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Dynamo Kyiv vs Karpaty• Premier League, Ukraine

#31.4:0.81-0FT11/10 · Valeriy Lobanovsky Dynamo Stadium, Kiev1.6:0.8#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.88DAFX3.841XB24.661XBMargin at best0.7%Books9Markets95Rating55 · 46Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 05:52 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.743.844.665.0%
Dafabet1.883.603.856.9%
Pinnacle1.813.634.017.7%
Marathonbet1.783.654.008.6%
William Hill1.853.503.808.9%
Betano1.873.503.709.1%
Betfair1.753.603.9010.6%
Bet3651.733.504.0011.4%
SBO1.843.213.4014.9%
Best of all books1.883.844.660.7%
Average1.813.563.929.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Dynamo KyivKarpaty
Last 10#3Table position#52.00Points per game1.7513Form pts · last 5101.4Goals for · last 51.60.8Goals against · last 50.847Attack rating5350Defence rating5056Form rating4462H2H rating3852Goals model4855Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC

Dynamo Kyiv

7W 1D 2L · goals 12:7 · per match 1.2 for, 0.7 against

11 OctHKarpaty1-0W
19 SepAZorya Luhansk2-0W
14 SepHEpitsentr Dunayivtsi3-0W
10 SepANyva Vinnytsya1-0W
6 SepHLNZ Cherkasy0-0D
31 AugABukovyna0-3L
16 AugHKolos Kovalivka2-1W
13 AugAQarabag0-2L
9 AugAVeres Rivne2-1W
6 AugHQarabag1-0W

Karpaty

6W 2D 2L · goals 19:9 · per match 1.9 for, 0.9 against

11 OctADynamo Kyiv0-1L
3 OctAKV Mechelen3-2W
20 SepHVeres Rivne1-1D
16 SepAKolos Kovalivka3-2W
11 SepAKolos Kovalivka2-0W
5 SepHShakhtar Donetsk1-2L
29 AugALivyi Bereh1-1D
22 AugHObolon'-Brovar2-0W
15 AugHBukovyna3-0W
10 AugHLNZ Cherkasy3-0W

Head to head

17Dynamo Kyiv wins
5draws
2Karpaty wins

24 meetings · goals 45:14 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Dynamo Kyiv

4 Apr 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueDynamo Kyiv0-1Karpaty
27 Sep 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueKarpaty3-3Dynamo Kyiv
23 Feb 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueDynamo Kyiv2-0Karpaty
17 Aug 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueKarpaty1-3Dynamo Kyiv
27 Oct 2019Premier LeaguePremier LeagueDynamo Kyiv1-1Karpaty
31 Jul 2019Premier LeaguePremier LeagueKarpaty0-2Dynamo Kyiv
8 Dec 2018Premier LeaguePremier LeagueKarpaty0-4Dynamo Kyiv
2 Sep 2018Premier LeaguePremier LeagueDynamo Kyiv0-2Karpaty
29 Oct 2017Premier LeaguePremier LeagueKarpaty1-1Dynamo Kyiv
29 Jul 2017Premier LeaguePremier LeagueDynamo Kyiv5-0Karpaty

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 18 Oct 17:10 UTC

In the Premier League table, Dynamo Kyiv sit 3rd with 16 points from 8 games, while Karpaty are 5th with 14 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk980120:5+1524
2Polessya971120:8+1222
3Dynamo Kyiv851211:8+316
4FC Kharkiv750214:5+915
5Karpaty842215:6+914
6Zorya Luhansk942312:13-114
7LNZ Cherkasy942310:9+114
8Veres Rivne92346:11-59
9Kolos Kovalivka822410:13-38
10Bukovyna91537:12-58
11Epitsentr Dunayivtsi82247:10-38
12Livyi Bereh71425:6-17
13Obolon'-Brovar81434:12-87
14Chornomorets81255:11-65
15Kudrivka912610:21-115
16Kryvbas KR71247:13-65

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.77X26%3.58222%4.09

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Oct 00:0211 Oct 06:001 1.81X 3.562 3.92
11.65 → 1.81 +9.7%X3.81 → 3.56 -6.6%24.76 → 3.92 -17.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.742.095.3%
Pinnacle1.722.086.2%
Bet3651.702.106.4%
Marathonbet1.712.057.3%
Betano1.702.057.6%
Betfair1.652.108.2%
Best of all books1.742.105.1%
Average1.702.086.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.672.107.5%
1xBet1.702.057.6%
Bet3651.801.917.9%
Betfair1.652.108.2%
Marathonbet1.642.108.6%
Betano1.602.159.0%
Best of all books1.802.152.1%
Average1.682.078.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Dynamo Kyiv 45%Draw 45%Karpaty 10%

The statistical model rated Dynamo Kyiv at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Karpaty at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.77 | 3.58 | 4.09, which imply roughly 56.5% for a Dynamo Kyiv win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Dynamo Kyiv are 3rd (16 pts, 11-8 goals), Karpaty 5th (14 pts, 15-6).

