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Swindon Town vs Grimsby• League Two, England

#151.2:0.81-4FTToday · County Ground, Swindon2.2:1.6#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.50B365X3.97PIN22.03DAFMargin at best3.0%Books10Markets68Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 12:50 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle3.403.972.004.6%
Dafabet3.403.802.035.0%
Betfair3.403.901.956.3%
Betano3.303.702.026.8%
BetVictor3.403.801.957.0%
1xBet3.263.701.998.0%
Bet3653.503.701.918.0%
Marathonbet3.243.701.978.7%
William Hill3.303.601.959.4%
SBO2.993.241.9814.8%
Best of all books3.503.972.033.0%
Average3.323.711.987.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Swindon TownGrimsby
Last 10#15Table position#31.27Points per game1.537Form pts · last 581.2Goals for · last 52.20.8Goals against · last 51.635Attack rating6567Defence rating3353Form rating4750H2H rating5052Goals model4851Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Nov 00:10 UTC

Swindon Town

2W 3D 5L · goals 9:12 · per match 0.9 for, 1.2 against

10 NovAPlymouth1-2L
7 NovAMilton Keynes Dons1-2L
31 OctHRotherham2-1W
24 OctABristol Rovers0-0D
20 OctABarnet3-1W
17 OctHWalsall1-1D
10 OctHCrewe0-1L
3 OctARochdale0-1L
26 SepHAccrington ST1-1D
22 SepHNewport County0-2L

Grimsby

2W 3D 5L · goals 16:18 · per match 1.6 for, 1.8 against

10 NovHNottingham Forest U210-3L
8 NovAStafford Rangers3-3D
31 OctHYork5-2W
24 OctAGillingham4-1W
20 OctARochdale2-2D
17 OctHNorthampton0-2L
10 OctAPort Vale0-1L
6 OctHBurton Albion0-0D
3 OctHShrewsbury1-2L
26 SepANewport County1-2L

Head to head

7Swindon Town wins
2draws
5Grimsby wins

14 meetings · goals 28:19 · last 10: 7W 1D 2L for Swindon Town

25 Apr 2026League TwoLeague TwoGrimsby4-0Swindon Town
22 Nov 2025League TwoLeague TwoSwindon Town2-2Grimsby
18 Apr 2025League TwoLeague TwoGrimsby0-4Swindon Town
21 Dec 2024League TwoLeague TwoSwindon Town3-1Grimsby
20 Apr 2024League TwoLeague TwoGrimsby2-0Swindon Town
30 Sep 2023League TwoLeague TwoSwindon Town2-1Grimsby
14 Jan 2023League TwoLeague TwoSwindon Town5-0Grimsby
24 Sep 2022League TwoLeague TwoGrimsby1-2Swindon Town
22 Feb 2020League TwoLeague TwoSwindon Town3-1Grimsby
7 Dec 2019League TwoLeague TwoGrimsby0-3Swindon Town

League Two tableLeague Twoupdated 14 Nov 18:31 UTC

In the League Two table, Swindon Town sit 15th with 19 points from 15 games, while Grimsby are 3rd with 23 points from 15.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Salford City15102326:16+1032
2Barnet1375128:18+1026
3Grimsby1565428:19+923
4York1565425:21+423
5Crewe1558219:19023
6Walsall1357121:12+922
7Chesterfield1564526:21+522
8Exeter City1564512:9+322
9Cheltenham1563623:26-321
10Shrewsbury1563619:23-421
11Gillingham1555520:21-120
12Accrington ST1547425:21+419
13Newport County1547422:19+319
14Tranmere1447319:17+219
15Swindon Town1554616:21-519
16Port Vale1353514:16-218
17Fleetwood Town1445518:18017
18Bristol Rovers1551917:25-816
19Northampton1436510:11-115
20Oldham1543816:21-515
21Colchester1436514:19-515
22Rochdale1543817:27-1015
23Rotherham1426618:25-712
24Crawley Town1223713:21-89

