Korona Kielce II vs Moravia Morawica• III Liga - Group 4, Poland

#151.6:2.010:0015/111.2:1.4#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.62BTNX4.20B36524.501XBMargin at best7.8%Books5Markets39Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 12:36 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.58	4.30	4.60	8.3%
1xBet	1.55	4.15	4.50	10.8%
Betano	1.62	4.20	3.95	10.9%
Bet365	1.60	4.20	4.00	11.3%
Marathonbet	1.53	4.15	4.40	12.2%
Best of all books	1.62	4.30	4.60	6.7%
Average	1.58	4.20	4.29	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Korona Kielce IIMoravia Morawica

Last 10#15Table position#170.94Points per game0.754Form pts · last 541.6Goals for · last 51.22.0Goals against · last 51.457Attack rating4341Defence rating5950Form rating500H2H rating047Goals model5349Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 21:00 UTC

Korona Kielce II

3W 2D 5L · goals 15:20 · per match 1.5 for, 2.0 against

7 Nov	A	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	2-2	D
29 Oct	H	Wiślanie Jaśkowice	1-2	L
24 Oct	A	Chełmianka Chełm	0-2	L
17 Oct	A	Star Starachowice	1-4	L
10 Oct	H	Podlasie Biała Podlaska	4-0	W
3 Oct	A	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2-1	W
26 Sep	H	KS Wieczysta Krakow II	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Wisłoka Dębica	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Sokół Kolb.	2-2	D
5 Sep	A	Jarosław	2-6	L

Moravia Morawica

1W 3D 6L · goals 13:17 · per match 1.3 for, 1.7 against

7 Nov	H	Star Starachowice	0-3	L
30 Oct	A	Podlasie Biała Podlaska	4-0	W
24 Oct	H	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2-3	L
17 Oct	A	KS Wieczysta Krakow II	0-1	L
10 Oct	H	Wisłoka Dębica	0-0	D
3 Oct	A	Sokół Kolb.	2-2	D
27 Sep	H	Jarosław	2-2	D
19 Sep	A	Busko-Zdroj	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	Czarni Połaniec	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	Hetman Zamosc	1-2	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Korona Kielce II and Moravia Morawica on record.

III Liga - Group 4 tableGroup IVupdated 13 Nov 19:01 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 4 table, Korona Kielce II sit 15th with 15 points from 16 games, while Moravia Morawica are 17th with 12 points from 16.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Chełmianka Chełm	16	12	4	0	27:7	+20	40
2	KSZO 1929	16	8	5	3	27:14	+13	29
3	Hetman Zamosc	16	8	5	3	32:24	+8	29
4	Wisłoka Dębica	16	9	2	5	25:21	+4	29
5	Naprzód	16	8	4	4	34:29	+5	28
6	Czarni Połaniec	16	8	4	4	25:22	+3	28
7	Wisła Kraków II	16	7	4	5	21:20	+1	25
8	Wiślanie Jaśkowice	16	7	3	6	24:18	+6	24
9	Star Starachowice	16	6	5	5	27:24	+3	23
10	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	16	6	3	7	23:23	0	21
11	KS Wieczysta Krakow II	16	5	4	7	16:19	-3	19
12	Jarosław	16	5	3	8	32:30	+2	18
13	Busko-Zdroj	16	5	2	9	22:36	-14	17
14	Sokół Kolb.	16	3	7	6	16:20	-4	16
15	Korona Kielce II	16	4	3	9	31:37	-6	15
16	Podlasie Biała Podlaska	16	3	4	9	12:27	-15	13
17	Moravia Morawica	16	3	3	10	19:29	-10	12
18	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	16	3	3	10	19:32	-13	12

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.57X22%4.18221%4.27

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.60 → 1.57 -1.9%X4.20 → 4.18 -0.5%24.00 → 4.27 +6.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.40	2.75	7.8%
1xBet	1.36	2.70	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.36	2.70	10.6%
Best of all books	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Average	1.37	2.72	9.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.42	2.59	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.42	2.53	9.9%
Best of all books	1.42	2.59	9.0%
Average	1.42	2.56	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Korona Kielce II 10%Draw 45%Moravia Morawica 45%

The statistical model rates Korona Kielce II at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Moravia Morawica at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.57 | 4.18 | 4.27, which imply roughly 23.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 4 table: Korona Kielce II are 15th (15 pts, 31-37 goals), Moravia Morawica 17th (12 pts, 19-29).

Over their last five matches, Korona Kielce II averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Moravia Morawica averaged 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Moravia Morawica.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.58	4.20	4.29

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.15	2.12	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
1.30	3.22

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.42	2.56

1st half

1	X	2
2.05	2.52	4.28

2nd half

1	X	2
1.85	2.97	4.13

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.32	14.5	33.7
HT X	4.82	7.67	10.2
HT 2	17.8	15.8	6.67

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.49	21.5	2.49

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.37	2.72
3.5	1.97	1.71
4.5	3.14	1.27

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.11	4.95
2.25	1.23	3.42
2.75	1.44	2.44
3	1.55	2.17
3.25	1.77	1.87
3.75	2.23	1.54
4	2.62	1.38
4.25	2.88	1.32
5	5.10	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.88	1.32
-1.5	2.43	1.44
-1.25	2.17	1.55
-1	1.94	1.75
-0.75	1.69	1.95
-0.25	1.39	2.59

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	8.10	1.02
-2.5	4.40	1.14
-2	3.72	1.20
0	1.22	3.48
+0.25	1.18	3.90
+1	1.01	8.80

Next III Liga - Group 4 matches

14 Nov	Sokół Kolb. – Busko-Zdroj
14 Nov	Siarka Tarnobrzeg – KSZO 1929
14 Nov	Star Starachowice – Naprzód
14 Nov	Wiślanie Jaśkowice – Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
15 Nov	KS Wieczysta Krakow II – Hetman Zamosc

All III Liga - Group 4 fixtures and the table

Latest III Liga - Group 4 results

13 Nov	Wisłoka Dębica 1-4 Czarni Połaniec
8 Nov	Busko-Zdroj 2-1 Jarosław
7 Nov	KSZO 1929 0-1 KS Wieczysta Krakow II
7 Nov	Czarni Połaniec 3-2 Sokół Kolb.
7 Nov	Chełmianka Chełm 2-1 Wiślanie Jaśkowice
7 Nov	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 2-2 Korona Kielce II