Rotherham vs Crawley Town• League Two, England

#231.4:2.615:00PostponedToday · New York Stadium, Rotherham1.4:1.6#24

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.20WHX3.70DAF23.88MARMargin7.4%Books5Markets50Rating36 · 64Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 03:14 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.09	3.70	3.35	4.7%
Betano	2.07	3.55	3.25	7.2%
Marathonbet	1.81	3.62	3.88	8.6%
William Hill	2.20	3.30	3.00	9.1%
Bet365	2.00	3.50	3.25	9.3%
Best of all books	2.20	3.70	3.88	-1.7%
Average	2.03	3.53	3.35	7.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

RotherhamCrawley Town

Last 10#23Table position#240.86Points per game0.755Form pts · last 541.4Goals for · last 51.42.6Goals against · last 51.650Attack rating5038Defence rating6229Form rating7129H2H rating7144Goals model5636Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Nov 00:01 UTC

Rotherham

1W 3D 6L · goals 10:20 · per match 1.0 for, 2.0 against

7 Nov	A	Bromley	2-0	W
3 Nov	H	Newcastle United U21	0-1	L
31 Oct	A	Swindon Town	1-2	L
24 Oct	H	Shrewsbury	3-3	D
20 Oct	H	Newport County	2-2	D
17 Oct	A	Fleetwood Town	0-2	L
10 Oct	H	Gillingham	1-4	L
6 Oct	H	Bradford	0-4	L
3 Oct	A	Exeter City	0-1	L
26 Sep	H	Crewe	1-1	D

Crawley Town

2W 2D 6L · goals 13:18 · per match 1.3 for, 1.8 against

10 Nov	H	Brentford U21	1-2	L
8 Nov	A	Wimborne Town	0-2	L
31 Oct	A	Oldham	1-0	W
24 Oct	H	Tranmere	1-1	D
20 Oct	H	Shrewsbury	2-3	L
17 Oct	A	Salford City	1-2	L
10 Oct	H	Chesterfield	2-2	D
6 Oct	H	Bromley	4-0	W
22 Sep	A	Milton Keynes Dons	1-4	L
19 Sep	A	Grimsby	0-2	L

Head to head

1Rotherham wins

1draws

4Crawley Town wins

6 meetings · goals 5:13 · last 6: 1W 1D 4L for Rotherham

29 Mar 2025League One	League One	Rotherham0-4Crawley Town
23 Nov 2024League One	League One	Crawley Town1-0Rotherham
25 Jan 2014League One	League One	Rotherham2-2Crawley Town
17 Aug 2013League One	League One	Crawley Town1-2Rotherham
24 Mar 2012League Two	League Two	Crawley Town3-0Rotherham
26 Nov 2011League Two	League Two	Rotherham1-2Crawley Town

League Two tableLeague Twoupdated 14 Nov 18:31 UTC

In the League Two table, Rotherham sit 23rd with 12 points from 14 games, while Crawley Town are 24th with 9 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Salford City	15	10	2	3	26:16	+10	32
2	Barnet	13	7	5	1	28:18	+10	26
3	Grimsby	15	6	5	4	28:19	+9	23
4	York	15	6	5	4	25:21	+4	23
5	Crewe	15	5	8	2	19:19	0	23
6	Walsall	13	5	7	1	21:12	+9	22
7	Chesterfield	15	6	4	5	26:21	+5	22
8	Exeter City	15	6	4	5	12:9	+3	22
9	Cheltenham	15	6	3	6	23:26	-3	21
10	Shrewsbury	15	6	3	6	19:23	-4	21
11	Gillingham	15	5	5	5	20:21	-1	20
12	Accrington ST	15	4	7	4	25:21	+4	19
13	Newport County	15	4	7	4	22:19	+3	19
14	Tranmere	14	4	7	3	19:17	+2	19
15	Swindon Town	15	5	4	6	16:21	-5	19
16	Port Vale	13	5	3	5	14:16	-2	18
17	Fleetwood Town	14	4	5	5	18:18	0	17
18	Bristol Rovers	15	5	1	9	17:25	-8	16
19	Northampton	14	3	6	5	10:11	-1	15
20	Oldham	15	4	3	8	16:21	-5	15
21	Colchester	14	3	6	5	14:19	-5	15
22	Rochdale	15	4	3	8	17:27	-10	15
23	Rotherham	14	2	6	6	18:25	-7	12
24	Crawley Town	12	2	3	7	13:21	-8	9

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg146%2.03X26%3.53228%3.35

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.10 → 2.03 -3.3%X3.51 → 3.53 +0.6%23.18 → 3.35 +5.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.65	2.22	5.7%
Bet365	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Marathonbet	1.65	2.14	7.3%
Best of all books	1.65	2.22	5.7%
Average	1.65	2.19	6.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.53	2.40	7.0%
Betano	1.53	2.35	7.9%
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.18	8.8%
Best of all books	1.59	2.40	4.6%
Average	1.55	2.29	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Rotherham 10%Draw 45%Crawley Town 45%

The statistical model rates Rotherham at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Crawley Town at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.03 | 3.53 | 3.35, which imply roughly 28.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the League Two table: Rotherham are 23rd (12 pts, 18-25 goals), Crawley Town 24th (9 pts, 13-21).

Over their last five matches, Rotherham averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Crawley Town averaged 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Crawley Town.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.03	3.53	3.35

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.32	1.77	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.57	2.32

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.56	2.30

1st half

1	X	2
2.51	2.31	3.71

2nd half

1	X	2
2.28	2.62	3.45

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.10	13.6	30.7
HT X	5.22	5.80	8.00
HT 2	22.3	13.9	5.70

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.66	14.5	2.32

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	12.1
1.5	1.19	4.22
2.5	1.65	2.19
3.5	2.49	1.48
4.5	4.35	1.17
5.5	8.30	1.05
6.5	14.8	1.02
7.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.30
1.25	1.08	5.45
1.75	1.21	3.58
2	1.26	3.22
2.25	1.44	2.48
2.75	1.77	1.88
3	2.01	1.73
3.25	2.24	1.52
3.75	2.92	1.31
4	3.74	1.19
4.25	4.05	1.16
4.75	5.35	1.09
5	7.30	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.60	1.44
-0.75	2.16	1.63
-0.5	2.05	1.75
-0.25	1.69	2.09
0	1.45	2.65
+0.25	1.35	2.97

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.83	1.08
-2.25	5.30	1.09
-2	5.88	1.11
-1.75	4.04	1.20
-1.5	3.26	1.29
-1.25	2.98	1.35
+0.5	1.32	3.30
+0.75	1.18	4.30
+1	1.09	6.28
+1.25	1.08	6.73
+1.5	1.07	7.20
+1.75	1.02	8.20

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