Valencia vs Real Madrid• La Liga, Spain

#191.2:1.420:0007/11 · Estadio de Mestalla, Valdivia2.2:0.8#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

19.00B365X6.50BFR21.361XBMargin at best0.0%Books10Markets100Rating29 · 71Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 5 Nov 00:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	9.00	5.85	1.36	1.7%
Dafabet	9.00	6.20	1.31	3.6%
Pinnacle	8.27	6.34	1.32	3.6%
Betfair	9.00	6.50	1.29	4.0%
Marathonbet	8.70	5.65	1.33	4.4%
Betano	8.25	5.70	1.33	4.9%
Bet365	9.00	5.50	1.30	6.2%
William Hill	7.50	5.50	1.30	8.4%
BetVictor	9.00	5.50	1.25	9.3%
SBO	6.95	5.13	1.27	12.6%
Best of all books	9.00	6.50	1.36	0.0%
Average	8.47	5.79	1.31	5.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ValenciaReal Madrid

Last 10#19Table position#30.82Points per game2.455Form pts · last 5151.2Goals for · last 52.21.4Goals against · last 50.835Attack rating6536Defence rating6429Form rating7129H2H rating7112Goals model8829Overall rating71

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 00:02 UTC

Valencia

2W 2D 6L · goals 8:17 · per match 0.8 for, 1.7 against

1 Nov	A	Elche	1-0	W
24 Oct	H	Villarreal	1-2	L
17 Oct	H	Athletic Club	0-0	D
11 Oct	A	Racing Santander	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	Real Sociedad	2-3	L
15 Sep	A	Alaves	1-0	W
11 Sep	A	Sevilla	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Barcelona	0-5	L
30 Aug	A	Deportivo La Coruna	1-3	L
25 Aug	H	Real Betis	0-1	L

Real Madrid

9W 0D 1L · goals 29:13 · per match 2.9 for, 1.3 against

4 Nov	A	AEK Athens FC	3-2	W
1 Nov	A	Racing Santander	3-0	W
25 Oct	A	Barcelona	2-1	W
21 Oct	H	RB Leipzig	4-1	W
18 Oct	H	Sevilla	4-1	W
14 Oct	A	AS Roma	4-3	W
10 Oct	H	Villarreal	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Atletico Madrid	1-2	L
15 Sep	A	Elche	3-2	W
12 Sep	H	Rayo Vallecano	4-1	W

Head to head

6Valencia wins

9draws

19Real Madrid wins

34 meetings · goals 42:77 · last 10: 2W 2D 6L for Valencia

8 Feb 2026La Liga	La Liga	Valencia0-2Real Madrid
1 Nov 2025La Liga	La Liga	Real Madrid4-0Valencia
5 Apr 2025La Liga	La Liga	Real Madrid1-2Valencia
3 Jan 2025La Liga	La Liga	Valencia1-2Real Madrid
2 Mar 2024La Liga	La Liga	Valencia2-2Real Madrid
11 Nov 2023La Liga	La Liga	Real Madrid5-1Valencia
21 May 2023La Liga	La Liga	Valencia1-0Real Madrid
2 Feb 2023La Liga	La Liga	Real Madrid2-0Valencia
11 Jan 2023Super Cup	Super Cup	Real Madrid1-1Valencia
8 Jan 2022La Liga	La Liga	Real Madrid4-1Valencia

La Liga tablePrimera Divisiónupdated 5 Nov 00:20 UTC

In the La Liga table, Valencia sit 19th with 9 points from 11 games, while Real Madrid are 3rd with 27 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	11	10	0	1	46:12	+34	30
2	Atletico Madrid	11	9	1	1	22:8	+14	28
3	Real Madrid	11	9	0	2	28:10	+18	27
4	Real Betis	11	7	2	2	18:15	+3	23
5	Real Sociedad	11	6	1	4	20:20	0	19
6	Sevilla	11	5	2	4	17:19	-2	17
7	Athletic Club	10	4	3	3	14:10	+4	15
8	Deportivo La Coruna	11	3	5	3	15:14	+1	14
9	Villarreal	11	3	3	5	15:15	0	12
10	Celta Vigo	11	2	6	3	10:10	0	12
11	Alaves	11	3	3	5	15:17	-2	12
12	Rayo Vallecano	10	3	3	4	15:20	-5	12
13	Getafe	11	3	3	5	8:16	-8	12
14	Espanyol	11	3	2	6	13:14	-1	11
15	Osasuna	11	3	2	6	11:22	-11	11
16	Racing Santander	11	3	2	6	15:29	-14	11
17	Elche	11	2	4	5	14:18	-4	10
18	Levante	11	2	4	5	16:21	-5	10
19	Valencia	11	2	3	6	8:17	-9	9
20	Malaga	11	0	5	6	8:21	-13	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg111%8.47X16%5.79272%1.31

