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Busko-Zdroj vs Chełmianka Chełm• III Liga - Group 4, Poland

#151.4:3.012:30Today1.6:0.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

18.00DAFX5.00B36521.34PINMargin at best7.1%Books6Markets45Rating26 · 75Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 05:58 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet8.005.001.328.3%
1xBet7.804.801.3010.6%
Bet3657.005.001.3011.2%
Betano7.104.651.3211.3%
Pinnacle6.294.681.3411.9%
Marathonbet7.404.801.2812.5%
Best of all books8.005.001.347.1%
Average7.264.821.3110.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Busko-ZdrojChełmianka Chełm
Last 10#15Table position#11.00Points per game2.433Form pts · last 5111.4Goals for · last 51.63.0Goals against · last 50.847Attack rating5321Defence rating7921Form rating790H2H rating013Goals model8726Overall rating75

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 15:30 UTC

Busko-Zdroj

3W 1D 6L · goals 14:24 · per match 1.4 for, 2.4 against

24 OctACzarni Połaniec1-2L
18 OctHHetman Zamosc2-4L
10 OctAKSZO 19290-5L
4 OctHWisła Kraków II3-0W
26 SepANaprzód1-4L
19 SepHMoravia Morawica2-1W
12 SepAPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów1-2L
6 SepHWiślanie Jaśkowice2-1W
29 AugAKorona Kielce II1-4L
22 AugAStar Starachowice1-1D

Chełmianka Chełm

6W 4D 0L · goals 14:5 · per match 1.4 for, 0.5 against

24 OctHKorona Kielce II2-0W
17 OctACzarni Połaniec0-0D
10 OctHStar Starachowice2-1W
4 OctAHetman Zamosc2-2D
26 SepHPodlasie Biała Podlaska2-1W
19 SepAKSZO 19290-0D
12 SepHSiarka Tarnobrzeg1-1D
5 SepAWisła Kraków II2-0W
29 AugHKS Wieczysta Krakow II1-0W
23 AugANaprzód2-0W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Busko-Zdroj and Chełmianka Chełm on record.

III Liga - Group 4 tableGroup IVupdated 30 Oct 21:10 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 4 table, Busko-Zdroj sit 15th with 14 points from 14 games, while Chełmianka Chełm are 1st with 34 points from 14.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Chełmianka Chełm14104022:6+1634
2KSZO 19291485126:11+1529
3Wisłoka Dębica1482421:16+526
4Wiślanie Jaśkowice1573523:16+724
5Naprzód1473430:27+324
6Czarni Połaniec1473420:18+224
7Hetman Zamosc1465326:22+423
8Wisła Kraków II1564520:20022
9Siarka Tarnobrzeg1462622:21+120
10Star Starachowice1555524:24020
11Jarosław1452729:26+317
12Sokół Kolb.1437414:15-116
13KS Wieczysta Krakow II1544715:19-416
14Korona Kielce II1542929:35-614
15Busko-Zdroj1442820:32-1214
16Podlasie Biała Podlaska1534811:24-1313
17Moravia Morawica1533919:26-712
18Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów15321017:30-1311

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg112%7.27X19%4.82269%1.31

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

30 Oct 15:3031 Oct 06:101 7.27X 4.822 1.31
17.91 → 7.27 -8.1%X5.00 → 4.82 -3.6%21.28 → 1.31 +2.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.502.506.7%
Pinnacle1.462.459.3%
1xBet1.442.4310.6%
Marathonbet1.442.4310.6%
Best of all books1.502.506.7%
Average1.462.459.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.711.989.0%
Marathonbet1.711.959.8%
Best of all books1.711.989.0%
Average1.711.969.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Busko-Zdroj 10%Draw 45%Chełmianka Chełm 45%

The statistical model rates Busko-Zdroj at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Chełmianka Chełm at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 7.27 | 4.82 | 1.31, which imply roughly 20.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 4 table: Busko-Zdroj are 15th (14 pts, 20-32 goals), Chełmianka Chełm 1st (34 pts, 22-6).

Over their last five matches, Busko-Zdroj averaged 1.4 goals scored and 3 conceded per game; Chełmianka Chełm averaged 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Chełmianka Chełm.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
7.274.821.31

Double chance

1XX212
2.921.041.12

Draw no bet

12
5.251.12

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.711.97

1st half

1X2
6.532.551.74

2nd half

1X2
6.143.081.58

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 112.820.019.7
HT X15.87.834.18
HT 257.018.71.83

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
3.3517.91.31

Match goals

LineOverUnder
1.51.144.70
2.51.462.45
3.52.161.59
4.53.581.21
5.56.151.09
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
21.164.10
2.251.302.97
2.751.562.18
31.711.94
3.251.941.74
3.752.451.44
42.991.30
4.253.281.25
55.851.07

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.752.661.38
+12.351.48
+1.251.971.69
+1.51.811.88
+1.751.592.14
+21.412.54
6 more lines
LineHomeAway
05.901.07
+0.253.851.18
+2.251.332.83
+2.51.283.08
+31.105.10
+3.51.075.75

Next III Liga - Group 4 matches

31 OctSiarka Tarnobrzeg – Naprzód
31 OctJarosław – Czarni Połaniec
31 OctSokół Kolb. – Hetman Zamosc
31 OctWisłoka Dębica – KSZO 1929

All III Liga - Group 4 fixtures and the table

Latest III Liga - Group 4 results

30 OctStar Starachowice 4-3 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
30 OctPodlasie Biała Podlaska 0-4 Moravia Morawica
30 OctKS Wieczysta Krakow II 1-2 Wisła Kraków II
29 OctKorona Kielce II 1-2 Wiślanie Jaśkowice
25 OctPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 2-0 Podlasie Biała Podlaska
24 OctChełmianka Chełm 2-0 Korona Kielce II