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Exeter City vs Cheltenham• League Two, England

#81.2:0.61-0FTToday · St James Park, Exeter1.4:2.2#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.91DAFX3.80BFR24.10BVCMargin at best3.1%Books10Markets66Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 08:53 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.873.784.034.7%
Betfair1.873.604.205.1%
Dafabet1.913.604.005.1%
BetVictor1.873.604.006.3%
Betano1.883.553.907.0%
Bet3651.853.504.007.6%
1xBet1.873.523.847.9%
Marathonbet1.853.523.828.6%
William Hill1.853.303.8010.7%
SBO1.883.083.4214.9%
Best of all books1.913.784.202.6%
Average1.873.503.907.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Exeter CityCheltenham
Last 10#8Table position#91.47Points per game1.4010Form pts · last 591.2Goals for · last 51.40.6Goals against · last 52.246Attack rating5479Defence rating2163Form rating3840H2H rating6082Goals model1858Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Nov 00:10 UTC

Exeter City

5W 3D 2L · goals 13:9 · per match 1.3 for, 0.9 against

7 NovAHuddersfield2-1W
31 OctASalford City1-2L
24 OctHFleetwood Town2-1W
20 OctHCrewe2-0W
17 OctAColchester0-0D
10 OctAShrewsbury1-0W
6 OctHOxford United2-2D
3 OctHRotherham1-0W
26 SepABristol Rovers0-1L
22 SepACheltenham2-2D

Cheltenham

4W 1D 5L · goals 13:20 · per match 1.3 for, 2.0 against

10 NovAOxford United0-4L
7 NovHFC Halifax Town2-0W
31 OctATranmere1-3L
24 OctHNewport County1-0W
20 OctHFleetwood Town4-2W
17 OctAOldham1-4L
13 OctHTottenham Hotspur U212-2D
10 OctHSalford City0-2L
3 OctAAccrington ST0-2L
26 SepHChesterfield2-1W

Head to head

11Exeter City wins
5draws
8Cheltenham wins

24 meetings · goals 39:31 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for Exeter City

22 Sep 2026EFL TrophyEFL TrophyCheltenham2-2Exeter City
13 Aug 2025League CupLeague CupCheltenham2-0Exeter City
1 Apr 2024League OneLeague OneCheltenham1-2Exeter City
16 Sep 2023League OneLeague OneExeter City1-0Cheltenham
18 Mar 2023League OneLeague OneCheltenham3-1Exeter City
20 Aug 2022League OneLeague OneExeter City0-1Cheltenham
9 Aug 2022League CupLeague CupCheltenham0-7Exeter City
5 Oct 2021EFL TrophyEFL TrophyCheltenham2-2Exeter City
13 Mar 2021League TwoLeague TwoExeter City0-1Cheltenham
5 Dec 2020League TwoLeague TwoCheltenham5-3Exeter City

League Two tableLeague Twoupdated 14 Nov 18:31 UTC

In the League Two table, Exeter City sit 8th with 22 points from 15 games, while Cheltenham are 9th with 21 points from 15.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Salford City15102326:16+1032
2Barnet1375128:18+1026
3Grimsby1565428:19+923
4York1565425:21+423
5Crewe1558219:19023
6Walsall1357121:12+922
7Chesterfield1564526:21+522
8Exeter City1564512:9+322
9Cheltenham1563623:26-321
10Shrewsbury1563619:23-421
11Gillingham1555520:21-120
12Accrington ST1547425:21+419
13Newport County1547422:19+319
14Tranmere1447319:17+219
15Swindon Town1554616:21-519
16Port Vale1353514:16-218
17Fleetwood Town1445518:18017
18Bristol Rovers1551917:25-816
19Northampton1436510:11-115
20Oldham1543816:21-515
21Colchester1436514:19-515
22Rochdale1543817:27-1015
23Rotherham1426618:25-712
24Crawley Town1223713:21-89

