Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo• La Liga, Spain

#161.0:2.015:15Tomorrow · Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid1.6:0.4#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.45BFRX3.431XB23.181XBMargin at best1.4%Books10Markets88Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 05:09 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.44	3.43	3.18	1.6%
Pinnacle	2.45	3.32	3.09	3.3%
Betfair	2.45	3.25	3.10	3.8%
Dafabet	2.45	3.30	3.05	3.9%
Marathonbet	2.38	3.34	3.10	4.2%
Betano	2.45	3.25	3.00	4.9%
BetVictor	2.38	3.30	3.00	5.7%
Bet365	2.40	3.25	3.00	5.8%
William Hill	2.30	3.20	3.00	8.1%
SBO	2.36	2.96	2.70	13.2%
Best of all books	2.45	3.43	3.18	1.4%
Average	2.41	3.26	3.02	5.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Rayo VallecanoCelta Vigo

Last 10#16Table position#91.00Points per game1.208Form pts · last 581.0Goals for · last 51.62.0Goals against · last 50.438Attack rating6217Defence rating8336Form rating6462H2H rating3840Goals model6040Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 00:03 UTC

Rayo Vallecano

3W 3D 4L · goals 15:22 · per match 1.5 for, 2.2 against

27 Oct	A	Recreativo Huelva	3-2	W
24 Oct	H	Elche	0-3	L
19 Oct	A	Getafe	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Osasuna	1-1	D
15 Sep	H	Espanyol	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Real Madrid	1-4	L
5 Sep	H	Racing Santander	3-2	W
31 Aug	A	Barcelona	2-5	L
20 Aug	H	Alaves	1-1	D
15 Aug	A	Sevilla	1-2	L

Celta Vigo

3W 5D 2L · goals 12:7 · per match 1.2 for, 0.7 against

25 Oct	H	Real Betis	0-0	D
22 Oct	A	Celtic	2-1	W
18 Oct	H	Alaves	2-1	W
15 Oct	H	Juventus	1-2	L
11 Oct	A	Elche	0-0	D
19 Sep	H	Racing Santander	5-0	W
16 Sep	A	Omonia Nicosia	0-1	L
13 Sep	H	Malaga	1-1	D
7 Sep	A	Getafe	1-1	D
3 Sep	A	Real Sociedad	0-0	D

Head to head

9Rayo Vallecano wins

6draws

5Celta Vigo wins

20 meetings · goals 26:26 · last 10: 2W 5D 3L for Rayo Vallecano

18 Jan 2026La Liga	La Liga	Celta Vigo3-0Rayo Vallecano
21 Sep 2025La Liga	La Liga	Rayo Vallecano1-1Celta Vigo
18 May 2025La Liga	La Liga	Celta Vigo1-2Rayo Vallecano
10 Jan 2025La Liga	La Liga	Rayo Vallecano2-1Celta Vigo
31 Mar 2024La Liga	La Liga	Celta Vigo0-0Rayo Vallecano
11 Dec 2023La Liga	La Liga	Rayo Vallecano0-0Celta Vigo
11 Mar 2023La Liga	La Liga	Celta Vigo3-0Rayo Vallecano
10 Nov 2022La Liga	La Liga	Rayo Vallecano0-0Celta Vigo
5 Feb 2022La Liga	La Liga	Celta Vigo2-0Rayo Vallecano
1 Nov 2021La Liga	La Liga	Rayo Vallecano0-0Celta Vigo

La Liga tablePrimera Divisiónupdated 30 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the La Liga table, Rayo Vallecano sit 16th with 9 points from 9 games, while Celta Vigo are 9th with 12 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	10	9	0	1	40:11	+29	27
2	Atletico Madrid	10	8	1	1	20:8	+12	25
3	Real Madrid	10	8	0	2	25:10	+15	24
4	Real Betis	10	6	2	2	16:14	+2	20
5	Real Sociedad	10	6	1	3	19:18	+1	19
6	Sevilla	10	5	2	3	16:16	0	17
7	Alaves	10	3	3	4	14:11	+3	12
8	Athletic Club	9	3	3	3	12:9	+3	12
9	Celta Vigo	10	2	6	2	10:7	+3	12
10	Villarreal	10	3	3	4	15:14	+1	12
11	Deportivo La Coruna	10	2	5	3	13:13	0	11
12	Osasuna	10	3	2	5	10:20	-10	11
13	Racing Santander	10	3	2	5	15:26	-11	11
14	Levante	10	2	4	4	16:19	-3	10
15	Elche	10	2	4	4	14:17	-3	10
16	Rayo Vallecano	9	2	3	4	12:20	-8	9
17	Getafe	10	2	3	5	5:15	-10	9
18	Espanyol	10	2	2	6	12:14	-2	8
19	Valencia	10	1	3	6	7:17	-10	6
20	Malaga	10	0	5	5	7:19	-12	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.41X29%3.26231%3.02

