Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II• Segunda División, Spain

#81.2:1.213:00Tomorrow · Municipal El Plantio, Burgos2.0:2.4#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.68PINX4.031XB25.50B365Margin at best2.5%Books10Markets80Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 13:26 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.68	4.02	5.16	3.8%
1xBet	1.67	4.03	5.11	4.3%
Dafabet	1.66	3.90	5.20	5.1%
Betano	1.67	3.80	5.20	5.4%
Bet365	1.62	3.75	5.50	6.6%
Marathonbet	1.62	3.90	4.95	7.6%
BetVictor	1.62	3.75	4.80	9.2%
William Hill	1.62	3.70	4.75	9.8%
Betfair	1.62	3.70	4.60	10.5%
SBO	1.62	3.38	4.27	14.7%
Best of all books	1.68	4.03	5.50	2.5%
Average	1.64	3.79	4.95	7.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BurgosCelta de Vigo II

Last 10#8Table position#161.75Points per game1.0810Form pts · last 551.2Goals for · last 52.01.2Goals against · last 52.438Attack rating6367Defence rating3358Form rating4280H2H rating2070Goals model3063Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 00:02 UTC

Burgos

6W 2D 2L · goals 16:10 · per match 1.6 for, 1.0 against

1 Nov	H	Castellón	1-1	D
29 Oct	A	Laredo	4-2	W
26 Oct	A	FC Andorra	3-2	W
18 Oct	H	Sabadell	1-0	W
12 Oct	H	Granada CF	0-1	L
3 Oct	A	Almeria	1-2	L
27 Sep	H	Eldense	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Las Palmas	2-1	W
11 Sep	H	AD Ceuta FC	3-1	W
6 Sep	A	Oviedo	0-0	D

Celta de Vigo II

2W 3D 5L · goals 14:21 · per match 1.4 for, 2.1 against

31 Oct	H	Cordoba	2-2	D
24 Oct	A	Girona	1-5	L
19 Oct	H	Tenerife	1-1	D
10 Oct	H	Real Sociedad II	4-1	W
4 Oct	A	Sporting Gijon	2-3	L
26 Sep	H	Sabadell	1-1	D
20 Sep	A	Almeria	0-2	L
14 Sep	H	Eibar	0-4	L
5 Sep	A	AD Ceuta FC	2-0	W
31 Aug	H	Castellón	1-2	L

Head to head

1Burgos wins

1draws

0Celta de Vigo II wins

2 meetings · goals 2:1 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for Burgos

9 May 2021Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Burgos1-0Celta de Vigo II
18 Apr 2021Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Celta de Vigo II1-1Burgos

Segunda División tableSegundaupdated 6 Nov 00:31 UTC

In the Segunda División table, Burgos sit 8th with 21 points from 12 games, while Celta de Vigo II are 16th with 13 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Castellón	12	8	3	1	23:5	+18	27
2	Almeria	12	8	2	2	23:10	+13	26
3	Eibar	12	7	2	3	21:14	+7	23
4	Granada CF	12	7	2	3	20:14	+6	23
5	Mallorca	12	6	4	2	15:7	+8	22
6	Sporting Gijon	12	7	1	4	13:13	0	22
7	Girona	12	6	3	3	22:11	+11	21
8	Burgos	12	6	3	3	17:13	+4	21
9	Oviedo	12	5	3	4	17:15	+2	18
10	Sabadell	12	4	5	3	12:11	+1	17
11	Las Palmas	12	5	2	5	17:21	-4	17
12	Cordoba	12	5	1	6	19:22	-3	16
13	Valladolid	12	4	3	5	20:19	+1	15
14	Tenerife	11	3	5	3	13:15	-2	14
15	Eldense	12	4	2	6	13:17	-4	14
16	Celta de Vigo II	12	3	4	5	18:23	-5	13
17	Leganes	12	3	3	6	10:20	-10	12
18	Real Sociedad II	12	3	2	7	15:22	-7	11
19	Cadiz	12	2	4	6	15:16	-1	10
20	FC Andorra	11	3	1	7	15:20	-5	10
21	Albacete	12	2	1	9	10:23	-13	7
22	AD Ceuta FC	12	1	2	9	10:27	-17	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.64X25%3.79219%4.95

