Górnik Polkowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój• III Liga - Group 3, Poland

#81.2:1.411:00Today1.4:1.0#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.95B365X3.70BTN23.64PINMargin at best5.8%Books7Markets38Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.88	3.70	3.60	8.0%
BetVictor	1.87	3.60	3.50	9.8%
1xBet	1.82	3.54	3.61	10.9%
Betano	1.85	3.70	3.35	10.9%
Marathonbet	1.80	3.54	3.52	12.2%
Bet365	1.95	3.60	3.00	12.4%
Pinnacle	1.78	3.46	3.64	12.6%
Best of all books	1.95	3.70	3.64	5.8%
Average	1.85	3.59	3.46	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Górnik PolkowiceGoczałkowice Zdrój

Last 10#8Table position#121.38Points per game1.154Form pts · last 571.2Goals for · last 51.41.4Goals against · last 51.046Attack rating5442Defence rating5836Form rating6425H2H rating7584Goals model1644Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 19:10 UTC

Górnik Polkowice

4W 1D 5L · goals 14:13 · per match 1.4 for, 1.3 against

17 Oct	A	Stal Brzeg	0-2	L
9 Oct	H	Stilon Gorzów	4-1	W
2 Oct	A	Zagłębie Lubin II	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	Odra Bytom Odrzański	0-1	L
18 Sep	H	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	Barycz Sułów	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Carina Gubin	2-1	W
2 Sep	H	Polonia Warszawa	0-1	L
29 Aug	A	ROW Rybnik	3-1	W
23 Aug	H	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	2-1	W

Goczałkowice Zdrój

4W 2D 4L · goals 13:12 · per match 1.3 for, 1.2 against

17 Oct	H	Barycz Sułów	3-1	W
10 Oct	A	Carina Gubin	0-0	D
3 Oct	H	ROW Rybnik	0-1	L
26 Sep	A	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	0-2	L
19 Sep	H	Warta Gorzów	4-1	W
12 Sep	A	Miedź Legnica II	0-5	L
5 Sep	H	Kluczbork	3-0	W
29 Aug	A	Rakow II	0-0	D
22 Aug	H	Polonia Nysa	2-0	W
19 Aug	A	Sparta Katowice	1-2	L

Head to head

0Górnik Polkowice wins

3draws

3Goczałkowice Zdrój wins

6 meetings · goals 3:6 · last 6: 0W 3D 3L for Górnik Polkowice

17 Apr 2026III Liga - Group 3	III Liga - Group 3	Górnik Polkowice0-0Goczałkowice Zdrój
27 Sep 2025III Liga - Group 3	III Liga - Group 3	Goczałkowice Zdrój0-0Górnik Polkowice
26 Apr 2025III Liga - Group 3	III Liga - Group 3	Goczałkowice Zdrój2-1Górnik Polkowice
28 Sep 2024III Liga - Group 3	III Liga - Group 3	Górnik Polkowice0-0Goczałkowice Zdrój
23 Mar 2024III Liga - Group 3	III Liga - Group 3	Goczałkowice Zdrój2-1Górnik Polkowice
27 Aug 2023III Liga - Group 3	III Liga - Group 3	Górnik Polkowice1-2Goczałkowice Zdrój

III Liga - Group 3 tableGroup IIIupdated 23 Oct 18:40 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 3 table, Górnik Polkowice sit 8th with 18 points from 13 games, while Goczałkowice Zdrój are 12th with 15 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	14	10	1	3	21:10	+11	31
2	Sparta Katowice	13	8	3	2	21:8	+13	27
3	Odra Bytom Odrzański	13	7	4	2	13:6	+7	25
4	Zagłębie Lubin II	13	6	6	1	24:15	+9	24
5	Barycz Sułów	13	6	3	4	20:17	+3	21
6	ROW Rybnik	13	6	2	5	25:21	+4	20
7	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	13	5	4	4	15:11	+4	19
8	Górnik Polkowice	13	5	3	5	23:21	+2	18
9	Miedź Legnica II	14	5	2	7	28:27	+1	17
10	Stilon Gorzów	13	4	5	4	20:19	+1	17
11	Stal Brzeg	13	4	3	6	21:18	+3	15
12	Goczałkowice Zdrój	13	4	3	6	14:17	-3	15
13	Kluczbork	12	5	0	7	12:18	-6	15
14	Warta Gorzów	13	3	5	5	13:21	-8	14
15	Rakow II	12	3	3	6	16:22	-6	12
16	Polonia Nysa	13	3	3	7	15:26	-11	12
17	Carina Gubin	13	3	3	7	11:23	-12	12
18	Ślęza Wrocław	13	3	1	9	19:31	-12	10

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.85X25%3.59226%3.46

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.98 → 1.85 -6.6%X3.57 → 3.59 +0.6%23.08 → 3.46 +12.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Pinnacle	1.66	2.07	8.6%
BetVictor	1.64	2.08	9.1%
1xBet	1.65	2.06	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.65	2.06	9.1%
Betano	1.62	2.07	10.0%
Best of all books	1.66	2.20	5.7%
Average	1.65	2.09	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.57	2.25	8.1%
1xBet	1.58	2.19	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.15	9.8%
Best of all books	1.58	2.25	7.7%
Average	1.58	2.20	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Górnik Polkowice 10%Draw 45%Goczałkowice Zdrój 45%

The statistical model rates Górnik Polkowice at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Goczałkowice Zdrój at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.85 | 3.59 | 3.46, which imply roughly 27.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 3 table: Górnik Polkowice are 8th (18 pts, 23-21 goals), Goczałkowice Zdrój 12th (15 pts, 14-17).

Over their last five matches, Górnik Polkowice averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Goczałkowice Zdrój averaged 1.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Goczałkowice Zdrój.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.85	3.59	3.46

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.24	1.76	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.46	2.50

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.58	2.20

1st half

1	X	2
2.40	2.27	3.88

2nd half

1	X	2
2.16	2.62	3.64

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.91	14.3	32.0
HT X	5.10	6.00	7.83
HT 2	22.0	14.7	5.47

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.67	13.9	2.27

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.17	4.11
2.5	1.65	2.09
3.5	2.60	1.41
4.5	4.83	1.12
5.5	9.50	1.03

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.21	3.58
2	1.27	3.14
2.25	1.46	2.41
2.75	1.81	1.85
3	2.05	1.64
3.25	2.33	1.50
3.75	3.08	1.28
4	4.05	1.16

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.77	1.35
-1	2.50	1.44
-0.75	2.05	1.65
-0.5	1.86	1.84
-0.25	1.60	2.13
0	1.39	2.69

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.40	1.05
-2	5.65	1.08
-1.5	3.14	1.27
+0.25	1.29	3.09
+0.75	1.14	4.40
+1	1.05	6.70
+1.5	1.03	7.70

Next III Liga - Group 3 matches

24 Oct	Carina Gubin – Sparta Katowice
24 Oct	Warta Gorzów – Kluczbork
24 Oct	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra – Rakow II
24 Oct	ROW Rybnik – Polonia Nysa
24 Oct	Odra Bytom Odrzański – Stal Brzeg

All III Liga - Group 3 fixtures and the table

Latest III Liga - Group 3 results

23 Oct	Zaglebie Sosnowiec 3-1 Miedź Legnica II
17 Oct	Kluczbork 2-0 Miedź Legnica II
17 Oct	Ślęza Wrocław 1-3 Carina Gubin
17 Oct	Stilon Gorzów 0-0 Odra Bytom Odrzański
17 Oct	Goczałkowice Zdrój 3-1 Barycz Sułów
17 Oct	Rakow II 3-2 Warta Gorzów