Busko-Zdroj vs Hetman Zamosc• III Liga - Group 4, Poland

#151.4:2.42-4FT18/102.0:2.0#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.851XBX3.75B36522.15BVCMargin at best8.3%Books5Markets41Rating47 · 54 levelExp. goals L53.9

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 09:47 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	2.75	3.60	2.20	9.6%
1xBet	2.77	3.42	2.20	10.8%
Bet365	2.38	3.70	2.38	11.1%
Marathonbet	2.70	3.42	2.18	12.1%
Pinnacle	2.64	3.41	2.21	12.5%
Best of all books	2.77	3.70	2.38	5.1%
Average	2.65	3.51	2.23	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Busko-ZdrojHetman Zamosc

Last 10#15Table position#81.17Points per game1.426Form pts · last 581.4Goals for · last 52.02.4Goals against · last 52.041Attack rating5945Defence rating5543Form rating570H2H rating057Goals model4347Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 15:51 UTC

Busko-Zdroj

3W 1D 6L · goals 13:24 · per match 1.3 for, 2.4 against

10 Oct	A	KSZO 1929	0-5	L
4 Oct	H	Wisła Kraków II	3-0	W
26 Sep	A	Naprzód	1-4	L
19 Sep	H	Moravia Morawica	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Wiślanie Jaśkowice	2-1	W
29 Aug	A	Korona Kielce II	1-4	L
22 Aug	A	Star Starachowice	1-1	D
19 Aug	A	Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1-2	L
15 Aug	H	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1-4	L

Hetman Zamosc

4W 3D 3L · goals 19:18 · per match 1.9 for, 1.8 against

11 Oct	H	Czarni Połaniec	1-0	W
4 Oct	H	Chełmianka Chełm	2-2	D
27 Sep	A	KSZO 1929	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Wisła Kraków II	3-3	D
12 Sep	A	Naprzód	2-4	L
5 Sep	H	Moravia Morawica	2-1	W
29 Aug	A	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	2-4	L
22 Aug	H	Wiślanie Jaśkowice	0-1	L
19 Aug	A	Korona Kielce II	2-2	D
15 Aug	H	Star Starachowice	3-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Busko-Zdroj and Hetman Zamosc on record.

III Liga - Group 4 tableGroup IVupdated 17 Oct 18:01 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 4 table, Busko-Zdroj sit 15th with 14 points from 12 games, while Hetman Zamosc are 8th with 17 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Chełmianka Chełm	12	9	3	0	20:6	+14	30
2	KSZO 1929	12	6	5	1	21:9	+12	23
3	Naprzód	12	7	2	3	28:21	+7	23
4	Wisłoka Dębica	12	7	2	3	16:13	+3	23
5	Wiślanie Jaśkowice	13	6	3	4	20:13	+7	21
6	Czarni Połaniec	12	6	2	4	18:17	+1	20
7	Jarosław	12	5	2	5	28:22	+6	17
8	Hetman Zamosc	12	4	5	3	21:20	+1	17
9	Sokół Kolb.	13	3	7	3	13:13	0	16
10	Wisła Kraków II	13	4	4	5	15:18	-3	16
11	KS Wieczysta Krakow II	13	4	3	6	12:15	-3	15
12	Star Starachowice	13	3	5	5	18:20	-2	14
13	Korona Kielce II	13	4	2	7	28:31	-3	14
14	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	12	4	2	6	15:19	-4	14
15	Busko-Zdroj	12	4	2	6	17:26	-9	14
16	Podlasie Biała Podlaska	13	3	4	6	11:18	-7	13
17	Moravia Morawica	13	2	3	8	13:23	-10	9
18	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	12	2	2	8	12:22	-10	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.54X26%3.51239%2.32

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.67 → 2.79 +4.5%X3.69 → 3.57 -3.3%22.13 → 2.12 -0.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
BetVictor	1.51	2.34	9.0%
Pinnacle	1.50	2.35	9.2%
1xBet	1.48	2.33	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.48	2.33	10.5%
Best of all books	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Average	1.50	2.35	9.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.43	2.56	9.0%
BetVictor	1.40	2.63	9.5%
Marathonbet	1.43	2.50	9.9%
Best of all books	1.43	2.63	8.0%
Average	1.42	2.56	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Busko-Zdroj 10%Draw 45%Hetman Zamosc 45%

The statistical model rated Busko-Zdroj at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Hetman Zamosc at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.54 | 3.51 | 2.32, which imply roughly 28.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 4 table: Busko-Zdroj are 15th (14 pts, 17-26 goals), Hetman Zamosc 8th (17 pts, 21-20).

Over their last five matches, Busko-Zdroj averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Hetman Zamosc averaged 2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Hetman Zamosc and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.65	3.51	2.23

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.54	1.34	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
2.08	1.69

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.42	2.56

1st half

1	X	2
3.25	2.33	2.67

2nd half

1	X	2
2.94	2.69	2.47

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.14	14.0	22.5
HT X	6.80	6.50	6.10
HT 2	24.5	14.0	3.47

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.00	16.8	1.79

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	11.0
1.5	1.13	4.85
2.5	1.50	2.35
3.5	2.22	1.56
4.5	3.82	1.20
5.5	7.25	1.07

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	9.00
2	1.18	3.84
2.25	1.33	2.83
2.75	1.61	2.12
3	1.78	1.88
3.25	1.99	1.69
3.75	2.53	1.42
4	3.08	1.28
4.25	3.34	1.24
5	5.90	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.51	1.44
-0.25	2.34	1.50
0	2.01	1.71
+0.25	1.77	1.92
+0.5	1.58	2.19
+0.75	1.42	2.52

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.40	1.05
-1.5	5.10	1.10
-1.25	3.95	1.17
-1	3.95	1.19
-0.75	2.94	1.32
+1	1.27	3.15
+1.25	1.22	3.50
+1.5	1.18	3.86
+2	1.04	6.75
+2.5	1.05	7.20

Latest III Liga - Group 4 results

17 Oct	Wisłoka Dębica 4-0 Naprzód
17 Oct	Star Starachowice 4-1 Korona Kielce II
17 Oct	Sokół Kolb. 1-0 Wisła Kraków II
17 Oct	Podlasie Biała Podlaska 1-1 Wiślanie Jaśkowice
17 Oct	KS Wieczysta Krakow II 1-0 Moravia Morawica
11 Oct	Naprzód 1-0 Sokół Kolb.