Carina Gubin vs Sparta Katowice• III Liga - Group 3, Poland

#171.0:1.412:00Today1.4:0.6#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.60DAFX4.10DAF21.52BTNMargin at best8.0%Books5Markets43Rating40 · 61Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	5.60	4.10	1.52	8.0%
Betano	5.00	4.00	1.52	10.8%
1xBet	5.38	4.05	1.48	10.8%
Marathonbet	5.15	4.05	1.47	12.1%
Pinnacle	5.04	3.88	1.49	12.7%
Best of all books	5.60	4.10	1.52	8.0%
Average	5.23	4.02	1.50	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Carina GubinSparta Katowice

Last 10#17Table position#20.92Points per game2.087Form pts · last 5101.0Goals for · last 51.41.4Goals against · last 50.642Attack rating5830Defence rating7041Form rating5950H2H rating5024Goals model7640Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 07:01 UTC

Carina Gubin

2W 2D 6L · goals 7:19 · per match 0.7 for, 1.9 against

17 Oct	A	Ślęza Wrocław	3-1	W
10 Oct	H	Goczałkowice Zdrój	0-0	D
3 Oct	A	Stal Brzeg	1-0	W
26 Sep	H	Stilon Gorzów	1-3	L
18 Sep	A	Zagłębie Lubin II	0-3	L
11 Sep	H	Odra Bytom Odrzański	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Górnik Polkowice	1-2	L
28 Aug	H	Barycz Sułów	0-1	L
22 Aug	H	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	0-4	L
19 Aug	A	ROW Rybnik	0-4	L

Sparta Katowice

7W 2D 1L · goals 18:5 · per match 1.8 for, 0.5 against

17 Oct	H	ROW Rybnik	2-0	W
10 Oct	A	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	0-1	L
3 Oct	H	Warta Gorzów	1-1	D
26 Sep	A	Miedź Legnica II	2-0	W
19 Sep	H	Kluczbork	2-1	W
13 Sep	A	Rakow II	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Polonia Nysa	4-0	W
29 Aug	H	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1-0	W
22 Aug	H	Ślęza Wrocław	3-0	W
19 Aug	H	Goczałkowice Zdrój	2-1	W

Head to head

0Carina Gubin wins

2draws

0Sparta Katowice wins

2 meetings · goals 2:2 · last 2: 0W 2D 0L for Carina Gubin

18 Mar 2026III Liga - Group 3	III Liga - Group 3	Carina Gubin1-1Sparta Katowice
16 Aug 2025III Liga - Group 3	III Liga - Group 3	Sparta Katowice1-1Carina Gubin

III Liga - Group 3 tableGroup IIIupdated 23 Oct 18:40 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 3 table, Carina Gubin sit 17th with 12 points from 13 games, while Sparta Katowice are 2nd with 27 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	14	10	1	3	21:10	+11	31
2	Sparta Katowice	13	8	3	2	21:8	+13	27
3	Odra Bytom Odrzański	13	7	4	2	13:6	+7	25
4	Zagłębie Lubin II	13	6	6	1	24:15	+9	24
5	Barycz Sułów	13	6	3	4	20:17	+3	21
6	ROW Rybnik	13	6	2	5	25:21	+4	20
7	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	13	5	4	4	15:11	+4	19
8	Górnik Polkowice	13	5	3	5	23:21	+2	18
9	Miedź Legnica II	14	5	2	7	28:27	+1	17
10	Stilon Gorzów	13	4	5	4	20:19	+1	17
11	Stal Brzeg	13	4	3	6	21:18	+3	15
12	Goczałkowice Zdrój	13	4	3	6	14:17	-3	15
13	Kluczbork	12	5	0	7	12:18	-6	15
14	Warta Gorzów	13	3	5	5	13:21	-8	14
15	Rakow II	12	3	3	6	16:22	-6	12
16	Polonia Nysa	13	3	3	7	15:26	-11	12
17	Carina Gubin	13	3	3	7	11:23	-12	12
18	Ślęza Wrocław	13	3	1	9	19:31	-12	10

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg117%5.23X22%4.02260%1.50

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.61	2.15	8.6%
1xBet	1.61	2.13	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.13	9.1%
Betano	1.60	2.10	10.1%
Best of all books	1.61	2.15	8.6%
Average	1.61	2.13	9.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.69	2.00	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.69	1.97	9.9%
Best of all books	1.69	2.00	9.2%
Average	1.69	1.98	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Carina Gubin 10%Draw 45%Sparta Katowice 45%

The statistical model rates Carina Gubin at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Sparta Katowice at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.23 | 4.02 | 1.50, which imply roughly 24.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 3 table: Carina Gubin are 17th (12 pts, 11-23 goals), Sparta Katowice 2nd (27 pts, 21-8).

Over their last five matches, Carina Gubin averaged 1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Sparta Katowice averaged 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Sparta Katowice and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
5.23	4.02	1.50

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.26	1.10	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
3.70	1.21

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.69	1.99

1st half

1	X	2
5.21	2.33	2.00

2nd half

1	X	2
4.89	2.77	1.80

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	9.07	16.5	21.0
HT X	11.5	6.20	4.25
HT 2	47.5	15.3	2.17

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.92	15.0	1.40

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.16	4.10
2.5	1.61	2.13
3.5	2.47	1.43
4.5	4.35	1.14

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.20	3.68
2	1.25	3.28
2.25	1.43	2.50
2.75	1.76	1.91
3	1.98	1.69
3.25	2.25	1.53
3.75	2.92	1.31
4	3.74	1.19

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.5	2.39	1.48
+0.75	2.10	1.61
+1	1.84	1.82
+1.25	1.62	2.08
+1.5	1.48	2.34
+1.75	1.35	2.76

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	4.50	1.13
0	4.00	1.17
+0.25	2.89	1.32
+2	1.22	3.50
+2.5	1.15	4.20
+3	1.03	7.40
+3.5	1.02	8.10

Next III Liga - Group 3 matches

24 Oct	Górnik Polkowice – Goczałkowice Zdrój
24 Oct	Warta Gorzów – Kluczbork
24 Oct	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra – Rakow II
24 Oct	ROW Rybnik – Polonia Nysa
24 Oct	Odra Bytom Odrzański – Stal Brzeg

All III Liga - Group 3 fixtures and the table

Latest III Liga - Group 3 results

23 Oct	Zaglebie Sosnowiec 3-1 Miedź Legnica II
17 Oct	Kluczbork 2-0 Miedź Legnica II
17 Oct	Ślęza Wrocław 1-3 Carina Gubin
17 Oct	Stilon Gorzów 0-0 Odra Bytom Odrzański
17 Oct	Goczałkowice Zdrój 3-1 Barycz Sułów
17 Oct	Rakow II 3-2 Warta Gorzów