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Barcelona vs Real Madrid• La Liga, Spain

#14.4:1.41-2FT25/10 · Spotify Camp Nou, Barcelona2.6:1.2#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.70BTNX6.32PIN24.391XBMargin4.6%Books10Markets108Rating64 · 37Exp. goals L54.8

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.615.934.391.8%
Betano1.705.104.152.5%
Marathonbet1.595.854.333.1%
Pinnacle1.606.323.993.4%
Dafabet1.625.804.004.0%
Bet3651.576.003.906.0%
Betfair1.576.003.906.0%
William Hill1.575.504.006.9%
BetVictor1.575.254.007.7%
SBO1.555.513.987.8%
Best of all books1.706.324.39-2.6%
Average1.605.734.064.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BarcelonaReal Madrid
Last 10#1Table position#33.00Points per game2.3312Form pts · last 5124.4Goals for · last 52.61.4Goals against · last 51.263Attack rating3746Defence rating5456Form rating4480H2H rating2077Goals model2364Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 00:11 UTC

Barcelona

9W 0D 1L · goals 43:15 · per match 4.3 for, 1.5 against

20 OctAParis Saint Germain2-4L
17 OctAReal Betis5-2W
13 OctAGalatasaray4-1W
10 OctHGetafe3-0W
19 SepASevilla3-1W
16 SepHRacing Santander7-2W
13 SepALevante4-2W
9 SepHFeyenoord5-1W
6 SepAValencia5-0W
31 AugHRayo Vallecano5-2W

Real Madrid

8W 0D 2L · goals 27:12 · per match 2.7 for, 1.2 against

21 OctHRB Leipzig4-1W
18 OctHSevilla4-1W
14 OctAAS Roma4-3W
10 OctHVillarreal1-0W
20 SepAAtletico Madrid1-2L
15 SepAElche3-2W
12 SepHRayo Vallecano4-1W
8 SepHInter2-1W
4 SepAReal Betis0-1L
30 AugHMalaga4-0W

Head to head

26Barcelona wins
6draws
17Real Madrid wins

49 meetings · goals 101:74 · last 10: 7W 0D 3L for Barcelona

10 May 2026La LigaLa LigaBarcelona2-0Real Madrid
11 Jan 2026Super CupSuper CupBarcelona3-2Real Madrid
26 Oct 2025La LigaLa LigaReal Madrid2-1Barcelona
11 May 2025La LigaLa LigaBarcelona4-3Real Madrid
26 Apr 2025Copa del ReyCopa del ReyBarcelona3-2Real Madrid
12 Jan 2025Super CupSuper CupReal Madrid2-5Barcelona
26 Oct 2024La LigaLa LigaReal Madrid0-4Barcelona
3 Aug 2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsBarcelona2-1Real Madrid
21 Apr 2024La LigaLa LigaReal Madrid3-2Barcelona
14 Jan 2024Super CupSuper CupReal Madrid4-1Barcelona

La Liga tablePrimera Divisiónupdated 25 Oct 23:40 UTC

In the La Liga table, Barcelona sit 1st with 27 points from 9 games, while Real Madrid are 3rd with 21 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Barcelona990039:9+3027
2Atletico Madrid1081120:8+1225
3Real Madrid970223:9+1421
4Real Betis1062216:14+220
5Real Sociedad1061319:18+119
6Sevilla942314:16-214
7Alaves1033414:11+312
8Athletic Club933312:9+312
9Celta Vigo1026210:7+312
10Villarreal1033415:14+112
11Deportivo La Coruna1025313:13011
12Osasuna932410:18-811
13Racing Santander1032515:26-1111
14Levante1024416:19-310
15Elche1024414:17-310
16Rayo Vallecano923412:20-89
17Getafe102355:15-109
18Espanyol1022612:14-28
19Valencia101367:17-106
20Malaga100557:19-125

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg160%1.60X17%5.73224%4.06

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

22 Oct 00:0125 Oct 18:101 1.60X 5.732 4.06
11.61 → 1.60 -0.6%X5.29 → 5.73 +8.3%24.07 → 4.06 -0.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano1.224.305.2%
Bet3651.204.505.6%
BetVictor1.135.755.9%
1xBet1.174.706.7%
Betfair1.144.808.6%
Marathonbet1.134.5510.5%
Best of all books1.225.75-0.6%
Average1.164.776.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.303.406.3%
Bet3651.283.506.7%
Betfair1.303.307.2%
Betano1.293.357.4%
1xBet1.253.627.6%
Marathonbet1.253.558.2%
BetVictor1.223.758.6%
Best of all books1.303.753.6%
Average1.273.507.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Barcelona 45%Draw 45%Real Madrid 10%

The statistical model rated Barcelona at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Real Madrid at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.60 | 5.73 | 4.06, which imply roughly 62.5% for a Barcelona win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the La Liga table: Barcelona are 1st (27 pts, 39-9 goals), Real Madrid 3rd (21 pts, 23-9).

