Malaga vs Racing Santander• La Liga, Spain

#201.0:2.013:0007/11 · Estadio La Rosaleda0.8:2.6#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.481XBX3.721XB22.921XBMargin at best1.5%Books10Markets85Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 5 Nov 00:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.48	3.72	2.92	1.5%
Pinnacle	2.46	3.58	2.90	3.1%
Marathonbet	2.41	3.62	2.84	4.3%
Dafabet	2.41	3.60	2.85	4.4%
Bet365	2.35	3.60	2.88	5.1%
Betfair	2.40	3.60	2.80	5.2%
Betano	2.42	3.55	2.80	5.2%
William Hill	2.30	3.50	2.75	8.4%
BetVictor	2.30	3.50	2.70	9.1%
SBO	2.29	3.28	2.57	13.1%
Best of all books	2.48	3.72	2.92	1.5%
Average	2.38	3.56	2.80	5.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MalagaRacing Santander

Last 10#20Table position#160.45Points per game1.005Form pts · last 571.0Goals for · last 50.82.0Goals against · last 52.656Attack rating4457Defence rating4333Form rating6715H2H rating8563Goals model3741Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 00:02 UTC

Malaga

1W 4D 5L · goals 10:18 · per match 1.0 for, 1.8 against

31 Oct	A	Real Betis	1-2	L
27 Oct	A	Alcazar	3-0	W
23 Oct	A	Alaves	1-1	D
18 Oct	H	Real Sociedad	2-5	L
9 Oct	H	Espanyol	1-1	D
20 Sep	A	Getafe	0-1	L
17 Sep	H	Villarreal	1-3	L
13 Sep	A	Celta Vigo	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Levante	0-0	D
30 Aug	A	Real Madrid	0-4	L

Racing Santander

4W 1D 5L · goals 15:26 · per match 1.5 for, 2.6 against

1 Nov	H	Real Madrid	0-3	L
29 Oct	A	Ribadesella CF	2-0	W
24 Oct	H	Espanyol	2-1	W
18 Oct	A	Osasuna	0-2	L
11 Oct	H	Valencia	2-2	D
19 Sep	A	Celta Vigo	0-5	L
16 Sep	A	Barcelona	2-7	L
12 Sep	H	Alaves	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Rayo Vallecano	2-3	L
28 Aug	H	Elche	3-2	W

Head to head

6Malaga wins

3draws

3Racing Santander wins

12 meetings · goals 17:10 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Malaga

24 May 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	Malaga1-1Racing Santander
5 Oct 2025Segunda División	Segunda División	Racing Santander3-0Malaga
1 Feb 2025Segunda División	Segunda División	Racing Santander2-1Malaga
23 Nov 2024Segunda División	Segunda División	Malaga0-0Racing Santander
5 Mar 2023Segunda División	Segunda División	Malaga0-1Racing Santander
1 Oct 2022Segunda División	Segunda División	Racing Santander0-0Malaga
23 Feb 2020Segunda División	Segunda División	Malaga2-0Racing Santander
17 Aug 2019Segunda División	Segunda División	Racing Santander0-1Malaga
9 Apr 2012La Liga	La Liga	Malaga3-0Racing Santander
21 Nov 2011La Liga	La Liga	Racing Santander1-3Malaga

La Liga tablePrimera Divisiónupdated 5 Nov 00:20 UTC

In the La Liga table, Malaga sit 20th with 5 points from 11 games, while Racing Santander are 16th with 11 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	11	10	0	1	46:12	+34	30
2	Atletico Madrid	11	9	1	1	22:8	+14	28
3	Real Madrid	11	9	0	2	28:10	+18	27
4	Real Betis	11	7	2	2	18:15	+3	23
5	Real Sociedad	11	6	1	4	20:20	0	19
6	Sevilla	11	5	2	4	17:19	-2	17
7	Athletic Club	10	4	3	3	14:10	+4	15
8	Deportivo La Coruna	11	3	5	3	15:14	+1	14
9	Villarreal	11	3	3	5	15:15	0	12
10	Celta Vigo	11	2	6	3	10:10	0	12
11	Alaves	11	3	3	5	15:17	-2	12
12	Rayo Vallecano	10	3	3	4	15:20	-5	12
13	Getafe	11	3	3	5	8:16	-8	12
14	Espanyol	11	3	2	6	13:14	-1	11
15	Osasuna	11	3	2	6	11:22	-11	11
16	Racing Santander	11	3	2	6	15:29	-14	11
17	Elche	11	2	4	5	14:18	-4	10
18	Levante	11	2	4	5	16:21	-5	10
19	Valencia	11	2	3	6	8:17	-9	9
20	Malaga	11	0	5	6	8:21	-13	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.37X26%3.57234%2.80

