Rochdale vs York• League Two, England

#221.4:3.00-1FTToday · Spotland, Rochdale1.4:2.0#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.33BVCX4.04PIN21.83PINMargin at best2.5%Books10Markets73Rating33 · 67Exp. goals L53.9

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 12:50 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.97	4.04	1.83	4.6%
Dafabet	4.10	3.95	1.82	4.7%
Betfair	4.00	4.00	1.80	5.6%
BetVictor	4.33	3.90	1.73	6.5%
Betano	3.95	3.75	1.82	6.9%
Bet365	4.10	3.90	1.75	7.2%
1xBet	4.05	3.94	1.73	7.9%
Marathonbet	4.05	3.94	1.71	8.6%
William Hill	4.00	3.70	1.75	9.2%
SBO	3.68	3.36	1.73	14.7%
Best of all books	4.33	4.04	1.83	2.5%
Average	4.02	3.85	1.77	7.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

RochdaleYork

Last 10#22Table position#41.00Points per game1.534Form pts · last 561.4Goals for · last 51.43.0Goals against · last 52.050Attack rating5040Defence rating6029Form rating717H2H rating9352Goals model4833Overall rating67

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Nov 00:10 UTC

Rochdale

3W 2D 5L · goals 13:26 · per match 1.3 for, 2.6 against

7 Nov	A	Fleetwood Town	2-1	W
3 Nov	H	Doncaster	1-4	L
31 Oct	A	Port Vale	2-4	L
24 Oct	H	Accrington ST	0-5	L
20 Oct	H	Grimsby	2-2	D
17 Oct	A	Crewe	2-3	L
10 Oct	A	Tranmere	1-1	D
6 Oct	A	Huddersfield	0-5	L
3 Oct	H	Swindon Town	1-0	W
26 Sep	A	Fleetwood Town	2-1	W

York

3W 4D 3L · goals 16:16 · per match 1.6 for, 1.6 against

10 Nov	A	Bradford	0-4	L
7 Nov	H	Northampton	4-0	W
31 Oct	A	Grimsby	2-5	L
27 Oct	A	Barnet	1-3	L
24 Oct	H	Port Vale	2-0	W
20 Oct	H	Accrington ST	1-1	D
17 Oct	A	Newport County	1-1	D
10 Oct	H	Northampton	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	Gillingham	3-0	W
22 Sep	H	Rotherham	1-1	D

Head to head

1Rochdale wins

5draws

5York wins

11 meetings · goals 8:16 · last 10: 1W 5D 4L for Rochdale

25 Apr 2026National League	National League	Rochdale1-1York
11 Nov 2025National League	National League	York4-1Rochdale
11 Oct 2025FA Cup	FA Cup	Rochdale1-2York
25 Mar 2025National League	National League	Rochdale0-4York
20 Aug 2024National League	National League	York1-0Rochdale
16 Dec 2023National League	National League	Rochdale0-0York
28 Aug 2023National League	National League	York1-3Rochdale
5 Apr 2014League Two	League Two	Rochdale0-0York
30 Nov 2013League Two	League Two	York0-0Rochdale
12 Mar 2013League Two	League Two	York0-0Rochdale

League Two tableLeague Twoupdated 14 Nov 18:31 UTC

In the League Two table, Rochdale sit 22nd with 15 points from 15 games, while York are 4th with 23 points from 15.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Salford City	15	10	2	3	26:16	+10	32
2	Barnet	13	7	5	1	28:18	+10	26
3	Grimsby	15	6	5	4	28:19	+9	23
4	York	15	6	5	4	25:21	+4	23
5	Crewe	15	5	8	2	19:19	0	23
6	Walsall	13	5	7	1	21:12	+9	22
7	Chesterfield	15	6	4	5	26:21	+5	22
8	Exeter City	15	6	4	5	12:9	+3	22
9	Cheltenham	15	6	3	6	23:26	-3	21
10	Shrewsbury	15	6	3	6	19:23	-4	21
11	Gillingham	15	5	5	5	20:21	-1	20
12	Accrington ST	15	4	7	4	25:21	+4	19
13	Newport County	15	4	7	4	22:19	+3	19
14	Tranmere	14	4	7	3	19:17	+2	19
15	Swindon Town	15	5	4	6	16:21	-5	19
16	Port Vale	13	5	3	5	14:16	-2	18
17	Fleetwood Town	14	4	5	5	18:18	0	17
18	Bristol Rovers	15	5	1	9	17:25	-8	16
19	Northampton	14	3	6	5	10:11	-1	15
20	Oldham	15	4	3	8	16:21	-5	15
21	Colchester	14	3	6	5	14:19	-5	15
22	Rochdale	15	4	3	8	17:27	-10	15
23	Rotherham	14	2	6	6	18:25	-7	12
24	Crawley Town	12	2	3	7	13:21	-8	9

