Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano• La Liga, Spain

#52.8:1.815:1508/11 · Anoeta, San Sebastian1.4:1.2#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.721XBX4.35PIN24.921XBMargin at best1.5%Books10Markets87Rating53 · 47 levelExp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Nov 02:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.72	4.30	4.92	1.7%
Pinnacle	1.68	4.35	4.78	3.4%
Marathonbet	1.68	4.20	4.80	4.2%
Betfair	1.70	4.20	4.60	4.4%
Dafabet	1.70	4.20	4.60	4.4%
Bet365	1.65	4.20	4.75	5.5%
Betano	1.67	4.15	4.65	5.5%
William Hill	1.67	4.00	4.40	7.6%
BetVictor	1.62	3.90	4.50	9.6%
SBO	1.65	3.63	4.03	13.0%
Best of all books	1.72	4.35	4.92	1.5%
Average	1.67	4.11	4.60	5.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Real SociedadRayo Vallecano

Last 10#5Table position#121.73Points per game1.2010Form pts · last 582.8Goals for · last 51.41.8Goals against · last 51.267Attack rating3340Defence rating6060Form rating4038H2H rating6262Goals model3853Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 00:03 UTC

Real Sociedad

5W 1D 4L · goals 22:16 · per match 2.2 for, 1.6 against

1 Nov	A	Athletic Club	1-2	L
25 Oct	H	Levante	2-1	W
22 Oct	A	Lillestrom	6-0	W
18 Oct	A	Malaga	5-2	W
15 Oct	A	Union St. Gilloise	1-1	D
11 Oct	H	Deportivo La Coruna	3-2	W
2 Oct	H	Athletic Club	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Valencia	3-2	W
17 Sep	H	Bournemouth	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	Atletico Madrid	0-3	L

Rayo Vallecano

4W 3D 3L · goals 17:20 · per match 1.7 for, 2.0 against

31 Oct	H	Celta Vigo	3-0	W
27 Oct	A	Recreativo Huelva	3-2	W
24 Oct	H	Elche	0-3	L
19 Oct	A	Getafe	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Osasuna	1-1	D
15 Sep	H	Espanyol	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Real Madrid	1-4	L
5 Sep	H	Racing Santander	3-2	W
31 Aug	A	Barcelona	2-5	L
20 Aug	H	Alaves	1-1	D

Head to head

9Real Sociedad wins

9draws

6Rayo Vallecano wins

24 meetings · goals 42:32 · last 10: 3W 5D 2L for Real Sociedad

26 Apr 2026La Liga	La Liga	Rayo Vallecano3-3Real Sociedad
5 Oct 2025La Liga	La Liga	Real Sociedad0-1Rayo Vallecano
16 Mar 2025La Liga	La Liga	Rayo Vallecano2-2Real Sociedad
16 Jan 2025Copa del Rey	Copa del Rey	Real Sociedad3-1Rayo Vallecano
18 Aug 2024La Liga	La Liga	Real Sociedad1-2Rayo Vallecano
27 Jan 2024La Liga	La Liga	Real Sociedad0-0Rayo Vallecano
29 Oct 2023La Liga	La Liga	Rayo Vallecano2-2Real Sociedad
22 Apr 2023La Liga	La Liga	Real Sociedad2-1Rayo Vallecano
21 Jan 2023La Liga	La Liga	Rayo Vallecano0-2Real Sociedad
10 Dec 2022Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Real Sociedad1-1Rayo Vallecano

La Liga tablePrimera Divisiónupdated 5 Nov 00:20 UTC

In the La Liga table, Real Sociedad sit 5th with 19 points from 11 games, while Rayo Vallecano are 12th with 12 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	11	10	0	1	46:12	+34	30
2	Atletico Madrid	11	9	1	1	22:8	+14	28
3	Real Madrid	11	9	0	2	28:10	+18	27
4	Real Betis	11	7	2	2	18:15	+3	23
5	Real Sociedad	11	6	1	4	20:20	0	19
6	Sevilla	11	5	2	4	17:19	-2	17
7	Athletic Club	10	4	3	3	14:10	+4	15
8	Deportivo La Coruna	11	3	5	3	15:14	+1	14
9	Villarreal	11	3	3	5	15:15	0	12
10	Celta Vigo	11	2	6	3	10:10	0	12
11	Alaves	11	3	3	5	15:17	-2	12
12	Rayo Vallecano	10	3	3	4	15:20	-5	12
13	Getafe	11	3	3	5	8:16	-8	12
14	Espanyol	11	3	2	6	13:14	-1	11
15	Osasuna	11	3	2	6	11:22	-11	11
16	Racing Santander	11	3	2	6	15:29	-14	11
17	Elche	11	2	4	5	14:18	-4	10
18	Levante	11	2	4	5	16:21	-5	10
19	Valencia	11	2	3	6	8:17	-9	9
20	Malaga	11	0	5	6	8:21	-13	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.67X23%4.11221%4.60

