Stal Brzeg vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec• III Liga - Group 3, Poland

#122.2:1.412:0015/112.0:0.2#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.151XBX4.00B36521.78DAFMargin at best5.3%Books5Markets39Rating37 · 64Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 12:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.95	3.75	1.78	8.2%
1xBet	4.15	3.65	1.69	10.7%
Betano	4.05	3.90	1.65	10.9%
Bet365	3.90	4.00	1.65	11.2%
Marathonbet	4.05	3.65	1.67	12.0%
Best of all books	4.15	4.00	1.78	5.3%
Average	4.02	3.79	1.69	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Stal BrzegZaglebie Sosnowiec

Last 10#12Table position#11.19Points per game2.318Form pts · last 5152.2Goals for · last 52.01.4Goals against · last 50.252Attack rating4813Defence rating8835Form rating650H2H rating047Goals model5337Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 03:00 UTC

Stal Brzeg

3W 2D 5L · goals 17:17 · per match 1.7 for, 1.7 against

7 Nov	A	Stilon Gorzów	2-2	D
31 Oct	H	Zagłębie Lubin II	4-1	W
24 Oct	A	Odra Bytom Odrzański	2-3	L
17 Oct	H	Górnik Polkowice	2-0	W
10 Oct	A	Barycz Sułów	1-1	D
3 Oct	H	Carina Gubin	0-1	L
26 Sep	A	ROW Rybnik	3-4	L
19 Sep	H	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Warta Gorzów	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Miedź Legnica II	2-4	L

Zaglebie Sosnowiec

9W 0D 1L · goals 18:7 · per match 1.8 for, 0.7 against

8 Nov	H	Warta Gorzów	3-0	W
31 Oct	A	Stilon Gorzów	2-0	W
23 Oct	H	Miedź Legnica II	3-1	W
17 Oct	A	Zagłębie Lubin II	1-0	W
14 Oct	H	Rakow II	1-0	W
10 Oct	H	Kluczbork	1-0	W
3 Oct	A	Odra Bytom Odrzański	1-0	W
26 Sep	H	Legia Warszawa	2-4	L
18 Sep	A	Górnik Polkowice	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Polonia Nysa	2-1	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Stal Brzeg and Zaglebie Sosnowiec on record.

III Liga - Group 3 tableGroup IIIupdated 13 Nov 16:00 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 3 table, Stal Brzeg sit 12th with 19 points from 16 games, while Zaglebie Sosnowiec are 1st with 37 points from 16.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	16	12	1	3	26:10	+16	37
2	Sparta Katowice	16	11	3	2	31:10	+21	36
3	Odra Bytom Odrzański	16	9	4	3	17:11	+6	31
4	Zagłębie Lubin II	16	7	6	3	29:22	+7	27
5	ROW Rybnik	16	8	2	6	32:24	+8	26
6	Barycz Sułów	16	7	3	6	25:22	+3	24
7	Goczałkowice Zdrój	17	7	3	7	22:23	-1	24
8	Miedź Legnica II	17	7	2	8	36:31	+5	23
9	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	16	6	5	5	21:16	+5	23
10	Kluczbork	16	7	2	7	18:21	-3	23
11	Górnik Polkowice	16	6	4	6	29:28	+1	22
12	Stal Brzeg	16	5	4	7	29:24	+5	19
13	Stilon Gorzów	17	4	6	7	24:28	-4	18
14	Carina Gubin	16	4	4	8	14:27	-13	16
15	Ślęza Wrocław	16	4	2	10	23:35	-12	14
16	Warta Gorzów	16	3	5	8	13:32	-19	14
17	Rakow II	16	3	4	9	19:30	-11	13
18	Polonia Nysa	15	3	4	8	15:29	-14	13

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg123%4.02X24%3.79254%1.69

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.97 → 4.02 +1.3%X3.69 → 3.79 +2.7%21.71 → 1.69 -1.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.60	2.30	6.0%
1xBet	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Betano	1.57	2.15	10.2%
Best of all books	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Average	1.59	2.19	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.16	10.0%
Best of all books	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Average	1.57	2.18	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Stal Brzeg 10%Draw 45%Zaglebie Sosnowiec 45%

The statistical model rates Stal Brzeg at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Zaglebie Sosnowiec at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.02 | 3.79 | 1.69, which imply roughly 26.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 3 table: Stal Brzeg are 12th (19 pts, 29-24 goals), Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1st (37 pts, 26-10).

Over their last five matches, Stal Brzeg averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Zaglebie Sosnowiec averaged 2 scored and 0.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Zaglebie Sosnowiec.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.02	3.79	1.69

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.99	1.17	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
3.13	1.32

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.57	2.18

1st half

1	X	2
4.42	2.30	2.20

2nd half

1	X	2
4.05	2.70	1.99

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.63	15.7	21.0
HT X	9.25	6.37	4.67
HT 2	38.0	15.3	2.52

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.51	15.1	1.53

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.14	4.30
2.5	1.59	2.19
3.5	2.46	1.43
4.5	4.50	1.13

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.18	3.86
2	1.23	3.42
2.25	1.42	2.53
2.75	1.74	1.92
3	1.95	1.69
3.25	2.22	1.54
3.75	2.92	1.31
4	3.80	1.19

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.33	1.48
+0.5	1.90	1.72
+0.75	1.83	1.86
+1	1.57	2.17
+1.25	1.40	2.56
+1.5	1.32	2.88

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1	8.30	1.01
-0.25	3.50	1.22
0	3.05	1.28
+1.75	1.22	3.50
+2	1.11	4.90
+2.5	1.08	5.70

Next III Liga - Group 3 matches

14 Nov	Miedź Legnica II – ROW Rybnik
14 Nov	Warta Gorzów – Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
14 Nov	Kluczbork – Carina Gubin
15 Nov	Sparta Katowice – Odra Bytom Odrzański

All III Liga - Group 3 fixtures and the table

Latest III Liga - Group 3 results

13 Nov	Goczałkowice Zdrój 2-1 Stilon Gorzów
11 Nov	Barycz Sułów 3-0 Miedź Legnica II
8 Nov	Zaglebie Sosnowiec 3-0 Warta Gorzów
7 Nov	Odra Bytom Odrzański 1-0 Ślęza Wrocław
7 Nov	ROW Rybnik 1-2 Kluczbork
7 Nov	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 1-2 Miedź Legnica II