle1163224:16+821
5Paradiso1263324:13+1121
6Grand-Saconnex1270523:16+721
7Basel II1261524:22+219
8Zürich II1253422:21+118
9Breitenrain1253418:17+118
10YF Juventus1251616:19-316
11Amical Saint-Prex1251616:25-916
12Kreuzlingen1143416:15+115
13Brühl1142513:15-214
14Lugano II1240819:26-712
15Young Boys II1233623:32-912
16Bavois1222811:17-68
17Luzern II1121815:27-127
18Bellinzona111287:24-175

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.10X25%3.61232%2.77

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

2 Oct 01:313 Oct 13:311 2.11X 3.602 2.76
12.13 → 2.11 -0.9%X3.60 → 3.60 0.0%22.93 → 2.76 -5.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bellinzona 35%Draw 35%Zürich II 30%

The statistical model rated Bellinzona at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Zürich II at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.10 | 3.61 | 2.77, which imply roughly 47.6% for a Bellinzona win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the 1. Liga Promotion table: Bellinzona are 18th (5 pts, 7-24 goals), Zürich II 8th (18 pts, 22-21).

Over their last five matches, Bellinzona averaged 1 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Zürich II averaged 1.4 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Bellinzona or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.133.602.93

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
01.602.15

Latest 1. Liga Promotion results

17 OctParadiso 2-2 Young Boys II
17 OctGrand-Saconnex 1-2 Lugano II
10 OctZürich II 2-2 Breitenrain
10 OctBrühl 1-0 Grand-Saconnex
3 OctParadiso 1-0 Lugano II
3 OctCham 2-4 Bulle