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg128%3.32X25%3.71247%1.98

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11 Nov 00:0014 Nov 13:401 3.32X 3.712 1.98
13.20 → 3.32 +3.7%X3.64 → 3.71 +1.9%22.01 → 1.98 -1.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.552.494.7%
Betano1.602.325.6%
Bet3651.572.356.2%
Betfair1.532.387.4%
BetVictor1.562.238.9%
1xBet1.542.1910.6%
Marathonbet1.542.1910.6%
Best of all books1.602.492.7%
Average1.562.317.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.502.555.9%
Bet3651.502.506.7%
William Hill1.532.407.0%
Betano1.522.378.0%
1xBet1.512.398.1%
Marathonbet1.512.358.8%
BetVictor1.472.458.8%
Best of all books1.532.554.6%
Average1.512.437.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Swindon Town 35%Draw 35%Grimsby 30%

The statistical model rated Swindon Town at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Grimsby at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.32 | 3.71 | 1.98, which imply roughly 30.1% for a Swindon Town win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the League Two table: Swindon Town are 15th (19 pts, 16-21 goals), Grimsby 3rd (23 pts, 28-19).

Over their last five matches, Swindon Town averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Grimsby averaged 2.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Swindon Town or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Swindon Town

3-4-2-1

Coach: Ian Holloway

Goalkeeper

  • 1C. Ripley

Defence

  • 6J. Ball
  • 21K. Majekodunmi
  • 26D. Butler

Midfield

  • 33Joel McGregor
  • 27A. Munda
  • 25J. Thomson
  • 2M. Clark
  • 19J. Snowdon
  • 24M. Virtue-Thick

Attack

  • 23A. Drinan
Substitutes (7)
  • 12Lewis Moore Ward
  • 18J. Debayo
  • 29A. Hackford
  • 43Freddie Hoare
  • 39L. Millard
  • 34B. Kirkman
  • 28O. Palmer

Grimsby

3-4-1-2

Coach: D. Artell

Goalkeeper

  • 31C. Pym

Defence

  • 5H. Rodgers
  • 8Cian Doyle
  • 17C. McJannet

Midfield

  • 12J. Foulkes
  • 7J. Walker
  • 29M. Shelton
  • 3J. Sweeney
  • 10S. Finch

Attack

  • 9Iwan Morgan
  • 39A. Cook
Substitutes (7)
  • 1H. Cartwright
  • 23H. Brown
  • 19J. Andrews
  • 28F. Cartwright
  • 14J. Amaluzor
  • 11Ryley Reynolds
  • 30C. Vernam

Match Statistics

Swindon TownGrimsby
1.34Expected Goals2.84
219Passes accurate302
7Shots insidebox16
2Shots outsidebox5
4Blocked Shots6
8Free Kicks10
3Shots on Goal9
5Goalkeeper Saves2
2Shots off Goal6
3Offsides1
324Total passes406
1Red Cards0
9Total Shots21
1Yellow Cards0
6Corner Kicks11
10Fouls8
44%Ball Possession56%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.323.711.98

Double chance

1XX212
1.781.281.24

Draw no bet

12
2.521.46

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.512.43

1st half

1X2
3.622.342.50

2nd half

1X2
3.332.642.32

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 15.2413.521.2
HT X7.876.185.31
HT 228.813.73.08

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.2116.11.67

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0213.2
1.51.164.73
2.51.562.31
3.52.411.53
4.54.241.19
5.58.031.05
6.515.31.02
7.531.51.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.60
1.751.164.05
21.213.58
2.251.392.62
2.751.682.06
31.911.82
3.252.151.62
3.752.781.36
43.601.21
4.253.981.17
4.755.451.08
57.701.02
5.258.101.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.252.881.37
02.521.49
+0.252.051.72
+0.51.792.00
+0.751.592.23
+11.402.77
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.512.01.02
-1.758.901.01
-1.56.651.07
-1.256.571.07
-16.031.09
-0.754.081.20
-0.53.291.31
+1.251.323.12
+1.51.273.45
+1.751.174.33
+21.086.23
+2.251.126.25
+2.51.066.98
+3.51.0212.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
7.51.134.60
8.51.253.58
9.51.432.58
10.51.672.05
11.52.091.66
12.52.711.39
13.53.491.24
14.54.401.14
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
101.532.36
10.251.552.17
10.751.731.92
111.921.86
11.251.981.74
11.752.221.57
122.441.50
12.252.541.43

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