Czarni Połaniec vs Busko-Zdroj• III Liga - Group 4, Poland

#60.8:1.609:00Today1.6:2.8#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.48B365X4.60DAF25.811XBMargin at best6.5%Books7Markets45Rating49 · 52 levelExp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 22:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.45	4.70	5.60	8.1%
BetVictor	1.44	4.50	5.75	9.1%
1xBet	1.39	4.55	5.91	10.8%
Betano	1.45	4.35	5.20	11.2%
Bet365	1.48	4.33	4.75	11.7%
Marathonbet	1.38	4.55	5.65	12.1%
Pinnacle	1.43	4.32	5.09	12.7%
Best of all books	1.48	4.70	5.91	5.8%
Average	1.43	4.47	5.42	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdroj

Last 10#6Table position#151.62Points per game1.083Form pts · last 560.8Goals for · last 51.61.6Goals against · last 52.833Attack rating6764Defence rating3633Form rating670H2H rating064Goals model3649Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 14:30 UTC

Czarni Połaniec

4W 3D 3L · goals 14:14 · per match 1.4 for, 1.4 against

17 Oct	H	Chełmianka Chełm	0-0	D
11 Oct	A	Hetman Zamosc	0-1	L
3 Oct	H	KSZO 1929	1-1	D
25 Sep	A	Wisła Kraków II	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Naprzód	2-5	L
13 Sep	A	Moravia Morawica	2-1	W
5 Sep	H	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	3-0	W
28 Aug	A	Wiślanie Jaśkowice	1-0	W
22 Aug	A	Korona Kielce II	4-3	W
19 Aug	A	Star Starachowice	0-2	L

Busko-Zdroj

3W 1D 6L · goals 14:24 · per match 1.4 for, 2.4 against

18 Oct	H	Hetman Zamosc	2-4	L
10 Oct	A	KSZO 1929	0-5	L
4 Oct	H	Wisła Kraków II	3-0	W
26 Sep	A	Naprzód	1-4	L
19 Sep	H	Moravia Morawica	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Wiślanie Jaśkowice	2-1	W
29 Aug	A	Korona Kielce II	1-4	L
22 Aug	A	Star Starachowice	1-1	D
19 Aug	A	Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1-2	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Czarni Połaniec and Busko-Zdroj on record.

III Liga - Group 4 tableGroup IVupdated 23 Oct 20:40 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 4 table, Czarni Połaniec sit 6th with 21 points from 13 games, while Busko-Zdroj are 15th with 14 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Chełmianka Chełm	13	9	4	0	20:6	+14	31
2	KSZO 1929	13	7	5	1	24:10	+14	26
3	Wisłoka Dębica	13	8	2	3	20:13	+7	26
4	Naprzód	13	7	2	4	28:25	+3	23
5	Wiślanie Jaśkowice	14	6	3	5	21:15	+6	21
6	Czarni Połaniec	13	6	3	4	18:17	+1	21
7	Hetman Zamosc	13	5	5	3	25:22	+3	20
8	Jarosław	13	5	2	6	29:25	+4	17
9	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	13	5	2	6	19:19	0	17
10	Star Starachowice	14	4	5	5	20:21	-1	17
11	Sokół Kolb.	13	3	7	3	13:13	0	16
12	Wisła Kraków II	13	4	4	5	15:18	-3	16
13	KS Wieczysta Krakow II	13	4	3	6	12:15	-3	15
14	Korona Kielce II	13	4	2	7	28:31	-3	14
15	Busko-Zdroj	13	4	2	7	19:30	-11	14
16	Podlasie Biała Podlaska	13	3	4	6	11:18	-7	13
17	Moravia Morawica	13	2	3	8	13:23	-10	9
18	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	13	2	2	9	12:26	-14	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg163%1.44X20%4.45217%5.40

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.47 → 1.44 -2.0%X4.40 → 4.45 +1.1%25.05 → 5.40 +6.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
BetVictor	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Pinnacle	1.40	2.63	9.5%
1xBet	1.38	2.62	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.38	2.62	10.6%
Best of all books	1.44	2.75	5.8%
Average	1.40	2.65	9.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.50	2.38	8.7%
1xBet	1.52	2.32	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.52	2.27	9.8%
Best of all books	1.52	2.38	7.8%
Average	1.51	2.32	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Czarni Połaniec 35%Draw 35%Busko-Zdroj 30%

The statistical model rates Czarni Połaniec at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Busko-Zdroj at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.44 | 4.45 | 5.40, which imply roughly 69.4% for a Czarni Połaniec win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 4 table: Czarni Połaniec are 6th (21 pts, 18-17 goals), Busko-Zdroj 15th (14 pts, 19-30).

Over their last five matches, Czarni Połaniec averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Busko-Zdroj averaged 1.6 scored and 2.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Czarni Połaniec or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.43	4.47	5.42

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.10	2.45	1.13

Draw no bet

1	2
1.19	4.15

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.51	2.32

1st half

1	X	2
1.87	2.56	5.12

2nd half

1	X	2
1.69	3.01	5.04

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.08	16.2	43.0
HT X	4.50	7.70	12.3
HT 2	19.0	17.0	8.65

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.40	20.5	2.84

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.12	5.30
2.5	1.40	2.65
3.5	2.03	1.67
4.5	3.32	1.26
5.5	6.43	1.09

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.12	4.80
2.25	1.25	3.28
2.75	1.48	2.38
3	1.62	2.09
3.25	1.82	1.85
3.75	2.27	1.52
4	2.73	1.36
4.25	3.04	1.29
5	5.45	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.43	1.46
-1.5	2.11	1.61
-1.25	1.90	1.79
-1	1.66	2.04
-0.75	1.50	2.32
-0.5	1.42	2.56

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.20	1.03
-3	6.40	1.05
-2.5	3.58	1.21
-2	2.94	1.31
-0.25	1.26	3.20
0	1.13	4.55
+0.25	1.10	5.05
+1	1.01	8.80

Next III Liga - Group 4 matches

24 Oct

Wisła Kraków II – Wisłoka Dębica

All III Liga - Group 4 fixtures and the table

Latest III Liga - Group 4 results

23 Oct	Wiślanie Jaśkowice 1-2 Star Starachowice
18 Oct	Busko-Zdroj 2-4 Hetman Zamosc
17 Oct	Wisłoka Dębica 4-0 Naprzód
17 Oct	Star Starachowice 4-1 Korona Kielce II
17 Oct	Sokół Kolb. 1-0 Wisła Kraków II
17 Oct	Podlasie Biała Podlaska 1-1 Wiślanie Jaśkowice