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.5% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.73	2.28	1.7%
Pinnacle	1.69	2.26	3.4%
Betano	1.67	2.27	3.9%
SBO	1.66	2.25	4.7%
Marathonbet	1.68	2.21	4.8%
Bet365	1.67	2.20	5.3%
Betfair	1.65	2.20	6.1%
BetVictor	1.62	2.12	8.9%
Best of all books	1.73	2.28	1.7%
Average	1.67	2.22	4.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.55	2.38	6.5%
Betfair	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Betano	1.52	2.42	7.1%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
1xBet	1.53	2.37	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.34	8.1%
BetVictor	1.50	2.40	8.3%
Best of all books	1.55	2.50	4.5%
Average	1.52	2.40	7.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Malaga 10%Draw 45%Racing Santander 45%

The statistical model rates Malaga at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Racing Santander at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.37 | 3.57 | 2.80, which imply roughly 28% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the La Liga table: Malaga are 20th (5 pts, 8-21 goals), Racing Santander 16th (11 pts, 15-29).

Over their last five matches, Malaga averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Racing Santander averaged 0.8 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Racing Santander.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.38	3.56	2.80

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.42	1.57	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.73	2.04

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.52	2.40

1st half

1	X	2
2.88	2.30	3.24

2nd half

1	X	2
2.62	2.62	2.95

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.75	13.2	26.5
HT X	5.96	5.85	6.69
HT 2	24.0	13.4	4.46

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.86	15.1	2.03

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	13.1
1.5	1.20	4.29
2.5	1.67	2.22
3.5	2.60	1.48
4.5	4.66	1.17
5.5	8.75	1.05
6.5	13.9	1.02
7.5	22.8	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.4
1.25	1.09	5.87
1.75	1.24	3.83
2	1.30	3.43
2.25	1.48	2.61
2.75	1.83	2.00
3	2.07	1.76
3.25	2.33	1.58
3.75	3.02	1.35
4	3.78	1.22
4.25	4.21	1.17
4.75	5.60	1.09
5	7.90	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.76	1.43
-0.5	2.35	1.59
-0.25	2.06	1.77
0	1.76	2.08
+0.25	1.57	2.40
+0.5	1.43	2.75

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.0	1.02
-2	8.20	1.04
-1.75	5.64	1.11
-1.5	4.41	1.18
-1.25	4.06	1.22
-1	3.65	1.27
+0.75	1.31	3.38
+1	1.17	4.64
+1.25	1.14	5.11
+1.5	1.12	5.54
+1.75	1.06	7.00
+2.5	1.03	10.5

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.31	3.25
4.5	1.62	2.22
5	1.85	1.93
5.5	2.12	1.67
6.5	2.95	1.37
7.5	4.20	1.20

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.02	12.0
5.5	1.04	9.00
6.5	1.07	6.50
7.5	1.16	4.27
8.5	1.33	2.92
9.5	1.61	2.20
10.5	2.01	1.74
11.5	2.60	1.43
12.5	3.48	1.24
13.5	4.82	1.13
14.5	6.73	1.06
15.5	8.75	1.05
16.5	10.8	1.03
17.5	12.5	1.01
18.5	14.0	1.01

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.08	4.65
8	1.20	3.32
8.75	1.35	2.74
9	1.44	2.54
9.25	1.49	2.34
9.75	1.65	2.05
10	1.82	1.97
10.25	1.87	1.83
10.75	2.12	1.61
11	2.29	1.54
11.25	2.44	1.46
11.75	2.78	1.35
12	2.85	1.27
12.25	3.28	1.25
13	3.77	1.15
14	4.89	1.07

Next La Liga matches

6 Nov	Sevilla – Alaves
7 Nov	Espanyol – Deportivo La Coruna
7 Nov	Osasuna – Athletic Club
7 Nov	Valencia – Real Madrid
8 Nov	Elche – Real Betis
8 Nov	Real Sociedad – Rayo Vallecano

All La Liga fixtures and the table

Latest La Liga results

2 Nov	Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 Osasuna
1 Nov	Athletic Club 2-1 Real Sociedad
1 Nov	Elche 0-1 Valencia
1 Nov	Racing Santander 0-3 Real Madrid
1 Nov	Getafe 3-1 Sevilla
31 Oct	Barcelona 6-1 Alaves