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Standard Liege vs Charleroi• Jupiler Pro League, Belgium

#91.6:1.40-1FT11/10 · Maurice Dufrasne, Liege2.2:1.2#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.89PINX3.571XB22.52PINMargin at best2.3%Books10Markets79Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.893.462.523.2%
1xBet2.823.572.424.8%
Betano2.853.402.475.0%
Dafabet2.803.452.475.2%
BetVictor2.753.502.406.6%
Marathonbet2.753.482.367.5%
William Hill2.753.252.408.8%
Bet3652.623.302.4010.1%
Betfair2.633.302.3011.8%
SBO2.643.152.3112.9%
Best of all books2.893.572.522.3%
Average2.753.392.407.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Standard LiegeCharleroi
Last 10#9Table position#31.38Points per game2.633Form pts · last 5121.6Goals for · last 52.21.4Goals against · last 51.242Attack rating5846Defence rating5443Form rating5740H2H rating6027Goals model7340Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 00:02 UTC

Standard Liege

4W 2D 4L · goals 15:15 · per match 1.5 for, 1.5 against

16 OctHDender2-0W
11 OctHCharleroi0-1L
2 OctHLens0-2L
18 SepAGent1-2L
12 SepAKVC Westerlo2-4L
5 SepHAntwerp1-0W
29 AugAOH Leuven2-1W
21 AugHRAAL La Louvière2-0W
16 AugAKV Mechelen3-3D
8 AugHCercle Brugge2-2D

Charleroi

8W 0D 2L · goals 19:10 · per match 1.9 for, 1.0 against

17 OctAAlbert Quévy-Mons1-0W
11 OctAStandard Liege1-0W
19 SepHCercle Brugge3-2W
13 SepAZulte Waregem1-0W
5 SepHUnion St. Gilloise2-3L
29 AugAKortrijk3-1W
22 AugHKV Mechelen2-0W
16 AugALommel United1-0W
9 AugHOH Leuven3-1W
1 AugHRayo Vallecano2-3L

Head to head

20Standard Liege wins
11draws
7Charleroi wins

38 meetings · goals 56:32 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for Standard Liege

23 May 2026Jupiler Pro LeagueJupiler Pro LeagueStandard Liege0-2Charleroi
18 Apr 2026Jupiler Pro LeagueJupiler Pro LeagueCharleroi1-2Standard Liege
18 Jan 2026Jupiler Pro LeagueJupiler Pro LeagueCharleroi2-0Standard Liege
31 Oct 2025Jupiler Pro LeagueJupiler Pro LeagueStandard Liege3-1Charleroi
4 May 2025Jupiler Pro LeagueJupiler Pro LeagueStandard Liege0-1Charleroi
6 Apr 2025Jupiler Pro LeagueJupiler Pro LeagueCharleroi1-0Standard Liege
30 Nov 2024Jupiler Pro LeagueJupiler Pro LeagueCharleroi1-1Standard Liege
20 Oct 2024Jupiler Pro LeagueJupiler Pro LeagueStandard Liege2-1Charleroi
16 Dec 2023Jupiler Pro LeagueJupiler Pro LeagueStandard Liege0-0Charleroi
13 Aug 2023Jupiler Pro LeagueJupiler Pro LeagueCharleroi1-1Standard Liege

Jupiler Pro League tablePro Leagueupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the Jupiler Pro League table, Standard Liege sit 9th with 11 points from 8 games, while Charleroi are 3rd with 21 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Gent871015:4+1122
2Club Brugge KV870119:4+1521
3Charleroi870116:7+921
4Union St. Gilloise862022:4+1820
5Anderlecht85129:6+316
6KVC Westerlo841320:17+313
7Genk833216:12+412
8Zulte Waregem832310:9+111
9Standard Liege832313:13011
10Lommel United83239:9011
11SK Beveren83058:14-69
12St. Truiden822415:16-18
13Antwerp821512:20-87
14KV Mechelen81349:17-86
15OH Leuven81256:14-85
16RAAL La Louvière81168:18-104
17Kortrijk81072:18-163
18Cercle Brugge80359:16-73

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.72X28%3.37238%2.43

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Oct 00:0211 Oct 06:201 2.75X 3.392 2.40
12.85 → 2.75 -3.5%X3.37 → 3.39 +0.6%22.30 → 2.40 +4.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.852.043.1%
Betano1.852.004.1%
SBO1.812.034.5%
1xBet1.832.004.6%
Bet3651.802.005.6%
Marathonbet1.791.957.1%
Betfair1.751.958.4%
BetVictor1.761.928.9%
Best of all books1.852.043.1%
Average1.801.995.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.602.256.9%
Betano1.622.207.2%
William Hill1.622.207.2%
Bet3651.672.107.5%
1xBet1.622.177.8%
BetVictor1.622.158.2%
Marathonbet1.622.148.5%
Best of all books1.672.254.3%
Average1.622.177.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Standard Liege 10%Draw 45%Charleroi 45%

The statistical model rated Standard Liege at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Charleroi at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.72 | 3.37 | 2.43, which imply roughly 29.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Jupiler Pro League table: Standard Liege are 9th (11 pts, 13-13 goals), Charleroi 3rd (21 pts, 16-7).

