Jarosław vs Czarni Połaniec• III Liga - Group 4, Poland

#111.0:2.212:30Today0.8:0.8#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.14DAFX4.00DAF22.80BVCMargin at best7.4%Books6Markets37Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 05:58 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.14	4.00	2.75	8.1%
BetVictor	2.10	3.75	2.80	10.0%
1xBet	2.09	3.75	2.74	11.0%
Betano	2.10	3.85	2.67	11.0%
Pinnacle	2.09	3.85	2.62	12.0%
Marathonbet	2.07	3.75	2.68	12.3%
Best of all books	2.14	4.00	2.80	7.4%
Average	2.10	3.82	2.71	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

JarosławCzarni Połaniec

Last 10#11Table position#61.21Points per game1.711Form pts · last 561.0Goals for · last 50.82.2Goals against · last 50.856Attack rating4427Defence rating7314Form rating86100H2H rating050Goals model5045Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 06:10 UTC

Jarosław

4W 1D 5L · goals 22:18 · per match 2.2 for, 1.8 against

25 Oct	A	Hetman Zamosc	0-1	L
17 Oct	H	KSZO 1929	1-3	L
10 Oct	A	Wisła Kraków II	1-2	L
3 Oct	H	Naprzód	1-3	L
27 Sep	A	Moravia Morawica	2-2	D
19 Sep	H	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	5-2	W
12 Sep	A	Wiślanie Jaśkowice	1-3	L
5 Sep	H	Korona Kielce II	6-2	W
29 Aug	H	Star Starachowice	3-0	W
22 Aug	H	Podlasie Biała Podlaska	2-0	W

Czarni Połaniec

5W 3D 2L · goals 16:13 · per match 1.6 for, 1.3 against

24 Oct	H	Busko-Zdroj	2-1	W
17 Oct	H	Chełmianka Chełm	0-0	D
11 Oct	A	Hetman Zamosc	0-1	L
3 Oct	H	KSZO 1929	1-1	D
25 Sep	A	Wisła Kraków II	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Naprzód	2-5	L
13 Sep	A	Moravia Morawica	2-1	W
5 Sep	H	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	3-0	W
28 Aug	A	Wiślanie Jaśkowice	1-0	W
22 Aug	A	Korona Kielce II	4-3	W

Head to head

1Jarosław wins

0draws

0Czarni Połaniec wins

1 meeting · goals 4:1 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Jarosław

15 Jul 2026Friendlies Clubs

Friendlies Clubs

Czarni Połaniec1-4Jarosław

III Liga - Group 4 tableGroup IVupdated 30 Oct 21:10 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 4 table, Jarosław sit 11th with 17 points from 14 games, while Czarni Połaniec are 6th with 24 points from 14.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Chełmianka Chełm	14	10	4	0	22:6	+16	34
2	KSZO 1929	14	8	5	1	26:11	+15	29
3	Wisłoka Dębica	14	8	2	4	21:16	+5	26
4	Wiślanie Jaśkowice	15	7	3	5	23:16	+7	24
5	Naprzód	14	7	3	4	30:27	+3	24
6	Czarni Połaniec	14	7	3	4	20:18	+2	24
7	Hetman Zamosc	14	6	5	3	26:22	+4	23
8	Wisła Kraków II	15	6	4	5	20:20	0	22
9	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	14	6	2	6	22:21	+1	20
10	Star Starachowice	15	5	5	5	24:24	0	20
11	Jarosław	14	5	2	7	29:26	+3	17
12	Sokół Kolb.	14	3	7	4	14:15	-1	16
13	KS Wieczysta Krakow II	15	4	4	7	15:19	-4	16
14	Korona Kielce II	15	4	2	9	29:35	-6	14
15	Busko-Zdroj	14	4	2	8	20:32	-12	14
16	Podlasie Biała Podlaska	15	3	4	8	11:24	-13	13
17	Moravia Morawica	15	3	3	9	19:26	-7	12
18	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	15	3	2	10	17:30	-13	11

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.10X24%3.83233%2.71

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
BetVictor	1.40	2.70	8.5%
Pinnacle	1.41	2.57	9.8%
1xBet	1.40	2.56	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.40	2.56	10.5%
Best of all books	1.41	2.70	8.0%
Average	1.40	2.60	9.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.36	2.88	8.3%
1xBet	1.38	2.74	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.38	2.67	9.9%
Best of all books	1.38	2.88	7.2%
Average	1.37	2.76	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Jarosław 35%Draw 35%Czarni Połaniec 30%

The statistical model rates Jarosław at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Czarni Połaniec at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.10 | 3.83 | 2.71, which imply roughly 47.6% for a Jarosław win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 4 table: Jarosław are 11th (17 pts, 29-26 goals), Czarni Połaniec 6th (24 pts, 20-18).

Over their last five matches, Jarosław averaged 1 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Czarni Połaniec averaged 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Jarosław or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.10	3.83	2.71

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.35	1.58	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.65	2.09

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.37	2.76

1st half

1	X	2
2.54	2.43	3.15

2nd half

1	X	2
2.38	2.79	2.92

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.22	13.8	25.0
HT X	5.65	6.75	6.90
HT 2	21.0	13.8	4.22

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.74	22.0	1.99

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.12	5.30
2.5	1.40	2.60
3.5	2.05	1.65
4.5	3.39	1.25
5.5	6.43	1.09

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.14	4.40
2.25	1.27	3.14
2.75	1.51	2.31
3	1.64	2.06
3.25	1.85	1.81
3.75	2.31	1.50
4	2.75	1.35
4.25	3.05	1.28
5	5.30	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.38	1.48
-0.5	2.06	1.64
-0.25	1.85	1.82
0	1.63	2.10
+0.25	1.48	2.37
+0.5	1.42	2.56

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	6.25	1.06
-1.5	3.58	1.21
-1.25	3.28	1.25
-1	2.90	1.32
+0.75	1.27	3.14
+1	1.15	4.30
+1.5	1.10	5.05

Next III Liga - Group 4 matches

31 Oct	Siarka Tarnobrzeg – Naprzód
31 Oct	Busko-Zdroj – Chełmianka Chełm
31 Oct	Sokół Kolb. – Hetman Zamosc
31 Oct	Wisłoka Dębica – KSZO 1929

All III Liga - Group 4 fixtures and the table

Latest III Liga - Group 4 results

30 Oct	Star Starachowice 4-3 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
30 Oct	Podlasie Biała Podlaska 0-4 Moravia Morawica
30 Oct	KS Wieczysta Krakow II 1-2 Wisła Kraków II
29 Oct	Korona Kielce II 1-2 Wiślanie Jaśkowice
25 Oct	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 2-0 Podlasie Biała Podlaska
24 Oct	Chełmianka Chełm 2-0 Korona Kielce II