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Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield• League Two, England

#180.6:1.80-2FTToday · Memorial Stadium, Bristol1.8:1.8#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.11PINX3.60BFR22.26DAFMargin at best4.2%Books10Markets63Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 12:50 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle3.033.572.304.5%
Dafabet3.053.552.265.2%
Betfair2.903.502.306.5%
BetVictor3.003.602.206.6%
Betano3.003.502.226.9%
1xBet3.023.342.237.9%
Bet3653.003.402.208.2%
Marathonbet2.993.342.218.6%
William Hill2.903.302.259.2%
SBO2.803.172.0915.1%
Best of all books3.053.602.304.0%
Average2.973.432.237.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Bristol RoversChesterfield
Last 10#18Table position#71.07Points per game1.475Form pts · last 5100.6Goals for · last 51.81.8Goals against · last 51.825Attack rating7550Defence rating5017Form rating8340H2H rating6059Goals model4140Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Nov 00:10 UTC

Bristol Rovers

2W 2D 6L · goals 10:18 · per match 1.0 for, 1.8 against

10 NovHReading2-2D
6 NovHCambridge United2-0W
31 OctAFleetwood Town1-3L
24 OctHSwindon Town0-0D
20 OctHSalford City1-2L
17 OctAShrewsbury0-1L
10 OctHBarnet1-3L
6 OctAWycombe1-4L
3 OctACrewe1-3L
26 SepHExeter City1-0W

Chesterfield

4W 3D 3L · goals 24:20 · per match 2.4 for, 2.0 against

10 NovAMansfield Town5-3W
7 NovHYeovil Town4-3W
30 OctANewport County1-4L
24 OctHCrewe5-1W
20 OctHColchester1-1D
17 OctAPort Vale0-1L
10 OctACrawley Town2-2D
3 OctHTranmere4-2W
26 SepACheltenham1-2L
22 SepHPort Vale1-1D

Head to head

3Bristol Rovers wins
1draws
5Chesterfield wins

9 meetings · goals 13:17 · last 9: 3W 1D 5L for Bristol Rovers

7 Feb 2026League TwoLeague TwoBristol Rovers2-3Chesterfield
16 Aug 2025League TwoLeague TwoChesterfield3-1Bristol Rovers
29 Jul 2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsBristol Rovers2-0Chesterfield
18 Mar 2017League OneLeague OneBristol Rovers2-1Chesterfield
26 Nov 2016League OneLeague OneChesterfield3-2Bristol Rovers
1 Feb 2014League TwoLeague TwoChesterfield3-1Bristol Rovers
26 Oct 2013League TwoLeague TwoBristol Rovers0-0Chesterfield
9 Mar 2013League TwoLeague TwoChesterfield2-0Bristol Rovers
10 Nov 2012League TwoLeague TwoBristol Rovers3-2Chesterfield

League Two tableLeague Twoupdated 14 Nov 18:31 UTC

In the League Two table, Bristol Rovers sit 18th with 16 points from 15 games, while Chesterfield are 7th with 22 points from 15.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Salford City15102326:16+1032
2Barnet1375128:18+1026
3Grimsby1565428:19+923
4York1565425:21+423
5Crewe1558219:19023
6Walsall1357121:12+922
7Chesterfield1564526:21+522
8Exeter City1564512:9+322
9Cheltenham1563623:26-321
10Shrewsbury1563619:23-421
11Gillingham1555520:21-120
12Accrington ST1547425:21+419
13Newport County1547422:19+319
14Tranmere1447319:17+219
15Swindon Town1554616:21-519
16Port Vale1353514:16-218
17Fleetwood Town1445518:18017
18Bristol Rovers1551917:25-816
19Northampton1436510:11-115
20Oldham1543816:21-515
21Colchester1436514:19-515
22Rochdale1543817:27-1015
23Rotherham1426618:25-712
24Crawley Town1223713:21-89

