Star Starachowice vs Naprzód• III Liga - Group 4, Poland

#92.8:1.416:00Tomorrow1.4:1.6#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.83DAFX3.90B36523.921XBMargin at best5.8%Books5Markets39Rating64 · 36Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 20:47 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.83	3.75	3.75	8.0%
1xBet	1.72	3.68	3.92	10.8%
Bet365	1.73	3.90	3.60	11.2%
Betano	1.75	3.80	3.60	11.2%
Marathonbet	1.70	3.68	3.82	12.2%
Best of all books	1.83	3.90	3.92	5.8%
Average	1.75	3.76	3.74	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Star StarachowiceNaprzód

Last 10#9Table position#61.44Points per game1.7512Form pts · last 582.8Goals for · last 51.41.4Goals against · last 51.667Attack rating3353Defence rating4760Form rating40100H2H rating065Goals model3564Overall rating36

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 13:00 UTC

Star Starachowice

5W 3D 2L · goals 22:13 · per match 2.2 for, 1.3 against

7 Nov	A	Moravia Morawica	3-0	W
30 Oct	H	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	4-3	W
23 Oct	A	Wiślanie Jaśkowice	2-1	W
17 Oct	H	Korona Kielce II	4-1	W
10 Oct	A	Chełmianka Chełm	1-2	L
1 Oct	A	Podlasie Biała Podlaska	2-2	D
26 Sep	H	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	4-1	W
19 Sep	A	KS Wieczysta Krakow II	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	Wisłoka Dębica	2-3	L
4 Sep	A	Sokół Kolb.	0-0	D

Naprzód

6W 3D 1L · goals 25:16 · per match 2.5 for, 1.6 against

7 Nov	H	Podlasie Biała Podlaska	3-1	W
31 Oct	A	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1-1	D
24 Oct	H	KS Wieczysta Krakow II	2-2	D
17 Oct	A	Wisłoka Dębica	0-4	L
11 Oct	H	Sokół Kolb.	1-0	W
3 Oct	A	Jarosław	3-1	W
26 Sep	H	Busko-Zdroj	4-1	W
19 Sep	A	Czarni Połaniec	5-2	W
12 Sep	H	Hetman Zamosc	4-2	W
5 Sep	A	KSZO 1929	2-2	D

Head to head

2Star Starachowice wins

0draws

0Naprzód wins

2 meetings · goals 3:1 · last 2: 2W 0D 0L for Star Starachowice

1 May 2026III Liga - Group 4	III Liga - Group 4	Star Starachowice2-1Naprzód
11 Oct 2025III Liga - Group 4	III Liga - Group 4	Naprzód0-1Star Starachowice

III Liga - Group 4 tableGroup IVupdated 13 Nov 21:10 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 4 table, Star Starachowice sit 9th with 23 points from 16 games, while Naprzód are 6th with 28 points from 16.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Chełmianka Chełm	16	12	4	0	27:7	+20	40
2	Czarni Połaniec	17	9	4	4	29:23	+6	31
3	KSZO 1929	16	8	5	3	27:14	+13	29
4	Hetman Zamosc	16	8	5	3	32:24	+8	29
5	Wisłoka Dębica	17	9	2	6	26:25	+1	29
6	Naprzód	16	8	4	4	34:29	+5	28
7	Wisła Kraków II	16	7	4	5	21:20	+1	25
8	Wiślanie Jaśkowice	16	7	3	6	24:18	+6	24
9	Star Starachowice	16	6	5	5	27:24	+3	23
10	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	16	6	3	7	23:23	0	21
11	KS Wieczysta Krakow II	16	5	4	7	16:19	-3	19
12	Jarosław	16	5	3	8	32:30	+2	18
13	Busko-Zdroj	16	5	2	9	22:36	-14	17
14	Sokół Kolb.	16	3	7	6	16:20	-4	16
15	Korona Kielce II	16	4	3	9	31:37	-6	15
16	Podlasie Biała Podlaska	16	3	4	9	12:27	-15	13
17	Moravia Morawica	16	3	3	10	19:29	-10	12
18	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	16	3	3	10	19:32	-13	12

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.75X24%3.76224%3.74

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.80 → 1.75 -2.8%X3.65 → 3.76 +3.0%23.63 → 3.74 +3.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
1xBet	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Betano	1.57	2.15	10.2%
Best of all books	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Average	1.57	2.23	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.54	2.26	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.54	2.22	10.0%
Best of all books	1.54	2.26	9.2%
Average	1.54	2.24	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Star Starachowice 45%Draw 45%Naprzód 10%

The statistical model rates Star Starachowice at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Naprzód at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.75 | 3.76 | 3.74, which imply roughly 57.1% for a Star Starachowice win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 4 table: Star Starachowice are 9th (23 pts, 27-24 goals), Naprzód 6th (28 pts, 34-29).

Over their last five matches, Star Starachowice averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Naprzód averaged 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Star Starachowice and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.75	3.76	3.74

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.20	1.89	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.37	2.85

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.54	2.24

1st half

1	X	2
2.26	2.30	4.17

2nd half

1	X	2
2.04	2.69	3.85

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.65	15.2	33.0
HT X	4.87	6.33	8.70
HT 2	21.0	15.5	6.00

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.54	16.3	2.43

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.14	4.45
2.5	1.57	2.23
3.5	2.43	1.44
4.5	4.40	1.14

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.17	3.98
2	1.22	3.50
2.25	1.40	2.60
2.75	1.71	1.95
3	1.91	1.72
3.25	2.17	1.56
3.75	2.88	1.32
4	3.70	1.20

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.92	1.31
-1.25	2.62	1.38
-1	2.31	1.51
-0.75	1.93	1.75
-0.5	1.70	1.91
-0.25	1.51	2.26

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.90	1.07
-2	5.05	1.10
-1.75	3.58	1.21
0	1.31	2.92
+0.25	1.24	3.34
+1	1.02	7.80
+1.5	1.01	8.80

Next III Liga - Group 4 matches

14 Nov	Sokół Kolb. – Busko-Zdroj
14 Nov	Siarka Tarnobrzeg – KSZO 1929
14 Nov	Wiślanie Jaśkowice – Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
15 Nov	Korona Kielce II – Moravia Morawica
15 Nov	KS Wieczysta Krakow II – Hetman Zamosc

All III Liga - Group 4 fixtures and the table

Latest III Liga - Group 4 results

13 Nov	Wisłoka Dębica 1-4 Czarni Połaniec
8 Nov	Busko-Zdroj 2-1 Jarosław
7 Nov	KSZO 1929 0-1 KS Wieczysta Krakow II
7 Nov	Moravia Morawica 0-3 Star Starachowice
7 Nov	Czarni Połaniec 3-2 Sokół Kolb.
7 Nov	Chełmianka Chełm 2-1 Wiślanie Jaśkowice