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.90X27%3.49224%3.81

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11 Nov 00:0014 Nov 01:401 1.86X 3.542 3.88
12.03 → 1.86 -8.4%X3.29 → 3.54 +7.6%23.47 → 3.88 +11.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.951.884.5%
SBO1.931.894.7%
Bet3651.951.855.3%
Betfair1.901.876.1%
Betano1.951.826.2%
1xBet1.901.837.3%
Marathonbet1.901.837.3%
BetVictor1.871.809.0%
Best of all books1.951.894.2%
Average1.921.856.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.871.906.1%
Betano1.821.907.6%
Bet3651.801.917.9%
1xBet1.771.948.0%
BetVictor1.751.958.4%
William Hill1.751.958.4%
Marathonbet1.771.928.6%
Best of all books1.871.954.8%
Average1.791.927.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Exeter City 45%Draw 45%Cheltenham 10%

The statistical model rated Exeter City at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Cheltenham at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.90 | 3.49 | 3.81, which imply roughly 52.6% for a Exeter City win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the League Two table: Exeter City are 8th (22 pts, 12-9 goals), Cheltenham 9th (21 pts, 23-26).

Over their last five matches, Exeter City averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Cheltenham averaged 1.4 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Exeter City or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Exeter City

4-2-3-1

Coach: M. Taylor

Goalkeeper

  • 1J. Bycroft

Defence

  • 2L. Samuel
  • 6J. Taylor
  • 5J. Fitzwater
  • 3L. Woodhouse

Midfield

  • 31J. Doyle-Hayes
  • 14H. Kite
  • 20George Birch
  • 12R. Cole
  • 25A. Scully

Attack

  • 19S. Cox
Substitutes (7)
  • 10J. Gordon
  • 40E. James
  • 18Liam Oakes
  • 8T. Perry
  • 22Frankie Phillips
  • 32D. Rose
  • 4E. Turns

Cheltenham

4-2-3-1

Coach: S. Cotterill

Goalkeeper

  • 23W. Stanway

Defence

  • 3J. Tomkinson
  • 25P. Sweeney
  • 6J. Wilson
  • 26J. Shipley

Midfield

  • 7B. Stevenson
  • 17S. McWilliams
  • 9K. Otchere
  • 8C. McCann
  • 14R. Broom

Attack

  • 18A. Weimann
Substitutes (7)
  • 11J. Bickerstaff
  • 5R. Cundy
  • 1J. Day
  • 10G. Miller
  • 21G. Nurse
  • 20Favour Onukwuli
  • 33F. Willcox

Match Statistics

Exeter CityCheltenham
0.49Expected Goals0.81
189Passes accurate288
5Shots insidebox5
9Shots outsidebox3
1Blocked Shots1
14Free Kicks12
5Shots on Goal1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
8Shots off Goal6
294Total passes431
14Total Shots8
5Corner Kicks5
0Yellow Cards2
12Fouls15
0Red Cards0
41%Ball Possession59%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.873.513.90

Double chance

1XX212
1.221.871.25

Draw no bet

12
1.382.86

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.791.92

1st half

1X2
2.442.154.36

2nd half

1X2
2.222.453.99

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.9014.237.3
HT X4.725.358.47
HT 223.714.86.56

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.639.352.55

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.049.27
1.51.293.36
2.51.921.85
3.53.271.30
4.56.311.09
5.513.11.03
6.523.51.01
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.028.20
11.037.70
1.251.144.41
1.751.342.86
21.452.55
2.251.672.08
2.752.141.64
32.581.44
3.252.821.35
3.753.851.19
45.151.10
4.255.501.08

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.951.35
-12.561.45
-0.752.081.68
-0.51.861.94
-0.251.632.19
01.372.93
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.512.01.02
-2.56.751.07
-2.256.301.08
-25.831.09
-1.754.071.19
-1.53.321.28
+0.251.283.36
+0.51.253.78
+0.751.154.85
+11.067.07
+1.251.037.60
+1.51.048.88

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
4.52.011.74

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.115.00
7.51.253.39
8.51.482.44
9.51.831.88
10.52.311.53
11.53.051.31
12.53.801.19
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
8.251.402.56
8.751.512.32
91.632.19
9.251.702.03
9.751.891.77
102.071.69
10.252.161.57
10.752.461.43

Latest League Two results

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14 NovShrewsbury 2-1 Oldham
14 NovSalford City 1-1 Northampton