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%2.97X27%3.43242%2.23

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11 Nov 00:0014 Nov 10:401 2.99X 3.422 2.22
12.80 → 2.99 +6.8%X3.35 → 3.42 +2.1%22.34 → 2.22 -5.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.722.144.9%
SBO1.682.165.8%
Bet3651.702.106.4%
Betano1.702.106.4%
Betfair1.732.056.6%
1xBet1.702.067.4%
Marathonbet1.702.067.4%
BetVictor1.682.029.0%
Best of all books1.732.164.1%
Average1.702.096.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.572.385.7%
William Hill1.602.256.9%
1xBet1.572.267.9%
Bet3651.572.258.1%
Betano1.572.258.1%
Marathonbet1.572.228.7%
BetVictor1.552.259.0%
Best of all books1.602.384.5%
Average1.572.277.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bristol Rovers 10%Draw 45%Chesterfield 45%

The statistical model rated Bristol Rovers at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Chesterfield at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.97 | 3.43 | 2.23, which imply roughly 29.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the League Two table: Bristol Rovers are 18th (16 pts, 17-25 goals), Chesterfield 7th (22 pts, 26-21).

Over their last five matches, Bristol Rovers averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Chesterfield averaged 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Chesterfield.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Bristol Rovers

4-2-3-1

Coach: S. Evans

Goalkeeper

  • 1Brad Young

Defence

  • 2T. James
  • 4K. Balmer
  • 5A. Kilgour
  • 14B. Purrington

Midfield

  • 22Keenan Gough
  • 6C. Mola
  • 8R. Russell-Denny
  • 24T. Leigh
  • 9J. Quigley

Attack

  • 29F. Cavegn
Substitutes (7)
  • 28A. Appiah
  • 7S. Forde
  • 19E. Harrison
  • 10B. Kamwa
  • 21R. Smallwood
  • 27P. Sanyaolu
  • 32Charlie Binns

Chesterfield

4-2-3-1

Coach: P. Cook

Goalkeeper

  • 1Z. Hemming

Defence

  • 33R. Hutton
  • 5K. McFadzean
  • 6J. Simpson
  • 19L. Gordon

Midfield

  • 4T. Naylor
  • 8R. Stirk
  • 7L. Mandeville
  • 18L. Marsh
  • 37J. Koroma

Attack

  • 10L. Bonis
Substitutes (7)
  • 31J. Randall
  • 15A. Pond
  • 46T. Pearce
  • 20G. McEachran
  • 24D. Markanday
  • 27K. Dyer
  • 11D. Duffy

Match Statistics

Bristol RoversChesterfield
0.63Expected Goals0.66
279Passes accurate281
5Shots insidebox5
5Shots outsidebox3
3Blocked Shots1
12Free Kicks8
2Shots on Goal4
2Goalkeeper Saves2
5Shots off Goal3
3Offsides1
427Total passes411
10Total Shots8
2Corner Kicks0
0Yellow Cards2
9Fouls12
0Red Cards0
51%Ball Possession49%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.973.432.23

Double chance

1XX212
1.591.351.27

Draw no bet

12
2.181.63

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.572.27

1st half

1X2
3.432.242.76

2nd half

1X2
3.112.552.53

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.8313.223.7
HT X7.035.555.60
HT 228.213.23.52

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.1112.91.80

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0310.8
1.51.204.07
2.51.702.09
3.52.661.42
4.54.941.15
5.59.201.03
6.517.71.01
7.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.85
11.018.60
1.251.105.16
1.751.233.44
21.313.00
2.251.512.40
2.751.881.86
32.131.64
3.252.381.51
3.753.091.29
43.981.17
4.254.301.14
57.801.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.951.38
-0.252.541.47
02.191.63
+0.251.831.92
+0.51.652.21
+0.751.452.56
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.512.01.02
-29.401.02
-1.757.301.03
-1.55.911.10
-1.255.461.11
-15.011.14
-0.753.581.26
+11.283.32
+1.251.243.67
+1.51.194.11
+1.751.125.13
+21.047.10
+2.51.039.03

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.124.85
7.51.293.19
8.51.542.32
9.51.931.79
10.52.441.48
11.53.281.29
12.54.001.18
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
7.751.303.08
8.251.422.60
8.751.572.22
91.742.04
9.251.781.93
9.751.961.68
102.171.64
112.441.50

Latest League Two results

14 NovFleetwood Town 1-0 Tranmere
14 NovShrewsbury 2-1 Oldham
14 NovRochdale 0-1 York
14 NovSalford City 1-1 Northampton
14 NovSwindon Town 1-4 Grimsby
14 NovColchester 2-0 Gillingham