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.63 → 1.64 +0.6%X3.84 → 3.79 -1.3%25.08 → 4.95 -2.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.85	2.02	3.6%
Betano	1.87	1.98	4.0%
1xBet	1.81	2.04	4.3%
SBO	1.80	2.02	5.1%
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.99	7.1%
Betfair	1.80	1.91	7.9%
BetVictor	1.76	1.92	8.9%
Best of all books	1.87	2.04	2.5%
Average	1.81	1.98	5.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.83	1.91	7.0%
Betano	1.80	1.93	7.4%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
William Hill	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.74	1.98	8.0%
BetVictor	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.74	1.95	8.8%
Best of all books	1.83	1.98	5.1%
Average	1.78	1.93	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Burgos 45%Draw 45%Celta de Vigo II 10%

The statistical model rates Burgos at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Celta de Vigo II at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.64 | 3.79 | 4.95, which imply roughly 61% for a Burgos win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División table: Burgos are 8th (21 pts, 17-13 goals), Celta de Vigo II 16th (13 pts, 18-23).

Over their last five matches, Burgos averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Celta de Vigo II averaged 2 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Burgos or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.64	3.79	4.95

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.15	2.19	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.25	3.62

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.78	1.93

1st half

1	X	2
2.19	2.24	5.00

2nd half

1	X	2
1.99	2.59	4.63

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.46	15.2	44.1
HT X	4.42	5.78	10.3
HT 2	22.2	16.0	8.34

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.48	13.8	2.81

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	10.7
1.5	1.24	3.80
2.5	1.81	1.98
3.5	3.07	1.36
4.5	5.92	1.11
5.5	10.8	1.04
6.5	16.9	1.02
7.5	31.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	8.35
1.25	1.10	5.35
1.75	1.25	3.39
2	1.38	2.92
2.25	1.58	2.30
2.75	2.01	1.77
3	2.38	1.56
3.25	2.58	1.44
3.75	3.47	1.25
4	4.68	1.15
4.25	5.01	1.12
4.75	6.92	1.05
5	8.50	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.83	1.41
-1.25	2.45	1.52
-1	2.14	1.69
-0.75	1.81	1.96
-0.5	1.64	2.24
-0.25	1.43	2.68

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.5	1.03
-2.75	7.02	1.05
-2.5	5.62	1.12
-2.25	5.06	1.14
-2	4.56	1.17
-1.75	3.40	1.30
0	1.25	3.73
+0.25	1.19	4.29
+0.5	1.18	4.80
+0.75	1.08	6.44
+1	1.03	9.15
+1.5	1.03	10.8

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.37	2.95
5.5	1.70	2.07
6.5	2.20	1.62

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.02	11.8
4.5	1.05	8.50
5.5	1.08	6.28
6.5	1.19	4.00
7.5	1.40	2.70
8.5	1.71	2.03
9.5	2.17	1.63
10.5	2.89	1.35
11.5	4.02	1.19
12.5	5.60	1.11
13.5	7.53	1.05
14.5	10.5	1.03

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.25	1.27	3.14
7.75	1.39	2.62
8	1.44	2.61
8.25	1.55	2.23
8.75	1.76	1.95
9	1.87	1.93
9.25	1.97	1.71
9.75	2.25	1.52
10	2.42	1.51
10.25	2.62	1.38

Next Segunda División matches

7 Nov	Cadiz – Oviedo
7 Nov	Cordoba – AD Ceuta FC
7 Nov	Leganes – Albacete
8 Nov	Girona – Almeria
8 Nov	Sporting Gijon – Valladolid
8 Nov	Las Palmas – Eldense

All Segunda División fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División results

2 Nov	Mallorca 2-1 Cadiz
2 Nov	Valladolid 4-3 Leganes
2 Nov	Oviedo 2-3 Las Palmas
1 Nov	Burgos 1-1 Castellón
1 Nov	AD Ceuta FC 0-2 Sporting Gijon
1 Nov	Eldense 0-2 Granada CF