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.5% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.65	2.45	1.4%
Pinnacle	1.57	2.50	3.7%
Betano	1.57	2.47	4.2%
Marathonbet	1.60	2.38	4.5%
SBO	1.65	2.26	4.9%
Bet365	1.57	2.38	5.7%
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
BetVictor	1.55	2.25	9.0%
Best of all books	1.65	2.50	0.6%
Average	1.59	2.37	5.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Betano	1.57	2.30	7.2%
Betfair	1.57	2.30	7.2%
1xBet	1.58	2.26	7.5%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.23	8.1%
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
BetVictor	1.55	2.25	9.0%
Best of all books	1.62	2.30	5.2%
Average	1.58	2.26	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Real Sociedad 45%Draw 45%Rayo Vallecano 10%

The statistical model rates Real Sociedad at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Rayo Vallecano at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.67 | 4.11 | 4.60, which imply roughly 59.9% for a Real Sociedad win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the La Liga table: Real Sociedad are 5th (19 pts, 20-20 goals), Rayo Vallecano 12th (12 pts, 15-20).

Over their last five matches, Real Sociedad averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Rayo Vallecano averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Real Sociedad or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.67	4.11	4.60

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.19	2.18	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.29	3.37

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.58	2.26

1st half

1	X	2
2.20	2.40	4.48

2nd half

1	X	2
1.98	2.77	4.34

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.46	14.9	38.7
HT X	4.64	6.69	10.2
HT 2	20.0	15.5	7.63

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.52	17.5	2.61

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	12.8
1.5	1.16	4.83
2.5	1.59	2.37
3.5	2.40	1.56
4.5	4.25	1.20
5.5	8.12	1.06
6.5	12.9	1.02
7.5	19.0	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	8.60
1.25	1.07	6.78
1.75	1.20	4.20
2	1.24	3.86
2.25	1.41	2.85
2.75	1.72	2.14
3	1.92	1.88
3.25	2.16	1.68
3.75	2.79	1.40
4	3.49	1.27
4.25	3.74	1.22
4.75	5.30	1.10
5	7.40	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.73	1.45
-1.25	2.41	1.55
-1	2.12	1.73
-0.75	1.84	2.00
-0.5	1.65	2.24
-0.25	1.46	2.66

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.8	1.03
-3	9.15	1.03
-2.75	6.51	1.08
-2.5	5.22	1.14
-2.25	4.66	1.16
-2	4.35	1.19
-1.75	3.24	1.32
0	1.27	3.55
+0.25	1.22	4.00
+0.5	1.17	4.45
+0.75	1.10	5.91
+1	1.02	9.90
+1.5	1.04	10.6

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.02	11.8
5.5	1.04	9.00
6.5	1.07	6.57
7.5	1.16	4.33
8.5	1.32	2.98
9.5	1.58	2.24
10.5	1.98	1.77
11.5	2.54	1.46
12.5	3.41	1.25
13.5	4.77	1.13
14.5	6.53	1.06
15.5	8.50	1.05
16.5	10.5	1.03
17.5	12.5	1.01
18.5	14.0	1.01

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.08	4.75
8	1.19	3.39
8.75	1.33	2.83
9	1.40	2.53
9.25	1.47	2.38
9.75	1.62	2.08
10	1.79	2.01
10.25	1.83	1.83
10.75	2.09	1.66
11	2.22	1.58
11.25	2.36	1.49
11.75	2.73	1.36
12	2.78	1.29
12.25	3.14	1.27
13	3.69	1.16
14	4.79	1.08

Next La Liga matches

6 Nov	Sevilla – Alaves
7 Nov	Malaga – Racing Santander
7 Nov	Espanyol – Deportivo La Coruna
7 Nov	Osasuna – Athletic Club
7 Nov	Valencia – Real Madrid
8 Nov	Elche – Real Betis

All La Liga fixtures and the table

Latest La Liga results

2 Nov	Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 Osasuna
1 Nov	Athletic Club 2-1 Real Sociedad
1 Nov	Elche 0-1 Valencia
1 Nov	Racing Santander 0-3 Real Madrid
1 Nov	Getafe 3-1 Sevilla
31 Oct	Barcelona 6-1 Alaves