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Krylia Sovetov vs Fakel• Premier League, Russia

#101.8:1.61-2FT17/10 · Solidarnost Samara Arena, Samara0.6:2.4#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.001XBX3.641XB24.161XBMargin at best1.5%Books3Markets75Rating71 · 29Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.003.644.161.5%
Pinnacle2.003.533.973.5%
Marathonbet1.953.554.054.1%
Best of all books2.003.644.161.5%
Average1.983.574.063.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Krylia SovetovFakel
Last 10#10Table position#151.09Points per game0.558Form pts · last 571.8Goals for · last 50.61.6Goals against · last 52.475Attack rating2560Defence rating4088Form rating1371H2H rating2961Goals model3971Overall rating29

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:40 UTC

Krylia Sovetov

3W 6D 1L · goals 16:10 · per match 1.6 for, 1.0 against

14 OctHBaltika0-2L
10 OctHSpartak Moscow1-1D
2 OctHAkron4-0W
16 SepALokomotiv1-1D
11 SepHRodina Moskva2-1W
5 SepHFC Krasnodar2-2D
2 SepABaltika0-0D
29 AugAAkhmat3-3D
23 AugAAkron3-0W
19 AugHZenit0-0D

Fakel

2W 3D 5L · goals 8:15 · per match 0.8 for, 1.5 against

13 OctAFC Krasnodar2-0W
10 OctHLokomotiv0-5L
3 OctHFC Vitebsk1-0W
16 SepASpartak Moscow0-1L
12 SepHBaltika2-2D
5 SepAFC Rostov1-3L
1 SepHFC Krasnodar1-1D
29 AugHZenit0-1L
22 AugHFC Orenburg0-0D
18 AugAAkhmat1-2L

Head to head

7Krylia Sovetov wins
3draws
2Fakel wins

12 meetings · goals 19:8 · last 10: 6W 3D 1L for Krylia Sovetov

24 May 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFakel1-1Krylia Sovetov
11 Aug 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueKrylia Sovetov2-0Fakel
25 Apr 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFakel Voronezh0-1Krylya Sovetov
2 Sep 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueKrylya Sovetov3-0Fakel Voronezh
28 May 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFakel Voronezh2-1Krylya Sovetov
27 Nov 2022CupCupKrylya Sovetov1-0Fakel Voronezh
29 Sep 2022CupCupFakel Voronezh0-1Krylya Sovetov
19 Aug 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueKrylya Sovetov1-1Fakel Voronezh
17 Apr 2021First LeagueFirst LeagueKrylya Sovetov5-1Fakel Voronezh
24 Oct 2020First LeagueFirst LeagueFakel Voronezh1-1Krylya Sovetov

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 18 Oct 19:30 UTC

In the Premier League table, Krylia Sovetov sit 10th with 12 points from 11 games, while Fakel are 15th with 6 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Dynamo1181218:9+925
2Zenit1180325:13+1224
3Spartak Moscow1172221:8+1323
4CSKA Moscow1164119:12+722
5FC Krasnodar1164119:13+622
6Dinamo Makhachkala1141616:21-513
7Baltika1033414:12+212
8Rubin1126312:16-412
9FC Orenburg1026211:10+112
10Krylia Sovetov1126315:17-212
11Akhmat1125415:16-111
12Lokomotiv1125416:14+211
13FC Rostov1032511:17-611
14Akron1116412:20-89
15Fakel111378:19-116
16Rodina Moskva1012710:25-155

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%2.01X28%3.52224%4.03

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 00:0116 Oct 17:301 1.97X 3.592 4.07
12.05 → 1.97 -3.9%X3.39 → 3.59 +5.9%23.85 → 4.07 +5.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.031.921.3%
Pinnacle2.061.842.9%
Marathonbet1.961.855.1%
Best of all books2.061.920.6%
Average2.021.873.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.791.947.4%
Marathonbet1.791.927.9%
Best of all books1.791.947.4%
Average1.791.937.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Krylia Sovetov 50%Draw 50%Fakel 0%

The statistical model rated Krylia Sovetov at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Fakel at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.01 | 3.52 | 4.03, which imply roughly 49.8% for a Krylia Sovetov win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Krylia Sovetov are 10th (12 pts, 15-17 goals), Fakel 15th (6 pts, 8-19).