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.35 → 2.41 +2.6%X3.27 → 3.26 -0.3%23.03 → 3.02 -0.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.17	1.81	1.3%
Pinnacle	2.21	1.72	3.4%
SBO	2.11	1.76	4.2%
Betano	2.12	1.75	4.3%
Marathonbet	2.10	1.75	4.8%
Bet365	2.10	1.73	5.4%
Betfair	2.15	1.67	6.4%
BetVictor	2.02	1.68	9.0%
Best of all books	2.21	1.81	0.5%
Average	2.12	1.73	4.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.80	1.95	6.8%
Betfair	1.80	1.95	6.8%
William Hill	1.80	1.95	6.8%
Betano	1.80	1.93	7.4%
1xBet	1.81	1.91	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.81	1.89	8.2%
BetVictor	1.80	1.90	8.2%
Best of all books	1.81	1.95	6.5%
Average	1.80	1.93	7.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Rayo Vallecano 10%Draw 45%Celta Vigo 45%

The statistical model rates Rayo Vallecano at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Celta Vigo at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.41 | 3.26 | 3.02, which imply roughly 30.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the La Liga table: Rayo Vallecano are 16th (9 pts, 12-20 goals), Celta Vigo 9th (12 pts, 10-7).

Over their last five matches, Rayo Vallecano averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Celta Vigo averaged 1.6 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Celta Vigo and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.41	3.26	3.02

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.37	1.57	1.33

Draw no bet

1	2
1.67	2.14

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.80	1.93

1st half

1	X	2
2.99	2.07	3.64

2nd half

1	X	2
2.69	2.36	3.28

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.82	13.8	32.2
HT X	5.57	4.73	6.68
HT 2	28.8	14.3	4.97

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.88	8.40	2.23

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	8.53
1.5	1.36	3.08
2.5	2.12	1.73
3.5	3.71	1.26
4.5	7.57	1.07
5.5	14.0	1.02
6.5	20.9	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.04	7.75
1	1.07	6.53
1.25	1.21	4.00
1.75	1.44	2.69
2	1.59	2.35
2.25	1.85	1.94
2.75	2.45	1.55
3	3.02	1.38
3.25	3.35	1.30
3.75	4.60	1.15
4	6.45	1.08
4.25	6.71	1.06
5	8.70	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.80	1.42
-0.5	2.36	1.59
-0.25	2.03	1.81
0	1.69	2.19
+0.25	1.49	2.58
+0.5	1.39	3.00

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.3	1.03
-2	9.32	1.03
-1.75	6.11	1.09
-1.5	4.75	1.15
-1.25	4.32	1.20
-1	3.84	1.25
+0.75	1.25	3.78
+1	1.12	5.72
+1.25	1.10	6.22
+1.5	1.08	6.61
+1.75	1.02	10.2
+2.5	1.02	13.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.04	9.00
2.5	1.14	5.20
3.5	1.33	3.15
4.5	1.65	2.15
5.5	2.20	1.62
6.5	3.05	1.35
7.5	4.40	1.19
8.5	6.30	1.10
9.5	8.50	1.05

1 more line

Line	Over	Under
5	1.91	1.87

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	12.5
4.5	1.02	11.5
5.5	1.05	7.03
6.5	1.14	4.55
7.5	1.29	3.09
8.5	1.54	2.30
9.5	1.97	1.78
10.5	2.51	1.47
11.5	3.39	1.25
12.5	4.73	1.13
13.5	6.55	1.06
14.5	10.0	1.02
15.5	14.0	1.02
16.5	12.5	1.01
17.5	15.0	1.01

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.05	5.32
7	1.15	3.79
7.75	1.27	3.14
8	1.33	2.77
8.25	1.39	2.63
8.75	1.55	2.26
9	1.72	2.07
9.25	1.76	2.00
9.75	1.96	1.75
10	2.17	1.64
10.25	2.23	1.55
10.75	2.56	1.41
11	2.78	1.33
11.25	3.04	1.29
12	3.59	1.17
13	4.72	1.08

Next La Liga matches

30 Oct	Villarreal – Espanyol
31 Oct	Levante – Atletico Madrid
31 Oct	Real Betis – Malaga
31 Oct	Barcelona – Alaves
1 Nov	Getafe – Sevilla
1 Nov	Racing Santander – Real Madrid

All La Liga fixtures and the table

Latest La Liga results

26 Oct	Sevilla 2-0 Osasuna
25 Oct	Barcelona 1-2 Real Madrid
25 Oct	Real Sociedad 2-1 Levante
25 Oct	Celta Vigo 0-0 Real Betis
25 Oct	Athletic Club 4-0 Getafe
24 Oct	Atletico Madrid 1-0 Deportivo La Coruna