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg123%4.02X24%3.85253%1.77

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.09 → 4.02 -1.7%X3.94 → 3.85 -2.3%21.71 → 1.77 +3.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.65	2.28	4.5%
Betano	1.62	2.27	5.8%
Bet365	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Betfair	1.57	2.30	7.2%
1xBet	1.59	2.25	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.25	7.3%
BetVictor	1.59	2.17	9.0%
Best of all books	1.65	2.30	4.1%
Average	1.60	2.26	6.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.57	2.38	5.7%
1xBet	1.57	2.26	7.9%
William Hill	1.60	2.20	8.0%
Betano	1.55	2.30	8.0%
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
BetVictor	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.22	8.7%
Best of all books	1.60	2.38	4.5%
Average	1.57	2.27	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Rochdale 10%Draw 45%York 45%

The statistical model rated Rochdale at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and York at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.02 | 3.85 | 1.77, which imply roughly 26% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the League Two table: Rochdale are 22nd (15 pts, 17-27 goals), York 4th (23 pts, 25-21).

Over their last five matches, Rochdale averaged 1.4 goals scored and 3 conceded per game; York averaged 1.4 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or York and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Rochdale

4-2-3-1

Coach: Ian Watson

Goalkeeper

20Sam William John Waller

Defence

13O. Adebayo-Rowling
44A. Flint
3Kaiden Wilson
21Kane Taylor

Midfield

8H. Gilmour
24J. Allen
19L. Hannant
11Z. Silcott-Duberry
45G. Middleton

Attack

39D. Brown

Substitutes (7)

17B. Adeeko
27B. Bilongo
6E. Ebanks-Landell
4R. East
14E. Francis
7C. Hayes
40I. Henderson

York

3-4-2-1

Coach: S. Lindsey

Goalkeeper

1Alfie Shane McNally

Defence

2R. Fallowfield
5Z. Johnson
3M. Kitching

Midfield

23J. Felix
8A. Hunt
16A. Read
12H. Boyes
28O. Banks
21H. Boateng

Attack

10O. Pearce

Substitutes (7)

30A. Newby
18J. Malcolm
11F. Maguire
31G. Sykes-Kenworthy
9J. Stones
7J. Grey
4Z. Medley

Match Statistics

RochdaleYork

1.74Expected Goals1.08

418Passes accurate317

11Shots insidebox8

1Shots outsidebox9

4Blocked Shots10

8Free Kicks6

5Shots on Goal3

2Goalkeeper Saves3

3Shots off Goal4

1Offsides3

493Total passes403

12Total Shots17

1Yellow Cards3

6Corner Kicks7

6Fouls10

0Red Cards0

56%Ball Possession44%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.02	3.85	1.77

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.01	1.20	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
3.07	1.33

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.57	2.27

1st half

1	X	2
4.23	2.37	2.25

2nd half

1	X	2
3.96	2.71	2.06

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.65	14.5	20.2
HT X	9.32	6.40	4.89
HT 2	34.4	13.9	2.64

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.45	16.1	1.56

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.7
1.5	1.17	4.45
2.5	1.60	2.26
3.5	2.47	1.49
4.5	4.40	1.18
5.5	8.18	1.05
6.5	16.3	1.02
7.5	37.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.60
1.25	1.06	6.15
1.75	1.17	3.97
2	1.22	3.52
2.25	1.42	2.65
2.75	1.75	2.00
3	1.97	1.77
3.25	2.21	1.59
3.75	2.82	1.35
4	3.58	1.21
4.25	3.96	1.17
4.75	5.35	1.09
5	7.40	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.36	1.52
+0.5	2.05	1.75
+0.75	1.81	1.93
+1	1.57	2.32
+1.25	1.44	2.58
+1.5	1.35	2.93

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.88	1.03
-1	7.50	1.03
-0.75	5.10	1.12
-0.5	4.04	1.24
-0.25	3.47	1.27
0	3.10	1.32
+1.75	1.26	3.54
+2	1.14	4.72
+2.25	1.12	5.15
+2.5	1.10	5.69
+2.75	1.06	7.07
+3	1.02	9.30
+3.5	1.02	10.3

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.13	4.50
7.5	1.25	3.45
8.5	1.47	2.49
9.5	1.81	1.93
10.5	2.27	1.56
11.5	3.01	1.32
12.5	3.70	1.20
13.5	5.00	1.11

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8.25	1.41	2.52
8.75	1.48	2.40
9	1.56	2.29
9.25	1.67	2.07
9.75	1.85	1.81
10	1.97	1.78
10.25	2.11	1.60
10.75	2.41	1.45
11	2.58	1.45

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