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Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets• Premier League, Ukraine

#61.0:1.62-1FT17/10 · Slavutych-Arena, Zaporizhzhia0.6:1.0#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.611XBX4.08PIN26.35PINMargin at best2.4%Books5Markets94Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 06:14 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.614.005.605.0%
Pinnacle1.484.086.357.8%
William Hill1.533.806.008.3%
Marathonbet1.503.985.958.6%
Bet3651.553.505.2512.1%
Best of all books1.614.086.352.4%
Average1.533.875.838.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Zorya LuhanskChornomorets
Last 10#6Table position#141.56Points per game0.6310Form pts · last 551.0Goals for · last 50.61.6Goals against · last 51.063Attack rating3838Defence rating6250Form rating5060H2H rating40100Goals model051Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:40 UTC

Zorya Luhansk

5W 2D 3L · goals 18:13 · per match 1.8 for, 1.3 against

12 OctALivyi Bereh3-1W
4 OctAKolos Kovalivka2-1W
19 SepHDynamo Kyiv0-2L
13 SepABukovyna1-1D
9 SepAYarud Mariupol'2-0W
6 SepAVeres Rivne1-1D
31 AugHFC Kharkiv0-3L
22 AugASkala 1911 Stryi6-0W
17 AugAPolessya2-1W
9 AugHKryvbas KR1-3L

Chornomorets

2W 2D 6L · goals 7:13 · per match 0.7 for, 1.3 against

10 OctHFC Kharkiv1-2L
18 SepHObolon'-Brovar1-1D
14 SepAShakhtar Donetsk0-2L
4 SepHLivyi Bereh0-0D
30 AugHKryvbas KR1-0W
23 AugAVilkhivtsi0-1L
16 AugALNZ Cherkasy0-2L
2 AugHPolessya1-2L
25 JulAKolos Kovalivka1-2L
18 JulHNyva Vinnytsya2-1W

Head to head

15Zorya Luhansk wins
6draws
6Chornomorets wins

27 meetings · goals 46:22 · last 10: 7W 1D 2L for Zorya Luhansk

23 Aug 2025CupCupChornomorets2-1Zorya Luhansk
14 Dec 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueZorya Luhansk2-1Chornomorets
10 Aug 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueChornomorets0-1Zorya Luhansk
14 Apr 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueZorya Luhansk1-0Chornomorets
1 Nov 2023CupCupChornomorets4-1Zorya Luhansk
30 Sep 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueChornomorets0-0Zorya Luhansk
29 Apr 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueZorya Luhansk3-1Chornomorets
18 Oct 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueChornomorets0-4Zorya Luhansk
19 Sep 2021Premier LeaguePremier LeagueZorya Luhansk3-0Chornomorets
4 Nov 2018Premier LeaguePremier LeagueChornomorets0-3Zorya Luhansk

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 17 Oct 18:31 UTC

In the Premier League table, Zorya Luhansk sit 6th with 14 points from 9 games, while Chornomorets are 14th with 5 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk980120:5+1524
2Polessya861117:7+1019
3Dynamo Kyiv751110:5+516
4FC Kharkiv750214:5+915
5Karpaty842215:6+914
6Zorya Luhansk942312:13-114
7LNZ Cherkasy83237:9-211
8Veres Rivne92346:11-59
9Kolos Kovalivka822410:13-38
10Bukovyna91537:12-58
11Epitsentr Dunayivtsi82247:10-38
12Livyi Bereh71425:6-17
13Obolon'-Brovar81434:12-87
14Chornomorets81255:11-65
15Kudrivka912610:21-115
16Kryvbas KR61237:10-35

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg160%1.53X24%3.87216%5.83

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 01:3017 Oct 08:011 1.53X 3.872 5.83
11.60 → 1.53 -4.4%X3.78 → 3.87 +2.4%25.24 → 5.83 +11.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.812.005.2%
1xBet1.861.945.3%
Bet3651.851.955.3%
Marathonbet1.801.937.4%
Best of all books1.862.003.8%
Average1.831.955.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.881.847.5%
Bet3651.911.807.9%
William Hill1.801.917.9%
Marathonbet1.861.828.7%
Best of all books1.911.914.7%
Average1.861.848.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Zorya Luhansk 45%Draw 45%Chornomorets 10%

The statistical model rated Zorya Luhansk at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Chornomorets at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.53 | 3.87 | 5.83, which imply roughly 65.4% for a Zorya Luhansk win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Zorya Luhansk are 6th (14 pts, 12-13 goals), Chornomorets 14th (5 pts, 5-11).