Over their last five matches, Standard Liege averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Charleroi averaged 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Charleroi.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Standard Liege

4-3-3

Goalkeeper

  • 1Matthieu Epolo

Defence

  • 13Marlon Fossey
  • 20Ibrahim Karamoko
  • 25Ibe Hautekiet
  • 3Gustav Mortensen

Midfield

  • 94Casper Nielsen
  • 22Alexis Trouillet
  • 84Rayan Touzghar

Attack

  • 17Bernard Nguene
  • 10Dennis Eckert Ayensa
  • 11Adnane Abid
Substitutes (9)
  • 21Lucas Pirard
  • 29Daan Dierckx
  • 18Henry Lawrence
  • 7Tobias Mohr
  • 80Ryan Fosso
  • 23Marco Ilaimaharitra
  • 15Salieu Drammeh
  • 77Bruny Nsimba
  • 9Andi Zeqiri

Charleroi

4-2-3-1

Goalkeeper

  • 30Mohamed Koné

Defence

  • 3Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
  • 4Aiham Ousou
  • 95Cheick Keita
  • 24Mardochee Nzita

Midfield

  • 6Amine Boukamir
  • 18Yassine Khalifi
  • 14Patrick Pflücke
  • 8Jakob Napoleon Romsaas
  • 20Freddy Mbemba

Attack

  • 21Aurélien Scheidler
Substitutes (9)
  • 1Martin Delavallée
  • 33Noah Solheid
  • 44Massamba Sow
  • 51Mory Kera
  • 13Gaku Nawata
  • 19Isaac Ismaël Cissé
  • 2Triston Rowe
  • 9Adama Bojang
  • 25Antoine Colassin

Match Statistics

Standard LiegeCharleroi
1Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal5
10Total Shots10
3Blocked Shots1
4Shots insidebox7
6Shots outsidebox3
15Fouls7
5Corner Kicks7
1Offsides2
42%Ball Possession58%
1Yellow Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves1
342Total passes463
276Passes accurate387
81%Passes %84%
1.05Expected Goals1.58
0.50Goals Prevented0.50

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.753.392.40

Double chance

1XX212
1.531.401.29

Draw no bet

12
2.041.73

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.622.17

1st half

1X2
3.342.212.92

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.0512.81.84

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0411.2
1.51.233.84
2.51.811.99
3.52.981.36
4.55.691.12
5.511.11.05
6.522.31.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.047.90
1.251.105.15
1.751.253.29
21.372.92
2.251.592.30
2.751.991.76
32.341.55
3.252.641.42
3.753.501.22
44.801.12
4.255.201.10
4.757.631.04
58.601.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.801.43
-0.252.391.55
02.051.75
+0.251.732.04
+0.51.572.40
+0.751.392.79
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.511.01.02
-1.757.681.03
-1.55.831.10
-1.255.301.12
-14.861.15
-0.753.361.29
+11.233.77
+1.251.194.20
+1.51.164.53
+1.751.096.06
+21.028.95
+2.51.029.60

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
2.51.313.30
3.51.672.10
4.52.321.57
5.53.401.29
6.55.101.14

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0310.8
5.51.056.70
6.51.124.92
7.51.253.34
8.51.492.43
9.51.841.91
10.52.331.52
11.53.031.29
12.54.141.16
13.55.401.10
14.57.701.05
15.510.01.03
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.055.42
71.143.87
81.322.83
8.251.352.68
8.751.502.34
91.652.12
9.251.722.05
9.751.881.78
102.131.65
10.252.121.56
10.752.451.43
112.721.35
11.252.791.28
123.501.18
134.621.09
145.651.04

Next Jupiler Pro League matches

23 OctKortrijk – KV Mechelen
24 OctAntwerp – Charleroi
24 OctOH Leuven – Lommel United
24 OctRAAL La Louvière – Zulte Waregem
24 OctKVC Westerlo – SK Beveren
25 OctGenk – Standard Liege

All Jupiler Pro League fixtures and the table

Latest Jupiler Pro League results

11 OctKV Mechelen 4-3 St. Truiden
11 OctKVC Westerlo 5-1 Antwerp
11 OctUnion St. Gilloise 1-1 OH Leuven
10 OctZulte Waregem 0-2 Gent
10 OctGenk 3-0 Kortrijk
10 OctRAAL La Louvière 1-4 Club Brugge KV