Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Gorzów• III Liga - Group 3, Poland

#11.6:0.216:0008/11 · ArcelorMittal Park, Sosnowiec0.6:2.6#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.34BTNX5.25B36527.041XBMargin at best7.9%Books5Markets49Rating87 · 13Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 00:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.32	5.20	6.80	9.7%
Betano	1.34	4.80	6.50	10.8%
Bet365	1.33	5.25	6.00	10.9%
1xBet	1.29	5.20	7.04	11.0%
Marathonbet	1.28	5.20	6.70	12.3%
Best of all books	1.34	5.25	7.04	7.9%
Average	1.31	5.13	6.61	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Zaglebie SosnowiecWarta Gorzów

Last 10#1Table position#152.27Points per game0.9315Form pts · last 511.6Goals for · last 50.60.2Goals against · last 52.673Attack rating2793Defence rating794Form rating60H2H rating089Goals model1187Overall rating13

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 03:01 UTC

Zaglebie Sosnowiec

8W 0D 2L · goals 15:8 · per match 1.5 for, 0.8 against

31 Oct	A	Stilon Gorzów	2-0	W
23 Oct	H	Miedź Legnica II	3-1	W
17 Oct	A	Zagłębie Lubin II	1-0	W
14 Oct	H	Rakow II	1-0	W
10 Oct	H	Kluczbork	1-0	W
3 Oct	A	Odra Bytom Odrzański	1-0	W
26 Sep	H	Legia Warszawa	2-4	L
18 Sep	A	Górnik Polkowice	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Polonia Nysa	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Barycz Sułów	0-1	L

Warta Gorzów

1W 3D 6L · goals 7:21 · per match 0.7 for, 2.1 against

30 Oct	A	Miedź Legnica II	0-6	L
24 Oct	H	Kluczbork	0-2	L
17 Oct	A	Rakow II	2-3	L
10 Oct	H	Polonia Nysa	0-1	L
3 Oct	A	Sparta Katowice	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	Ślęza Wrocław	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Goczałkowice Zdrój	1-4	L
12 Sep	H	Stal Brzeg	1-0	W
5 Sep	A	Stilon Gorzów	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	Zagłębie Lubin II	0-2	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Zaglebie Sosnowiec and Warta Gorzów on record.

III Liga - Group 3 tableGroup IIIupdated 5 Nov 19:01 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 3 table, Zaglebie Sosnowiec sit 1st with 34 points from 15 games, while Warta Gorzów are 15th with 14 points from 15.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	15	11	1	3	23:10	+13	34
2	Sparta Katowice	15	10	3	2	27:10	+17	33
3	Odra Bytom Odrzański	15	8	4	3	16:11	+5	28
4	Zagłębie Lubin II	15	7	6	2	28:20	+8	27
5	ROW Rybnik	15	8	2	5	31:22	+9	26
6	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	15	6	5	4	20:14	+6	23
7	Górnik Polkowice	15	6	4	5	29:24	+5	22
8	Barycz Sułów	15	6	3	6	22:22	0	21
9	Miedź Legnica II	15	6	2	7	34:27	+7	20
10	Kluczbork	15	6	2	7	16:20	-4	20
11	Stal Brzeg	15	5	3	7	27:22	+5	18
12	Goczałkowice Zdrój	15	5	3	7	18:21	-3	18
13	Stilon Gorzów	15	4	5	6	21:24	-3	17
14	Ślęza Wrocław	15	4	2	9	23:34	-11	14
15	Warta Gorzów	15	3	5	7	13:29	-16	14
16	Rakow II	15	3	4	8	18:28	-10	13
17	Polonia Nysa	15	3	4	8	15:29	-14	13
18	Carina Gubin	15	3	4	8	12:26	-14	13

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg169%1.31X18%5.13214%6.61

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
1xBet	1.40	2.56	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.40	2.56	10.5%
Best of all books	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Average	1.41	2.58	9.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.01	10.0%
Best of all books	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Average	1.66	2.03	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 50%Draw 50%Warta Gorzów 0%

The statistical model rates Zaglebie Sosnowiec at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Warta Gorzów at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.31 | 5.13 | 6.61, which imply roughly 76.3% for a Zaglebie Sosnowiec win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 3 table: Zaglebie Sosnowiec are 1st (34 pts, 23-10 goals), Warta Gorzów 15th (14 pts, 13-29).

Over their last five matches, Zaglebie Sosnowiec averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game; Warta Gorzów averaged 0.6 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Zaglebie Sosnowiec.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.31	5.13	6.61

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.05	3.07	1.10

Draw no bet

1	2
1.13	5.10

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.66	2.03

1st half

1	X	2
1.71	2.71	6.09

2nd half

1	X	2
1.58	3.14	5.90

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.87	19.3	48.0
HT X	4.17	8.45	14.8
HT 2	18.3	19.3	12.1

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.32	21.5	3.23

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.41	2.58
3.5	2.07	1.64
4.5	3.34	1.24

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.14	4.40
2.25	1.27	3.14
2.75	1.50	2.30
3	1.64	2.03
3.25	1.86	1.79
3.75	2.36	1.48
4	2.83	1.33
4.25	3.08	1.28
5	5.40	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	2.69	1.36
-2	2.22	1.59
-1.75	2.07	1.67
-1.5	1.87	1.82
-1.25	1.67	1.99
-1	1.46	2.38

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4	6.40	1.05
-3.5	5.65	1.08
-3.25	3.58	1.21
-3	5.00	1.10
-2.5	3.08	1.28
-2.25	2.78	1.34
-0.75	1.36	2.71
-0.25	1.19	3.80
0	1.09	5.40
+0.25	1.19	3.80
+0.75	1.01	8.78
+1	1.02	7.90
+1.5	1.01	8.70

Next III Liga - Group 3 matches

6 Nov	Zagłębie Lubin II – Goczałkowice Zdrój
7 Nov	Stilon Gorzów – Stal Brzeg
7 Nov	Górnik Polkowice – Sparta Katowice

All III Liga - Group 3 fixtures and the table

Latest III Liga - Group 3 results

4 Nov	Rakow II 0-0 Kluczbork
30 Oct	Kluczbork 2-2 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
30 Oct	Ślęza Wrocław 2-2 Górnik Polkowice
30 Oct	Rakow II 1-3 ROW Rybnik
30 Oct	Miedź Legnica II 6-0 Warta Gorzów
24 Oct	Odra Bytom Odrzański 3-2 Stal Brzeg