Over their last five matches, Barcelona averaged 4.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Real Madrid averaged 2.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Barcelona and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Barcelona

4-3-3

Coach: H. Flick

Goalkeeper

  • 1Joan García

Defence

  • 12X. Espart
  • 5Pau Cubarsí Paredes
  • 18Gerard Martín
  • 2João Cancelo

Midfield

  • 8Pedri
  • 16Rodri
  • 7Fermín

Attack

  • 10Lamine Yamal
  • 11Raphinha
  • 17A. Gordon
Substitutes (12)
  • 14K. Adeyemi
  • 13W. Szczęsny
  • 25D. Livaković
  • 32O. Goren
  • 6Gavi
  • 9Gabriel Jesus
  • 4B. Farinas
  • 29H. Abdelkarim
  • 3Alejandro Balde
  • 22Marc Bernal
  • 41A. Campos
  • 21F. de Jong

Real Madrid

4-4-2

Coach: José Mourinho

Goalkeeper

  • 13A. Lunin

Defence

  • 8F. Valverde
  • 16I. Konaté
  • 4D. Huijsen
  • 17Marc Cucurella

Midfield

  • 15A. Güler
  • 14A. Tchouaméni
  • 20Bernardo Silva
  • 5J. Bellingham

Attack

  • 10Kylian Mbappé
  • 25Y. Diomande
Substitutes (12)
  • 39I. Voloshyn
  • 12T. Alexander-Arnold
  • 6E. Camavinga
  • 22A. Rüdiger
  • 27Thiago Pitarch
  • 26Sergio Mestre
  • 19Carlos Espí
  • 9Endrick
  • 3Éder Militão
  • 24D. Dumfries
  • 21Brahim Díaz
  • 18Álvaro Fernández

Match Statistics

BarcelonaReal Madrid
1.27Expected Goals2.01
569Passes accurate321
11Shots insidebox6
7Shots outsidebox4
6Blocked Shots2
11Free Kicks14
6Shots on Goal5
3Goalkeeper Saves5
6Shots off Goal3
3Offsides3
640Total passes380
18Total Shots10
3Yellow Cards3
6Corner Kicks6
15Fouls11
0Red Cards0
62%Ball Possession38%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.605.734.06

Double chance

1XX212
1.232.351.14

Draw no bet

12
1.303.28

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.273.50

1st half

1X2
1.933.153.94

2nd half

1X2
1.843.363.86

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.1515.827.1
HT X5.6711.111.6
HT 215.415.96.44

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5734.02.25

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.5–22.8
1.51.0410.2
2.51.164.77
3.51.512.51
4.52.171.70
5.53.361.30
6.55.831.12
7.59.571.04
8.514.91.02
9.520.91.01
10.531.3–
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.029.80
21.039.25
2.751.184.10
31.233.85
3.251.362.96
3.751.612.29
41.762.07
4.251.961.87
4.752.401.56
52.841.42
5.253.071.34
5.754.011.20
65.141.13
6.255.341.10
79.321.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.621.47
-1.52.301.63
-1.252.101.75
-11.881.96
-0.751.682.19
-0.51.582.37
16 more lines
LineHomeAway
-46.001.04
-3.56.251.09
-35.911.11
-2.754.591.16
-2.53.631.25
-2.253.431.27
-23.181.34
-0.251.432.74
01.303.32
+0.251.263.51
+0.51.243.90
+0.751.144.94
+11.076.98
+1.51.067.03
+21.048.25
+2.51.0311.1

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
2.51.067.90
3.51.164.85
4.51.333.15
5.51.662.15
6.52.051.71
7.52.801.40
8.53.851.23
9.55.401.13
10.57.401.07
3 more lines
LineOverUnder
51.363.04
61.821.99
72.651.45

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0112.5
5.51.0210.4
6.51.057.48
7.51.134.86
8.51.273.31
9.51.492.45
10.51.831.92
11.52.301.55
12.53.041.32
13.54.141.19
14.55.711.10
15.57.501.05
16.59.751.03
17.511.51.02
18.513.01.01
17 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.065.27
81.143.82
8.751.402.55
91.292.75
9.251.372.70
9.751.502.34
101.622.21
10.251.682.03
10.751.901.84
112.031.74
11.252.131.62
11.752.411.46
122.551.39
12.252.781.34
133.251.21
144.251.11
155.351.05

Next La Liga matches

26 OctSevilla – Osasuna

All La Liga fixtures and the table

Latest La Liga results

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24 OctRacing Santander 2-1 Espanyol