Ślęza Wrocław vs Carina Gubin• III Liga - Group 3, Poland

#181.8:2.21-3FT17/100.6:1.4#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.05B365X3.72MAR23.37PINMargin at best5.3%Books5Markets38Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	1.95	3.70	3.20	9.6%
Bet365	2.05	3.70	2.75	12.2%
Marathonbet	1.84	3.72	3.22	12.3%
Pinnacle	1.83	3.54	3.37	12.6%
1xBet	1.86	–	3.30	–
Best of all books	2.05	3.72	3.37	5.3%
Average	1.91	3.67	3.17	11.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ślęza WrocławCarina Gubin

Last 10#18Table position#170.77Points per game0.924Form pts · last 551.8Goals for · last 50.62.2Goals against · last 51.475Attack rating2539Defence rating6144Form rating5664H2H rating3669Goals model3158Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 05:20 UTC

Ślęza Wrocław

3W 1D 6L · goals 16:20 · per match 1.6 for, 2.0 against

10 Oct	A	ROW Rybnik	1-2	L
3 Oct	H	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	2-0	W
26 Sep	A	Warta Gorzów	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Miedź Legnica II	3-5	L
12 Sep	A	Kluczbork	2-3	L
5 Sep	H	Rakow II	1-2	L
29 Aug	A	Polonia Nysa	3-1	W
22 Aug	A	Sparta Katowice	0-3	L
19 Aug	A	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1-3	L
15 Aug	A	Goczałkowice Zdrój	2-0	W

Carina Gubin

1W 3D 6L · goals 5:19 · per match 0.5 for, 1.9 against

10 Oct	H	Goczałkowice Zdrój	0-0	D
3 Oct	A	Stal Brzeg	1-0	W
26 Sep	H	Stilon Gorzów	1-3	L
18 Sep	A	Zagłębie Lubin II	0-3	L
11 Sep	H	Odra Bytom Odrzański	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Górnik Polkowice	1-2	L
28 Aug	H	Barycz Sułów	0-1	L
22 Aug	H	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	0-4	L
19 Aug	A	ROW Rybnik	0-4	L
14 Aug	H	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	1-1	D

Head to head

5Ślęza Wrocław wins

5draws

0Carina Gubin wins

10 meetings · goals 21:7 · last 10: 5W 5D 0L for Ślęza Wrocław

10 Apr 2026III Liga - Group 3	III Liga - Group 3	Carina Gubin1-1Ślęza Wrocław
20 Sep 2025III Liga - Group 3	III Liga - Group 3	Ślęza Wrocław2-2Carina Gubin
28 Feb 2025III Liga - Group 3	III Liga - Group 3	Ślęza Wrocław0-0Carina Gubin
10 Aug 2024III Liga - Group 3	III Liga - Group 3	Carina Gubin1-2Ślęza Wrocław
26 Apr 2024III Liga - Group 3	III Liga - Group 3	Ślęza Wrocław1-1Carina Gubin
30 Sep 2023III Liga - Group 3	III Liga - Group 3	Carina Gubin1-4Ślęza Wrocław
13 May 2023III Liga - Group 3	III Liga - Group 3	Ślęza Wrocław2-0Carina Gubin
8 Oct 2022III Liga - Group 3	III Liga - Group 3	Carina Gubin1-3Ślęza Wrocław
12 Mar 2022III Liga - Group 3	III Liga - Group 3	Carina Gubin0-0Ślęza Wrocław
14 Aug 2021III Liga - Group 3	III Liga - Group 3	Ślęza Wrocław6-0Carina Gubin

