Górnik Polkowice vs Sparta Katowice• III Liga - Group 3, Poland

#72.2:1.412:00Tomorrow1.8:0.8#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.35B365X3.70B36522.45MARMargin at best10.4%Books3Markets33Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 08:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	2.35	3.70	2.40	11.2%
1xBet	2.34	3.48	2.45	12.3%
Marathonbet	2.34	3.48	2.45	12.3%
Best of all books	2.35	3.70	2.45	10.4%
Average	2.34	3.55	2.43	11.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Górnik PolkowiceSparta Katowice

Last 10#7Table position#21.47Points per game2.208Form pts · last 5102.2Goals for · last 51.81.4Goals against · last 50.855Attack rating4536Defence rating6444Form rating560H2H rating10042Goals model5844Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 01:00 UTC

Górnik Polkowice

3W 2D 5L · goals 15:14 · per match 1.5 for, 1.4 against

30 Oct	A	Ślęza Wrocław	2-2	D
24 Oct	H	Goczałkowice Zdrój	4-1	W
17 Oct	A	Stal Brzeg	0-2	L
9 Oct	H	Stilon Gorzów	4-1	W
2 Oct	A	Zagłębie Lubin II	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	Odra Bytom Odrzański	0-1	L
18 Sep	H	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	Barycz Sułów	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Carina Gubin	2-1	W
2 Sep	H	Polonia Warszawa	0-1	L

Sparta Katowice

7W 2D 1L · goals 19:6 · per match 1.9 for, 0.6 against

31 Oct	H	Barycz Sułów	3-1	W
24 Oct	A	Carina Gubin	3-1	W
17 Oct	H	ROW Rybnik	2-0	W
10 Oct	A	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	0-1	L
3 Oct	H	Warta Gorzów	1-1	D
26 Sep	A	Miedź Legnica II	2-0	W
19 Sep	H	Kluczbork	2-1	W
13 Sep	A	Rakow II	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Polonia Nysa	4-0	W
29 Aug	H	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1-0	W

Head to head

0Górnik Polkowice wins

0draws

2Sparta Katowice wins

2 meetings · goals 0:6 · last 2: 0W 0D 2L for Górnik Polkowice

13 Mar 2026III Liga - Group 3	III Liga - Group 3	Górnik Polkowice0-4Sparta Katowice
27 Aug 2025III Liga - Group 3	III Liga - Group 3	Sparta Katowice2-0Górnik Polkowice

III Liga - Group 3 tableGroup IIIupdated 6 Nov 13:01 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 3 table, Górnik Polkowice sit 7th with 22 points from 15 games, while Sparta Katowice are 2nd with 33 points from 15.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	15	11	1	3	23:10	+13	34
2	Sparta Katowice	15	10	3	2	27:10	+17	33
3	Odra Bytom Odrzański	15	8	4	3	16:11	+5	28
4	Zagłębie Lubin II	15	7	6	2	28:20	+8	27
5	ROW Rybnik	15	8	2	5	31:22	+9	26
6	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	15	6	5	4	20:14	+6	23
7	Górnik Polkowice	15	6	4	5	29:24	+5	22
8	Barycz Sułów	15	6	3	6	22:22	0	21
9	Miedź Legnica II	15	6	2	7	34:27	+7	20
10	Kluczbork	15	6	2	7	16:20	-4	20
11	Stal Brzeg	15	5	3	7	27:22	+5	18
12	Goczałkowice Zdrój	15	5	3	7	18:21	-3	18
13	Stilon Gorzów	15	4	5	6	21:24	-3	17
14	Ślęza Wrocław	15	4	2	9	23:34	-11	14
15	Warta Gorzów	15	3	5	7	13:29	-16	14
16	Rakow II	15	3	4	8	18:28	-10	13
17	Polonia Nysa	15	3	4	8	15:29	-14	13
18	Carina Gubin	15	3	4	8	12:26	-14	13

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.34X25%3.55237%2.43

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.34 → 2.34 0.0%X3.57 → 3.55 -0.6%22.49 → 2.43 -2.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.25	6.2%
1xBet	1.58	2.18	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.18	9.2%
Best of all books	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Average	1.59	2.20	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.49	2.39	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.49	2.34	9.8%
Best of all books	1.49	2.39	9.0%
Average	1.49	2.37	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Górnik Polkowice 10%Draw 45%Sparta Katowice 45%

The statistical model rates Górnik Polkowice at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Sparta Katowice at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.34 | 3.55 | 2.43, which imply roughly 28.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 3 table: Górnik Polkowice are 7th (22 pts, 29-24 goals), Sparta Katowice 2nd (33 pts, 27-10).

Over their last five matches, Górnik Polkowice averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Sparta Katowice averaged 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Sparta Katowice.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.34	3.55	2.43

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.42	1.46	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.83	1.83

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.49	2.37

1st half

1	X	2
2.85	2.31	3.03

2nd half

1	X	2
2.62	2.61	2.78

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.45	13.0	27.0
HT X	5.80	5.80	6.60
HT 2	25.0	13.0	4.20

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.86	16.0	1.92

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.15	4.25
2.5	1.59	2.20
3.5	2.42	1.44
4.5	4.20	1.15

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.18	3.84
2	1.23	3.42
2.25	1.40	2.57
2.75	1.71	1.95
3	1.91	1.72
3.25	2.17	1.56
3.75	2.83	1.33
4	3.58	1.21

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.58	1.21
-0.75	2.74	1.35
-0.25	2.04	1.63
0	1.81	1.90
+0.25	1.59	2.13
+0.75	1.32	2.88

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	8.10	1.02
-1.5	4.40	1.14
-1.25	4.00	1.17
+1	1.18	3.88
+1.5	1.12	4.65
+2	1.01	8.70

Next III Liga - Group 3 matches

7 Nov	Stilon Gorzów – Stal Brzeg
8 Nov	Zaglebie Sosnowiec – Warta Gorzów

All III Liga - Group 3 fixtures and the table

Latest III Liga - Group 3 results

6 Nov	Zagłębie Lubin II 1-2 Goczałkowice Zdrój
4 Nov	Rakow II 0-0 Kluczbork
30 Oct	Kluczbork 2-2 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
30 Oct	Ślęza Wrocław 2-2 Górnik Polkowice
30 Oct	Rakow II 1-3 ROW Rybnik
30 Oct	Miedź Legnica II 6-0 Warta Gorzów