Busko-Zdroj vs Jarosław• III Liga - Group 4, Poland

#131.2:2.82-1FT08/111.0:2.2#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.00DAFX4.40DAF21.70BVCMargin at best6.6%Books7Markets41Rating56 · 45Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	4.00	4.20	1.68	8.3%
BetVictor	3.90	4.00	1.70	9.5%
1xBet	3.91	3.98	1.66	10.9%
Betano	3.80	4.00	1.67	11.2%
Bet365	3.70	4.10	1.67	11.3%
Pinnacle	3.68	3.85	1.70	12.0%
Marathonbet	3.82	3.98	1.64	12.3%
Best of all books	4.00	4.20	1.70	7.6%
Average	3.83	4.02	1.67	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Busko-ZdrojJarosław

Last 10#13Table position#121.06Points per game1.133Form pts · last 511.2Goals for · last 51.02.8Goals against · last 52.255Attack rating4544Defence rating5675Form rating250H2H rating048Goals model5256Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 18:00 UTC

Busko-Zdroj

4W 0D 6L · goals 14:23 · per match 1.4 for, 2.3 against

8 Nov	H	Jarosław	2-1	W
31 Oct	H	Chełmianka Chełm	0-3	L
24 Oct	A	Czarni Połaniec	1-2	L
18 Oct	H	Hetman Zamosc	2-4	L
10 Oct	A	KSZO 1929	0-5	L
4 Oct	H	Wisła Kraków II	3-0	W
26 Sep	A	Naprzód	1-4	L
19 Sep	H	Moravia Morawica	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Wiślanie Jaśkowice	2-1	W

Jarosław

3W 2D 5L · goals 22:20 · per match 2.2 for, 2.0 against

31 Oct	H	Czarni Połaniec	2-2	D
25 Oct	A	Hetman Zamosc	0-1	L
17 Oct	H	KSZO 1929	1-3	L
10 Oct	A	Wisła Kraków II	1-2	L
3 Oct	H	Naprzód	1-3	L
27 Sep	A	Moravia Morawica	2-2	D
19 Sep	H	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	5-2	W
12 Sep	A	Wiślanie Jaśkowice	1-3	L
5 Sep	H	Korona Kielce II	6-2	W
29 Aug	H	Star Starachowice	3-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Busko-Zdroj and Jarosław on record.

III Liga - Group 4 tableGroup IVupdated 13 Nov 19:01 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 4 table, Busko-Zdroj sit 13th with 17 points from 16 games, while Jarosław are 12th with 18 points from 16.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Chełmianka Chełm	16	12	4	0	27:7	+20	40
2	KSZO 1929	16	8	5	3	27:14	+13	29
3	Hetman Zamosc	16	8	5	3	32:24	+8	29
4	Wisłoka Dębica	16	9	2	5	25:21	+4	29
5	Naprzód	16	8	4	4	34:29	+5	28
6	Czarni Połaniec	16	8	4	4	25:22	+3	28
7	Wisła Kraków II	16	7	4	5	21:20	+1	25
8	Wiślanie Jaśkowice	16	7	3	6	24:18	+6	24
9	Star Starachowice	16	6	5	5	27:24	+3	23
10	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	16	6	3	7	23:23	0	21
11	KS Wieczysta Krakow II	16	5	4	7	16:19	-3	19
12	Jarosław	16	5	3	8	32:30	+2	18
13	Busko-Zdroj	16	5	2	9	22:36	-14	17
14	Sokół Kolb.	16	3	7	6	16:20	-4	16
15	Korona Kielce II	16	4	3	9	31:37	-6	15
16	Podlasie Biała Podlaska	16	3	4	9	12:27	-15	13
17	Moravia Morawica	16	3	3	10	19:29	-10	12
18	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	16	3	3	10	19:32	-13	12

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg124%3.83X22%4.02254%1.67

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.78 → 3.82 +1.1%X4.20 → 4.05 -3.6%21.66 → 1.67 +0.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
BetVictor	1.40	2.80	7.1%
Bet365	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Pinnacle	1.38	2.70	9.5%
1xBet	1.36	2.70	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.36	2.70	10.6%
Best of all books	1.40	2.80	7.1%
Average	1.38	2.73	9.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.40	2.70	8.5%
1xBet	1.39	2.69	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.39	2.63	10.0%
Best of all books	1.40	2.70	8.5%
Average	1.39	2.67	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Busko-Zdroj 45%Draw 45%Jarosław 10%

The statistical model rated Busko-Zdroj at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Jarosław at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.83 | 4.02 | 1.67, which imply roughly 26.1% for a Busko-Zdroj win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 4 table: Busko-Zdroj are 13th (17 pts, 22-36 goals), Jarosław 12th (18 pts, 32-30).

Over their last five matches, Busko-Zdroj averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game; Jarosław averaged 1 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Busko-Zdroj or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.83	4.02	1.67

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.97	1.19	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
2.99	1.34

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.39	2.67

1st half

1	X	2
3.94	2.51	2.13

2nd half

1	X	2
3.77	2.90	1.95

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.23	15.2	18.7
HT X	9.45	7.30	5.08
HT 2	32.0	14.2	2.45

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.34	22.0	1.55

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.10	5.88
2.5	1.38	2.73
3.5	1.97	1.71
4.5	3.19	1.28
5.5	5.88	1.10

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.11	4.90
2.25	1.24	3.34
2.75	1.45	2.45
3	1.57	2.18
3.25	1.77	1.90
3.75	2.19	1.56
4	2.59	1.40
4.25	2.88	1.32
5	4.95	1.11

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.35	1.49
+0.5	2.02	1.67
+0.75	1.84	1.84
+1	1.62	2.10
+1.25	1.47	2.39
+1.5	1.38	2.65

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	7.80	1.02
-1	6.90	1.04
-0.25	3.28	1.25
0	2.91	1.32
+1.75	1.27	3.14
+2	1.16	4.20
+2.5	1.11	4.85

Next III Liga - Group 4 matches

14 Nov	Sokół Kolb. – Busko-Zdroj
14 Nov	Siarka Tarnobrzeg – KSZO 1929
14 Nov	Star Starachowice – Naprzód
14 Nov	Wiślanie Jaśkowice – Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
15 Nov	Korona Kielce II – Moravia Morawica
15 Nov	KS Wieczysta Krakow II – Hetman Zamosc

All III Liga - Group 4 fixtures and the table

Latest III Liga - Group 4 results

13 Nov	Wisłoka Dębica 1-4 Czarni Połaniec
7 Nov	KSZO 1929 0-1 KS Wieczysta Krakow II
7 Nov	Moravia Morawica 0-3 Star Starachowice
7 Nov	Czarni Połaniec 3-2 Sokół Kolb.
7 Nov	Chełmianka Chełm 2-1 Wiślanie Jaśkowice
7 Nov	Naprzód 3-1 Podlasie Biała Podlaska