Zagłębie Lubin II vs Goczałkowice Zdrój• III Liga - Group 3, Poland

#41.2:1.61-1LiveToday · KGHM Zaglebie Arena, Lubin1.4:1.2#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.91BVCX3.75WH23.55DAFMargin at best7.2%Books8Markets40Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.90	3.70	3.55	7.8%
BetVictor	1.91	3.60	3.40	9.5%
1xBet	1.85	3.62	3.42	10.9%
Betano	1.88	3.55	3.35	11.2%
Pinnacle	1.88	3.49	3.32	12.0%
Bet365	1.85	3.75	3.20	12.0%
Marathonbet	1.83	3.62	3.34	12.2%
William Hill	1.83	3.75	3.00	14.6%
Best of all books	1.91	3.75	3.55	7.2%
Average	1.87	3.64	3.32	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Zagłębie Lubin IIGoczałkowice Zdrój

Last 10#4Table position#121.80Points per game1.205Form pts · last 571.2Goals for · last 51.41.6Goals against · last 51.246Attack rating5443Defence rating5742Form rating5862H2H rating3888Goals model1257Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 19:00 UTC

Zagłębie Lubin II

4W 4D 2L · goals 17:13 · per match 1.7 for, 1.3 against

31 Oct	A	Stal Brzeg	1-4	L
25 Oct	H	Stilon Gorzów	3-1	W
17 Oct	H	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	0-1	L
10 Oct	A	Odra Bytom Odrzański	1-1	D
2 Oct	H	Górnik Polkowice	1-1	D
26 Sep	A	Barycz Sułów	3-3	D
18 Sep	H	Carina Gubin	3-0	W
12 Sep	A	ROW Rybnik	2-2	D
5 Sep	H	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	1-0	W
29 Aug	A	Warta Gorzów	2-0	W

Goczałkowice Zdrój

4W 2D 4L · goals 14:14 · per match 1.4 for, 1.4 against

31 Oct	H	Odra Bytom Odrzański	3-0	W
24 Oct	A	Górnik Polkowice	1-4	L
17 Oct	H	Barycz Sułów	3-1	W
10 Oct	A	Carina Gubin	0-0	D
3 Oct	H	ROW Rybnik	0-1	L
26 Sep	A	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	0-2	L
19 Sep	H	Warta Gorzów	4-1	W
12 Sep	A	Miedź Legnica II	0-5	L
5 Sep	H	Kluczbork	3-0	W
29 Aug	A	Rakow II	0-0	D

Head to head

2Zagłębie Lubin II wins

2draws

2Goczałkowice Zdrój wins

6 meetings · goals 14:10 · last 6: 2W 2D 2L for Zagłębie Lubin II

30 May 2026III Liga - Group 3	III Liga - Group 3	Goczałkowice Zdrój3-2Zagłębie Lubin II
14 Nov 2025III Liga - Group 3	III Liga - Group 3	Zagłębie Lubin II5-0Goczałkowice Zdrój
15 May 2022III Liga - Group 3	III Liga - Group 3	Zagłębie Lubin II4-4Goczałkowice Zdrój
9 Oct 2021III Liga - Group 3	III Liga - Group 3	Goczałkowice Zdrój0-0Zagłębie Lubin II
27 Mar 2021III Liga - Group 3	III Liga - Group 3	Goczałkowice Zdrój1-2Zagłębie Lubin II
15 Aug 2020III Liga - Group 3	III Liga - Group 3	Zagłębie Lubin II1-2Goczałkowice Zdrój

