Chełmianka Chełm vs Korona Kielce II• III Liga - Group 4, Poland

#11.2:0.812:00Today1.6:1.2#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.44DAFX4.90DAF26.021XBMargin at best6.5%Books5Markets47Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 06:18 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.44	4.90	5.60	7.7%
1xBet	1.37	4.70	6.02	10.9%
Betano	1.42	4.70	5.10	11.3%
Marathonbet	1.36	4.70	5.75	12.2%
Pinnacle	1.40	4.55	5.14	12.9%
Best of all books	1.44	4.90	6.02	6.5%
Average	1.40	4.71	5.52	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Chełmianka ChełmKorona Kielce II

Last 10#1Table position#142.38Points per game1.089Form pts · last 591.2Goals for · last 51.60.8Goals against · last 51.243Attack rating5760Defence rating4050Form rating5050H2H rating5077Goals model2356Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 07:01 UTC

Chełmianka Chełm

6W 4D 0L · goals 14:6 · per match 1.4 for, 0.6 against

17 Oct	A	Czarni Połaniec	0-0	D
10 Oct	H	Star Starachowice	2-1	W
4 Oct	A	Hetman Zamosc	2-2	D
26 Sep	H	Podlasie Biała Podlaska	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	KSZO 1929	0-0	D
12 Sep	H	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Wisła Kraków II	2-0	W
29 Aug	H	KS Wieczysta Krakow II	1-0	W
23 Aug	A	Naprzód	2-0	W
19 Aug	H	Wisłoka Dębica	2-1	W

Korona Kielce II

4W 1D 5L · goals 19:20 · per match 1.9 for, 2.0 against

17 Oct	A	Star Starachowice	1-4	L
10 Oct	H	Podlasie Biała Podlaska	4-0	W
3 Oct	A	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2-1	W
26 Sep	H	KS Wieczysta Krakow II	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Wisłoka Dębica	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Sokół Kolb.	2-2	D
5 Sep	A	Jarosław	2-6	L
1 Sep	H	Radomiak Radom	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	Busko-Zdroj	4-1	W
22 Aug	H	Czarni Połaniec	3-4	L

Head to head

3Chełmianka Chełm wins

2draws

3Korona Kielce II wins

8 meetings · goals 17:15 · last 8: 3W 2D 3L for Chełmianka Chełm

25 Apr 2026III Liga - Group 4	III Liga - Group 4	Chełmianka Chełm4-1Korona Kielce II
4 Oct 2025III Liga - Group 4	III Liga - Group 4	Korona Kielce II3-1Chełmianka Chełm
16 May 2025III Liga - Group 4	III Liga - Group 4	Chełmianka Chełm1-2Korona Kielce II
19 Oct 2024III Liga - Group 4	III Liga - Group 4	Korona Kielce II2-4Chełmianka Chełm
20 May 2023III Liga - Group 4	III Liga - Group 4	Korona Kielce II3-3Chełmianka Chełm
15 Oct 2022III Liga - Group 4	III Liga - Group 4	Chełmianka Chełm0-0Korona Kielce II
22 May 2021III Liga - Group 4	III Liga - Group 4	Korona Kielce II0-1Chełmianka Chełm
28 Nov 2020III Liga - Group 4	III Liga - Group 4	Chełmianka Chełm3-4Korona Kielce II

III Liga - Group 4 tableGroup IVupdated 23 Oct 20:40 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 4 table, Chełmianka Chełm sit 1st with 31 points from 13 games, while Korona Kielce II are 14th with 14 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Chełmianka Chełm	13	9	4	0	20:6	+14	31
2	KSZO 1929	13	7	5	1	24:10	+14	26
3	Wisłoka Dębica	13	8	2	3	20:13	+7	26
4	Naprzód	13	7	2	4	28:25	+3	23
5	Wiślanie Jaśkowice	14	6	3	5	21:15	+6	21
6	Czarni Połaniec	13	6	3	4	18:17	+1	21
7	Hetman Zamosc	13	5	5	3	25:22	+3	20
8	Jarosław	13	5	2	6	29:25	+4	17
9	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	13	5	2	6	19:19	0	17
10	Star Starachowice	14	4	5	5	20:21	-1	17
11	Sokół Kolb.	13	3	7	3	13:13	0	16
12	Wisła Kraków II	13	4	4	5	15:18	-3	16
13	KS Wieczysta Krakow II	13	4	3	6	12:15	-3	15
14	Korona Kielce II	13	4	2	7	28:31	-3	14
15	Busko-Zdroj	13	4	2	7	19:30	-11	14
16	Podlasie Biała Podlaska	13	3	4	6	11:18	-7	13
17	Moravia Morawica	13	2	3	8	13:23	-10	9
18	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	13	2	2	9	12:26	-14	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg164%1.40X19%4.71216%5.52

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.31	2.92	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.31	2.92	10.6%
Best of all books	1.31	2.92	10.6%
Average	1.31	2.92	10.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.46	2.46	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.46	2.41	10.0%
Best of all books	1.46	2.46	9.1%
Average	1.46	2.44	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Chełmianka Chełm 45%Draw 45%Korona Kielce II 10%

The statistical model rates Chełmianka Chełm at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Korona Kielce II at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.40 | 4.71 | 5.52, which imply roughly 71.4% for a Chełmianka Chełm win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 4 table: Chełmianka Chełm are 1st (31 pts, 20-6 goals), Korona Kielce II 14th (14 pts, 28-31).

Over their last five matches, Chełmianka Chełm averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Korona Kielce II averaged 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Chełmianka Chełm or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.40	4.71	5.52

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.09	2.54	1.12

Draw no bet

1	2
1.19	3.85

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.46	2.44

1st half

1	X	2
1.82	2.65	5.15

2nd half

1	X	2
1.65	3.21	4.94

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.98	16.0	42.5
HT X	4.47	8.23	12.5
HT 2	17.0	16.5	8.88

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.36	26.0	2.86

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.09	6.15
2.5	1.31	2.92
3.5	1.83	1.84
4.5	2.78	1.34
5.5	4.55	1.15

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.09	5.30
2.75	1.36	2.70
3	1.45	2.42
3.25	1.64	2.05
3.75	2.02	1.67
4	2.31	1.49
4.25	2.55	1.41
4.75	3.28	1.25
5	4.15	1.16

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.23	1.53
-1.5	1.99	1.69
-1.25	1.80	1.86
-1	1.58	2.15
-0.75	1.46	2.41
-0.5	1.39	2.65

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	5.70	1.08
-3	5.10	1.10
-2.5	3.14	1.27
-2.25	2.92	1.31
-2	2.65	1.38
-0.25	1.25	3.28
0	1.13	4.57

Next III Liga - Group 4 matches

24 Oct	Czarni Połaniec – Busko-Zdroj
24 Oct	Wisła Kraków II – Wisłoka Dębica
24 Oct	Moravia Morawica – Siarka Tarnobrzeg
24 Oct	Naprzód – KS Wieczysta Krakow II

All III Liga - Group 4 fixtures and the table

Latest III Liga - Group 4 results

23 Oct	Wiślanie Jaśkowice 1-2 Star Starachowice
18 Oct	Busko-Zdroj 2-4 Hetman Zamosc
17 Oct	Wisłoka Dębica 4-0 Naprzód
17 Oct	Star Starachowice 4-1 Korona Kielce II
17 Oct	Sokół Kolb. 1-0 Wisła Kraków II
17 Oct	Podlasie Biała Podlaska 1-1 Wiślanie Jaśkowice