Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona• La Liga, Spain

#31.6:0.420:00Today · Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid3.6:1.2#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.85DAFX4.45BTN22.051XBMargin4.8%Books10Markets96Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.38	4.31	2.05	1.6%
Betano	3.25	4.45	2.05	2.0%
Pinnacle	3.23	4.41	2.04	2.7%
Marathonbet	3.34	4.25	2.02	3.0%
Betfair	3.25	4.33	2.00	3.9%
Dafabet	3.85	4.40	1.80	4.3%
BetVictor	3.20	4.20	2.00	5.1%
Bet365	3.10	4.20	2.00	6.1%
William Hill	3.10	4.00	1.95	8.5%
SBO	3.37	3.93	1.73	12.9%
Best of all books	3.85	4.45	2.05	-2.8%
Average	3.31	4.25	1.96	4.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Atletico MadridBarcelona

Last 10#3Table position#12.55Points per game2.7310Form pts · last 591.6Goals for · last 53.60.4Goals against · last 51.231Attack rating6975Defence rating2556Form rating4440H2H rating6040Goals model6049Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 00:11 UTC

Atletico Madrid

8W 1D 1L · goals 18:5 · per match 1.8 for, 0.5 against

3 Nov	H	Bayern München	0-2	L
31 Oct	A	Levante	2-0	W
24 Oct	H	Deportivo La Coruna	1-0	W
20 Oct	A	VfB Stuttgart	1-1	D
17 Oct	A	Espanyol	1-0	W
13 Oct	H	Manchester United	2-0	W
10 Oct	A	Alaves	2-1	W
20 Sep	H	Real Madrid	2-1	W
16 Sep	H	Osasuna	4-0	W
13 Sep	A	Real Sociedad	3-0	W

Barcelona

8W 0D 2L · goals 38:15 · per match 3.8 for, 1.5 against

3 Nov	H	Aston Villa	3-0	W
31 Oct	H	Alaves	6-1	W
25 Oct	H	Real Madrid	1-2	L
20 Oct	A	Paris Saint Germain	2-4	L
17 Oct	A	Real Betis	5-2	W
13 Oct	A	Galatasaray	4-1	W
10 Oct	H	Getafe	3-0	W
19 Sep	A	Sevilla	3-1	W
16 Sep	H	Racing Santander	7-2	W
13 Sep	A	Levante	4-2	W

Head to head

8Atletico Madrid wins

9draws

26Barcelona wins

43 meetings · goals 44:73 · last 10: 3W 1D 6L for Atletico Madrid

14 Apr 2026UEFA Champions League	UEFA Champions League	Atletico Madrid1-2Barcelona
8 Apr 2026UEFA Champions League	UEFA Champions League	Barcelona0-2Atletico Madrid
4 Apr 2026La Liga	La Liga	Atletico Madrid1-2Barcelona
3 Mar 2026Copa del Rey	Copa del Rey	Barcelona3-0Atletico Madrid
12 Feb 2026Copa del Rey	Copa del Rey	Atletico Madrid4-0Barcelona
2 Dec 2025La Liga	La Liga	Barcelona3-1Atletico Madrid
2 Apr 2025Copa del Rey	Copa del Rey	Atletico Madrid0-1Barcelona
16 Mar 2025La Liga	La Liga	Atletico Madrid2-4Barcelona
25 Feb 2025Copa del Rey	Copa del Rey	Barcelona4-4Atletico Madrid
21 Dec 2024La Liga	La Liga	Barcelona1-2Atletico Madrid

La Liga tablePrimera Divisiónupdated 8 Nov 15:02 UTC

In the La Liga table, Atletico Madrid sit 3rd with 28 points from 11 games, while Barcelona are 1st with 30 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	11	10	0	1	46:12	+34	30
2	Real Madrid	12	10	0	2	31:10	+21	30
3	Atletico Madrid	11	9	1	1	22:8	+14	28
4	Real Betis	11	7	2	2	18:15	+3	23
5	Real Sociedad	11	6	1	4	20:20	0	19
6	Sevilla	12	5	3	4	17:19	-2	18
7	Athletic Club	11	4	4	3	15:11	+4	16
8	Deportivo La Coruna	12	3	6	3	15:14	+1	15
9	Racing Santander	12	4	2	6	17:30	-13	14
10	Alaves	12	3	4	5	15:17	-2	13
11	Villarreal	11	3	3	5	15:15	0	12
12	Celta Vigo	11	2	6	3	10:10	0	12
13	Espanyol	12	3	3	6	13:14	-1	12
14	Rayo Vallecano	10	3	3	4	15:20	-5	12
15	Getafe	11	3	3	5	8:16	-8	12
16	Osasuna	12	3	3	6	12:23	-11	12
17	Elche	11	2	4	5	14:18	-4	10
18	Levante	11	2	4	5	16:21	-5	10
19	Valencia	12	2	3	7	8:20	-12	9
20	Malaga	12	0	5	7	9:23	-14	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg129%3.31X22%4.25249%1.96