Over their last five matches, Zorya Luhansk averaged 1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Chornomorets averaged 0.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Zorya Luhansk or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Zorya Luhansk

4-2-3-1

Coach: V. Skripnik

Goalkeeper

  • 1O. Saputin

Defence

  • 44I. Perduta
  • 77B. Kushnirenko
  • 3V. Kravets
  • 39Artem Machelyuk

Midfield

  • 8K. Dryshlyuk
  • 18M. Boyko
  • 88S. Bah
  • 30I. Nesterenko
  • 27D. Jelavić

Attack

  • 28P. Budkivskyi
Substitutes (12)
  • 25V. Rybak
  • 4G. Eskinja
  • 10Juninho
  • 40Ítalo
  • 5A. Janjić
  • 14A. Glushchenko
  • 11I. Gorbach
  • 80V. Yurchenko
  • 21J. Bašić
  • 6D. Popara
  • 23l. Karavashchenko
  • 55Jordan

Chornomorets

4-4-1-1

Coach: R. Grigorchuk

Goalkeeper

  • 12C. Aniagboso

Defence

  • 60M. Melnychenko
  • 24M. Jarju
  • 74M. Farina
  • 27O. Pushkarev

Midfield

  • 11K. Popov
  • 18G. Robakidze
  • 30Muhammed Jobe
  • 13V. Faraseenko
  • 10A. Avagimyan

Attack

  • 99C. Mba
Substitutes (11)
  • 35M. Koval
  • 7D. Alefirenko
  • 5V. Kurko
  • 21V. Klymenko
  • 8D. Klyots
  • 52S. Yarmola
  • 20Nikita Stepovyi
  • 4Magomed Kratov
  • 23O. Gusev
  • 9A. Khoma
  • 16N. Bayda

Match Statistics

Zorya LuhanskChornomorets
11Corner Kicks2
5Shots on Goal1
0Free Kicks0
4Yellow Cards2
59%Ball Possession41%
13Shots off Goal7
0Red Cards0
0Blocked Shots0
18Total Shots8

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.533.875.83

Double chance

1XX212
1.112.361.22

Draw no bet

12
1.194.47

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.861.84

1st half

1X2
2.022.315.81

2nd half

1X2
1.922.605.02

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.2314.842.3
HT X4.225.7111.2
HT 223.717.09.33

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4710.13.03

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.049.18
1.51.253.60
2.51.831.96
3.53.051.34
4.55.431.11
5.59.381.04
6.515.01.01
7.521.0–
18 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.251.0112.0
0.751.028.68
11.048.15
1.251.144.78
1.751.303.18
21.382.82
2.251.602.25
2.752.011.73
32.361.52
3.252.661.42
3.753.561.24
44.731.14
4.255.071.13
4.756.971.08
59.181.02
5.259.501.03
5.7511.21.01
613.2–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.501.48
-1.252.211.62
-11.931.85
-0.751.682.12
-0.51.542.46
-0.251.362.94
17 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.7511.01.02
-3.58.821.02
-3.259.101.04
-38.251.04
-2.756.081.10
-2.54.821.15
-2.254.381.18
-23.981.21
-1.753.021.35
01.214.06
+0.251.174.54
+0.51.165.25
+0.751.086.75
+11.049.45
+1.251.039.80
+1.51.0310.0
+1.751.0112.2

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.114.77
7.51.283.10
8.51.542.25
9.51.931.78
10.52.491.44
11.53.361.23
12.54.881.10
20 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.114.61
71.134.38
7.251.203.60
7.751.312.95
81.362.78
8.251.462.47
8.751.622.14
91.712.01
9.251.821.88
9.752.051.68
102.231.57
10.252.351.51
10.752.721.37
113.061.29
11.253.221.26
11.753.851.18
124.571.12
12.254.761.10
12.755.851.05
137.291.01

Next Premier League matches

18 OctKarpaty – Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
19 OctFC Kharkiv – Livyi Bereh

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

17 OctShakhtar Donetsk 2-1 Kolos Kovalivka
17 OctKudrivka 4-1 Bukovyna
16 OctObolon'-Brovar 2-0 Veres Rivne
12 OctLivyi Bereh 1-3 Zorya Luhansk
11 OctBukovyna 2-2 Polessya
11 OctDynamo Kyiv 1-0 Karpaty