III Liga - Group 3 tableGroup IIIupdated 5 Nov 19:01 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 3 table, Zagłębie Lubin II sit 4th with 27 points from 15 games, while Goczałkowice Zdrój are 12th with 18 points from 15.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	15	11	1	3	23:10	+13	34
2	Sparta Katowice	15	10	3	2	27:10	+17	33
3	Odra Bytom Odrzański	15	8	4	3	16:11	+5	28
4	Zagłębie Lubin II	15	7	6	2	28:20	+8	27
5	ROW Rybnik	15	8	2	5	31:22	+9	26
6	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	15	6	5	4	20:14	+6	23
7	Górnik Polkowice	15	6	4	5	29:24	+5	22
8	Barycz Sułów	15	6	3	6	22:22	0	21
9	Miedź Legnica II	15	6	2	7	34:27	+7	20
10	Kluczbork	15	6	2	7	16:20	-4	20
11	Stal Brzeg	15	5	3	7	27:22	+5	18
12	Goczałkowice Zdrój	15	5	3	7	18:21	-3	18
13	Stilon Gorzów	15	4	5	6	21:24	-3	17
14	Ślęza Wrocław	15	4	2	9	23:34	-11	14
15	Warta Gorzów	15	3	5	7	13:29	-16	14
16	Rakow II	15	3	4	8	18:28	-10	13
17	Polonia Nysa	15	3	4	8	15:29	-14	13
18	Carina Gubin	15	3	4	8	12:26	-14	13

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.87X25%3.64227%3.32

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.82 → 1.87 +2.7%X3.65 → 3.64 -0.3%23.52 → 3.33 -5.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
BetVictor	1.56	2.23	8.9%
1xBet	1.55	2.24	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.55	2.24	9.2%
Pinnacle	1.55	2.23	9.4%
Betano	1.53	2.25	9.8%
Best of all books	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Average	1.55	2.26	8.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.50	2.40	8.3%
William Hill	1.50	2.38	8.7%
1xBet	1.50	2.36	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.50	2.31	10.0%
Best of all books	1.50	2.40	8.3%
Average	1.50	2.36	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Zagłębie Lubin II 45%Draw 45%Goczałkowice Zdrój 10%

The statistical model rates Zagłębie Lubin II at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Goczałkowice Zdrój at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.87 | 3.64 | 3.32, which imply roughly 53.5% for a Zagłębie Lubin II win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 3 table: Zagłębie Lubin II are 4th (27 pts, 28-20 goals), Goczałkowice Zdrój 12th (18 pts, 18-21).

Over their last five matches, Zagłębie Lubin II averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Goczałkowice Zdrój averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Zagłębie Lubin II or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.87	3.64	3.32

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.25	1.77	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.44	2.56

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.50	2.36

1st half

1	X	2
2.36	2.33	3.72

2nd half

1	X	2
2.19	2.64	3.46

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.84	13.7	31.3
HT X	5.20	6.30	8.07
HT 2	21.0	14.2	5.47

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.65	15.8	2.26

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.0
1.5	1.14	4.52
2.5	1.55	2.26
3.5	2.31	1.50
4.5	4.11	1.17
5.5	8.00	1.06

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	9.00
1.75	1.17	3.98
2	1.21	3.58
2.25	1.38	2.67
2.75	1.67	2.01
3	1.85	1.80
3.25	2.10	1.62
3.75	2.71	1.36
4	3.34	1.24

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.82	1.34
-1	2.54	1.42
-0.75	2.07	1.66
-0.5	1.87	1.82
-0.25	1.64	2.07
0	1.42	2.55

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.00	1.06
-2	5.30	1.09
-1.5	3.14	1.27
+0.25	1.33	2.88
+0.75	1.16	4.10
+1	1.07	5.90
+1.5	1.05	6.65

Next III Liga - Group 3 matches

7 Nov	Stilon Gorzów – Stal Brzeg
7 Nov	Górnik Polkowice – Sparta Katowice
8 Nov	Zaglebie Sosnowiec – Warta Gorzów

All III Liga - Group 3 fixtures and the table

Latest III Liga - Group 3 results

4 Nov	Rakow II 0-0 Kluczbork
30 Oct	Kluczbork 2-2 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
30 Oct	Ślęza Wrocław 2-2 Górnik Polkowice
30 Oct	Rakow II 1-3 ROW Rybnik
30 Oct	Miedź Legnica II 6-0 Warta Gorzów
24 Oct	Odra Bytom Odrzański 3-2 Stal Brzeg