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.61 → 3.31 -8.3%X4.20 → 4.25 +1.2%21.85 → 1.96 +5.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.35	3.29	4.5%
Bet365	1.36	3.20	4.8%
Betano	1.34	3.30	4.9%
1xBet	1.32	3.30	6.1%
Betfair	1.30	3.40	6.3%
Marathonbet	1.29	3.22	8.6%
BetVictor	1.33	2.98	8.7%
Best of all books	1.36	3.40	2.9%
Average	1.33	3.24	6.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.33	3.25	6.0%
William Hill	1.33	3.20	6.4%
Betfair	1.30	3.30	7.2%
Betano	1.34	3.05	7.4%
1xBet	1.31	3.20	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.31	3.14	8.2%
BetVictor	1.29	3.25	8.3%
Best of all books	1.34	3.30	4.9%
Average	1.32	3.20	7.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Atletico Madrid 10%Draw 45%Barcelona 45%

The statistical model rates Atletico Madrid at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Barcelona at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.31 | 4.25 | 1.96, which imply roughly 23.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the La Liga table: Atletico Madrid are 3rd (28 pts, 22-8 goals), Barcelona 1st (30 pts, 46-12).

Over their last five matches, Atletico Madrid averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Barcelona averaged 3.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Barcelona.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.31	4.25	1.96

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.84	1.33	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
2.41	1.52

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.32	3.20

1st half

1	X	2
3.42	2.63	2.37

2nd half

1	X	2
3.20	3.03	2.21

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.08	13.5	17.6
HT X	8.39	7.72	5.77
HT 2	24.0	13.6	2.91

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.14	28.0	1.68

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	17.5
1.5	1.08	7.28
2.5	1.33	3.24
3.5	1.84	1.99
4.5	2.83	1.42
5.5	4.89	1.16
6.5	8.64	1.06
7.5	14.6	1.02
8.5	19.0	1.01
9.5	31.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.07	6.45
2	1.09	6.13
2.25	1.20	3.95
2.75	1.38	2.89
3	1.48	2.64
3.25	1.64	2.23
3.75	2.02	1.81
4	2.31	1.61
4.25	2.53	1.50
4.75	3.14	1.31
5	3.90	1.21
5.25	4.29	1.16
6	7.50	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.79	1.41
0	2.47	1.54
+0.25	2.07	1.74
+0.5	1.88	1.95
+0.75	1.70	2.19
+1	1.50	2.62

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	11.1	1.03
-2	10.4	1.02
-1.5	5.96	1.11
-1.25	5.58	1.11
-1	5.24	1.14
-0.75	3.77	1.23
-0.5	3.10	1.36
+1.25	1.39	2.96
+1.5	1.33	3.23
+1.75	1.22	3.92
+2	1.14	5.13
+2.25	1.11	5.64
+2.5	1.10	5.96
+2.75	1.09	6.33
+3.5	1.03	10.3

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.04	9.00
2.5	1.14	5.20
3.5	1.33	3.18
4.5	1.73	2.04
5.5	2.21	1.62
6.5	3.05	1.35
7.5	4.40	1.19
8.5	6.30	1.10
9.5	8.50	1.05

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
4	1.45	2.71
5	2.00	1.80
6	3.54	1.27

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	14.0
4.5	1.02	15.3
5.5	1.03	9.00
6.5	1.07	6.39
7.5	1.18	4.14
8.5	1.37	2.87
9.5	1.65	2.14
10.5	2.06	1.70
11.5	2.64	1.42
12.5	3.57	1.24
13.5	4.93	1.13
14.5	6.86	1.06
15.5	10.3	1.02
16.5	10.8	1.03
17.5	12.5	1.01
18.5	14.0	1.01

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.16	4.10
8.25	1.25	3.34
8.75	1.53	2.29
9	1.51	2.48
9.25	1.51	2.38
9.75	1.69	2.10
10	1.85	1.97
10.25	1.86	1.82
10.75	2.09	1.61
11	2.47	1.52
11.25	2.38	1.46

Next La Liga matches

8 Nov	Celta Vigo – Levante
8 Nov	Villarreal – Getafe

All La Liga fixtures and the table

Latest La Liga results

8 Nov	Elche 0-2 Real Betis
7 Nov	Valencia 0-3 Real Madrid
7 Nov	Osasuna 1-1 Athletic Club
7 Nov	Espanyol 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna
7 Nov	Malaga 1-2 Racing Santander
6 Nov	Sevilla 0-0 Alaves