Over their last five matches, Dynamo Kyiv averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Karpaty averaged 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Dynamo Kyiv or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Dynamo Kyiv

4-1-4-1

Coach: Igor Kostyuk

Goalkeeper

  • 1H. Bushchan

Defence

  • 5O. Sych
  • 94T. Kędziora
  • 32T. Mykhavko
  • 44V. Dubinchak

Midfield

  • 6V. Brazhko
  • 7A. Yarmolenko
  • 21J. Lonwijk
  • 15V. Rubchynskyi
  • 22V. Kabaev

Attack

  • 11M. Ponomarenko
Substitutes (12)
  • 35R. Neshcheret
  • 71V. Surkis
  • 40K. Bilovar
  • 66A. Thiare
  • 23N. Malysh
  • 91M. Mykhaylenko
  • 8O. Pikhalyonok
  • 9N. Voloshyn
  • 47Gustavo Prado
  • 42K. Bah
  • 99P. Mounguengue
  • 39E. Guerrero

Karpaty

4-1-4-1

Coach: Fran Fernández

Goalkeeper

  • 80R. Mysak

Defence

  • 11D. Miroshnichenko
  • 4V. Baboglo
  • 47Jean Pedroso
  • 17R. Vantukh

Midfield

  • 20M. Sapuga
  • 70Xeber Alkain
  • 8A. Chachua
  • 10Moha
  • 31N. Rusyn

Attack

  • 9J. Séry
Substitutes (11)
  • 99Y. Gereta
  • 55T. Stetskov
  • 5A. Buleza
  • 73R. Lyakh
  • 14Iván Calero
  • 21Bruno Iglesias
  • 19Y. Karabin
  • 28O. Dyedov
  • 18Eriki Daniel Rodrigues Bento
  • 7Fellipe Vieira
  • 36A. Zhylkin

Match Statistics

Dynamo KyivKarpaty
3Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
0Shots on Goal0
0Shots off Goal0
56%Ball Possession44%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.813.563.92

Double chance

1XX212
1.201.951.24

Draw no bet

12
1.362.91

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.682.07

1st half

1X2
2.312.274.27

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5712.92.50

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0210.2
1.51.213.89
2.51.702.08
3.52.731.40
4.54.881.14
5.58.981.05
6.512.01.01
7.521.0–
19 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.251.0112.7
0.751.029.13
11.038.68
1.251.115.39
1.751.253.50
21.323.09
2.251.522.40
2.751.911.85
32.191.61
3.252.481.47
3.753.301.27
44.311.17
4.254.671.15
4.756.331.08
58.751.05
5.2510.41.06
5.7510.41.03
612.51.01
6.2512.51.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.53.001.34
-1.252.711.42
-12.381.54
-0.751.981.77
-0.51.831.96
-0.251.552.34
19 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.7511.61.01
-3.59.951.03
-3.2510.11.03
-39.251.02
-2.757.631.05
-2.55.901.10
-2.255.561.12
-25.121.14
-1.753.671.24
01.343.07
+0.251.273.46
+0.51.243.90
+0.751.145.15
+11.057.80
+1.251.067.95
+1.51.058.68
+1.751.0210.3
+21.0113.0
+2.51.0113.2

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.056.18
7.51.173.88
8.51.382.69
9.51.731.99
10.52.101.63
11.52.731.37
12.53.771.19
13.55.501.06
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.046.18
71.055.92
7.251.114.66
7.751.193.72
81.213.53
8.251.303.02
8.751.422.55
91.492.40
9.251.582.20
9.751.771.94
101.891.83
10.251.981.74
10.752.241.56
112.461.47
11.252.571.42
11.753.001.30
123.411.23
12.253.581.21
12.754.281.14
135.111.08
13.255.311.07

Next Premier League matches

19 OctFC Kharkiv – Livyi Bereh

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

18 OctKarpaty 2-2 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
18 OctKryvbas KR 0-3 LNZ Cherkasy
18 OctPolessya 3-1 Dynamo Kyiv
17 OctShakhtar Donetsk 2-1 Kolos Kovalivka
17 OctKudrivka 4-1 Bukovyna
17 OctZorya Luhansk 2-1 Chornomorets