Over their last five matches, Krylia Sovetov averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Fakel averaged 0.6 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Krylia Sovetov or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Krylia Sovetov

4-2-3-1

Coach: S. Bulatov

Goalkeeper

  • 80N. Kokarev

Defence

  • 15N. Rasskazov
  • 23N. Chernov
  • 47S. Bozhin
  • 2K. Pechenin

Midfield

  • 22Fernando Costanza
  • 4Y. Gorshkov
  • 14N. Saltykov
  • 8M. Vityugov
  • 10M. Kramarič

Attack

  • 11A. Rahmanović
Substitutes (12)
  • 18I. Lepskiy
  • 3T. Galdames
  • 5D. Oroz
  • 73V. Shitov
  • 26J. Marín
  • 77D. Makarov
  • 97I. Akhmetov
  • 7M. Banjac
  • 17I. Chesnokov
  • 72Dani Fernández
  • 20K. Stolbov
  • 39E. Frolov

Fakel

3-4-3

Coach: Aleksey Rebko

Goalkeeper

  • 96I. Obukhov

Defence

  • 5A. Gabaraev
  • 40Clayton
  • 53M. Bardachev

Midfield

  • 55D. Todorović
  • 8A. Bagamaev
  • 23V. Yakimov
  • 10I. Alshin

Attack

  • 19B. Pusi
  • 90A. Koksharov
  • 11A. Sutormin
Substitutes (10)
  • 35V. Dorovskikh
  • 44Y. Zhuravlev
  • 1D. Frolkin
  • 9A. Gnapi Dable
  • 17A. Kovalev
  • 97B. Magomedov
  • 52R. Netfullin
  • 18K. Simonov
  • 7M. Turishchev
  • 22H. El Mahasni

Match Statistics

Krylia SovetovFakel
1.78Expected Goals0.73
444Passes accurate222
14Shots insidebox8
7Shots outsidebox4
6Blocked Shots5
16Free Kicks7
6Shots on Goal4
2Goalkeeper Saves4
9Shots off Goal3
2Offsides0
525Total passes304
21Total Shots12
2Yellow Cards3
6Corner Kicks4
7Fouls17
0Red Cards0
64%Ball Possession36%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.983.574.06

Double chance

1XX212
1.271.901.33

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.791.93

1st half

1X2
2.562.174.60

2nd half

1X2
2.272.514.05

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.9315.138.0
HT X4.805.058.70
HT 227.015.56.75

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.718.302.62

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.018.30
1.51.293.31
2.52.021.87
3.53.361.29
4.56.391.08
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.027.80
11.047.20
1.251.164.31
1.751.372.87
21.482.57
2.251.762.11
2.752.241.62
32.721.43
3.252.951.34
3.753.931.19
45.301.09
4.255.601.08
511.01.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.253.111.34
-12.741.42
-0.752.201.64
-0.52.011.89
-0.251.702.22
01.452.93
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.56.601.05
-2.256.251.06
-25.901.07
-1.754.171.17
-1.53.501.27
+0.251.313.34
+0.51.283.92
+0.751.144.89
+11.057.60
+1.251.047.88
+1.51.038.30

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.037.30
6.51.124.56
7.51.312.98
8.51.592.21
9.52.001.74
10.52.591.42
11.53.541.21
12.55.201.09
13.57.201.04
20 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.134.34
71.154.12
7.251.233.41
7.751.352.81
81.402.69
8.251.502.37
8.751.682.06
91.781.97
9.251.881.82
9.752.131.63
102.311.55
10.252.441.47
10.752.851.34
113.241.26
11.253.401.23
11.754.091.15
124.891.09
12.255.091.08
12.755.671.06
137.051.02

Next Premier League matches

19 OctRodina Moskva – FC Orenburg

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

18 OctBaltika 0-0 FC Rostov
18 OctSpartak Moscow 4-0 Rubin
18 OctDynamo 3-1 CSKA Moscow
18 OctZenit 3-2 Akhmat
17 OctLokomotiv 3-3 FC Krasnodar
17 OctDinamo Makhachkala 1-1 Akron