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

18.34 → 8.47 +1.6%X5.81 → 5.79 -0.3%21.30 → 1.31 +0.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.47	2.80	3.7%
Pinnacle	1.44	2.85	4.5%
1xBet	1.41	2.89	5.5%
Bet365	1.44	2.75	5.8%
Betfair	1.40	2.88	6.2%
Marathonbet	1.37	2.80	8.7%
BetVictor	1.41	2.63	8.9%
Best of all books	1.47	2.89	2.6%
Average	1.42	2.80	6.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.80	1.95	6.8%
Bet365	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Betano	1.75	2.00	7.1%
William Hill	1.67	2.10	7.5%
1xBet	1.65	2.13	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.65	2.11	8.0%
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Best of all books	1.80	2.13	2.5%
Average	1.71	2.05	7.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Valencia 0%Draw 50%Real Madrid 50%

The statistical model rates Valencia at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Real Madrid at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 8.47 | 5.79 | 1.31, which imply roughly 17.3% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the La Liga table: Valencia are 19th (9 pts, 8-17 goals), Real Madrid 3rd (27 pts, 28-10).

Over their last five matches, Valencia averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Real Madrid averaged 2.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Real Madrid.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
8.47	5.79	1.31

Double chance

1X	X2	12
3.43	1.07	1.13

Draw no bet

1	2
6.74	1.09

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.71	2.05

1st half

1	X	2
7.01	2.78	1.69

2nd half

1	X	2
6.44	3.28	1.56

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	14.4	20.8	19.8
HT X	18.2	8.99	4.26
HT 2	60.7	19.2	1.76

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.46	22.0	1.32

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	14.7
1.5	1.10	6.13
2.5	1.42	2.80
3.5	2.08	1.77
4.5	3.32	1.31
5.5	6.08	1.10
6.5	10.2	1.04
7.5	15.3	1.02
8.5	26.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.95
1.75	1.09	5.55
2	1.14	4.84
2.25	1.28	3.45
2.75	1.50	2.52
3	1.64	2.25
3.25	1.85	1.97
3.75	2.29	1.60
4	2.76	1.44
4.25	2.99	1.36
4.75	3.73	1.22
5	5.09	1.13
5.25	5.35	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+1	2.75	1.43
+1.25	2.26	1.63
+1.5	2.02	1.82
+1.75	1.77	2.03
+2	1.57	2.39
+2.25	1.45	2.66

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	13.0	1.01
-0.25	6.80	1.10
0	6.24	1.09
+0.25	4.49	1.16
+0.5	3.57	1.27
+0.75	3.09	1.34
+2.5	1.38	2.92
+2.75	1.26	3.52
+3	1.16	4.62
+3.25	1.14	4.97
+3.5	1.13	5.31
+3.75	1.07	6.74
+4	1.02	9.95

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.16	4.85
3.5	1.37	2.95
4.5	1.75	2.05
5.5	2.35	1.55
6.5	3.35	1.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	14.0
4.5	1.02	11.3
5.5	1.03	8.67
6.5	1.09	5.60
7.5	1.21	3.72
8.5	1.42	2.61
9.5	1.74	2.01
10.5	2.19	1.61
11.5	2.87	1.34
12.5	3.98	1.18
13.5	5.60	1.09
14.5	6.43	1.06
15.5	9.50	1.04
16.5	11.5	1.02
17.5	13.0	1.01

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.10	4.37
7.75	1.22	3.50
8	1.23	3.10
8.25	1.33	2.87
8.75	1.44	2.46
9	1.52	2.34
9.25	1.61	2.12
9.75	1.83	1.87
10	1.97	1.83
10.25	2.05	1.65
10.75	2.34	1.49
11	2.45	1.47
11.25	2.70	1.36
12	3.07	1.23
13	4.07	1.12
14	5.20	1.06

Next La Liga matches

6 Nov	Sevilla – Alaves
7 Nov	Malaga – Racing Santander
7 Nov	Espanyol – Deportivo La Coruna
7 Nov	Osasuna – Athletic Club
8 Nov	Elche – Real Betis
8 Nov	Real Sociedad – Rayo Vallecano

All La Liga fixtures and the table

Latest La Liga results

2 Nov	Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 Osasuna
1 Nov	Athletic Club 2-1 Real Sociedad
1 Nov	Elche 0-1 Valencia
1 Nov	Racing Santander 0-3 Real Madrid
1 Nov	Getafe 3-1 Sevilla
31 Oct	Barcelona 6-1 Alaves