III Liga - Group 3 tableGroup IIIupdated 22 Oct 16:30 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 3 table, Ślęza Wrocław sit 18th with 10 points from 13 games, while Carina Gubin are 17th with 12 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	13	9	1	3	18:9	+9	28
2	Sparta Katowice	13	8	3	2	21:8	+13	27
3	Odra Bytom Odrzański	13	7	4	2	13:6	+7	25
4	Zagłębie Lubin II	13	6	6	1	24:15	+9	24
5	Barycz Sułów	13	6	3	4	20:17	+3	21
6	ROW Rybnik	13	6	2	5	25:21	+4	20
7	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	13	5	4	4	15:11	+4	19
8	Górnik Polkowice	13	5	3	5	23:21	+2	18
9	Miedź Legnica II	13	5	2	6	27:24	+3	17
10	Stilon Gorzów	13	4	5	4	20:19	+1	17
11	Stal Brzeg	13	4	3	6	21:18	+3	15
12	Goczałkowice Zdrój	13	4	3	6	14:17	-3	15
13	Kluczbork	12	5	0	7	12:18	-6	15
14	Warta Gorzów	13	3	5	5	13:21	-8	14
15	Rakow II	12	3	3	6	16:22	-6	12
16	Polonia Nysa	13	3	3	7	15:26	-11	12
17	Carina Gubin	13	3	3	7	11:23	-12	12
18	Ślęza Wrocław	13	3	1	9	19:31	-12	10

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.92X25%3.68229%3.16

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.05 → 1.91 -6.8%X3.71 → 3.67 -1.1%22.74 → 3.17 +15.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
BetVictor	1.54	2.27	9.0%
1xBet	1.53	2.29	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.29	9.0%
Pinnacle	1.51	2.31	9.5%
Best of all books	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Average	1.54	2.30	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.47	2.45	8.8%
1xBet	1.49	2.39	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.49	2.34	9.8%
Best of all books	1.49	2.45	7.9%
Average	1.48	2.39	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ślęza Wrocław 45%Draw 45%Carina Gubin 10%

The statistical model rated Ślęza Wrocław at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Carina Gubin at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.92 | 3.68 | 3.16, which imply roughly 52.1% for a Ślęza Wrocław win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 3 table: Ślęza Wrocław are 18th (10 pts, 19-31 goals), Carina Gubin 17th (12 pts, 11-23).

Over their last five matches, Ślęza Wrocław averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Carina Gubin averaged 0.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Ślęza Wrocław.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.91	3.67	3.17

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.28	1.70	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.56	2.33

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.48	2.39

1st half

1	X	2
2.44	2.36	3.57

2nd half

1	X	2
2.20	2.68	3.46

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.05	14.0	28.0
HT X	5.60	6.50	7.40
HT 2	21.5	14.5	4.77

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.71	17.0	2.13

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.13	4.73
2.5	1.54	2.30
3.5	2.31	1.50
4.5	4.24	1.16
5.5	8.50	1.04

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.15	4.20
2	1.19	3.74
2.25	1.37	2.74
2.75	1.65	2.04
3	1.84	1.81
3.25	2.09	1.63
3.75	2.72	1.36
4	3.50	1.22

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.60	1.40
-0.75	2.12	1.60
-0.5	1.89	1.81
-0.25	1.70	2.02
0	1.44	2.51
+0.25	1.36	2.79

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.90	1.04
-2	6.05	1.06
-1.5	3.28	1.25
-1.25	2.89	1.32
+0.75	1.16	4.05
+1	1.06	6.05
+1.5	1.04	7.10

Next III Liga - Group 3 matches

23 Oct

Zaglebie Sosnowiec – Miedź Legnica II

All III Liga - Group 3 fixtures and the table

Latest III Liga - Group 3 results

17 Oct	Kluczbork 2-0 Miedź Legnica II
17 Oct	Stilon Gorzów 0-0 Odra Bytom Odrzański
17 Oct	Goczałkowice Zdrój 3-1 Barycz Sułów
17 Oct	Rakow II 3-2 Warta Gorzów
17 Oct	Sparta Katowice 2-0 ROW Rybnik
17 Oct	Zagłębie Lubin II 0-1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec