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KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden• Jupiler Pro League, Belgium

#140.4:1.84-3FT11/10 · Veoliastadion Achter De Kazerne, Mechelen1.6:1.6#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.23PINX3.721XB22.30PINMargin at best1.3%Books10Markets80Rating23 · 77Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle3.233.472.303.3%
1xBet3.123.722.194.6%
Betano3.153.502.254.8%
Dafabet3.053.552.265.2%
BetVictor3.003.602.206.6%
Marathonbet3.043.622.137.5%
Bet3653.003.402.208.2%
William Hill3.003.402.159.3%
Betfair3.003.602.059.9%
SBO2.863.222.1213.2%
Best of all books3.233.722.301.3%
Average3.043.512.187.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

KV MechelenSt. Truiden
Last 10#14Table position#120.75Points per game1.007Form pts · last 590.4Goals for · last 51.61.8Goals against · last 51.620Attack rating8047Defence rating5325Form rating757H2H rating9319Goals model8123Overall rating77

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 00:02 UTC

KV Mechelen

2W 3D 5L · goals 16:21 · per match 1.6 for, 2.1 against

18 OctHAS Eupen5-1W
11 OctHSt. Truiden4-3W
3 OctHKarpaty2-3L
19 SepALommel United0-0D
11 SepHAnderlecht0-1L
5 SepHKVC Westerlo0-4L
29 AugARAAL La Louvière2-2D
22 AugACharleroi0-2L
16 AugHStandard Liege3-3D
9 AugAGent0-2L

St. Truiden

5W 0D 5L · goals 20:17 · per match 2.0 for, 1.7 against

22 OctAFC Midtjylland1-0W
18 OctHLommel United4-1W
15 OctHFC Iberia 19992-0W
11 OctAKV Mechelen3-4L
20 SepHKVC Westerlo0-2L
12 SepASK Beveren0-2L
5 SepHRAAL La Louvière4-0W
2 SepHUnion St. Gilloise0-3L
30 AugAAntwerp4-1W
27 AugAOmonia Nicosia2-4L

Head to head

10KV Mechelen wins
6draws
15St. Truiden wins

31 meetings · goals 34:39 · last 10: 0W 1D 9L for KV Mechelen

24 May 2026Jupiler Pro LeagueJupiler Pro LeagueSt. Truiden3-0KV Mechelen
26 Apr 2026Jupiler Pro LeagueJupiler Pro LeagueKV Mechelen1-4St. Truiden
21 Dec 2025Jupiler Pro LeagueJupiler Pro LeagueSt. Truiden1-0KV Mechelen
4 Oct 2025Jupiler Pro LeagueJupiler Pro LeagueKV Mechelen1-3St. Truiden
21 Feb 2025Jupiler Pro LeagueJupiler Pro LeagueKV Mechelen1-1St. Truiden
8 Nov 2024Jupiler Pro LeagueJupiler Pro LeagueSt. Truiden2-1KV Mechelen
12 May 2024Jupiler Pro LeagueJupiler Pro LeagueSt. Truiden2-1KV Mechelen
5 Apr 2024Jupiler Pro LeagueJupiler Pro LeagueKV Mechelen2-3St. Truiden
3 Dec 2023Jupiler Pro LeagueJupiler Pro LeagueKV Mechelen0-2St. Truiden
17 Sep 2023Jupiler Pro LeagueJupiler Pro LeagueSt. Truiden2-0KV Mechelen

Jupiler Pro League tablePro Leagueupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the Jupiler Pro League table, KV Mechelen sit 14th with 6 points from 8 games, while St. Truiden are 12th with 8 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Gent871015:4+1122
2Club Brugge KV870119:4+1521
3Charleroi870116:7+921
4Union St. Gilloise862022:4+1820
5Anderlecht85129:6+316
6KVC Westerlo841320:17+313
7Genk833216:12+412
8Zulte Waregem832310:9+111
9Standard Liege832313:13011
10Lommel United83239:9011
11SK Beveren83058:14-69
12St. Truiden822415:16-18
13Antwerp821512:20-87
14KV Mechelen81349:17-86
15OH Leuven81256:14-85
16RAAL La Louvière81168:18-104
17Kortrijk81072:18-163
18Cercle Brugge80359:16-73

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg132%2.92X27%3.46241%2.27

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Oct 00:0211 Oct 12:401 3.05X 3.512 2.19
13.15 → 3.05 -3.2%X3.52 → 3.51 -0.3%22.08 → 2.19 +5.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.712.233.3%
Betano1.702.223.9%
1xBet1.702.194.5%
SBO1.642.255.4%
Bet3651.672.156.4%
Marathonbet1.662.147.0%
Betfair1.602.208.0%
BetVictor1.642.079.3%
Best of all books1.712.252.9%
Average1.672.185.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano1.552.376.7%
Betfair1.532.387.4%
1xBet1.552.308.0%
William Hill1.552.308.0%
Bet3651.572.258.1%
Marathonbet1.552.268.8%
BetVictor1.532.308.8%
Best of all books1.572.385.7%
Average1.552.318.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

KV Mechelen 10%Draw 45%St. Truiden 45%

The statistical model rated KV Mechelen at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and St. Truiden at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.92 | 3.46 | 2.27, which imply roughly 28.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Jupiler Pro League table: KV Mechelen are 14th (6 pts, 9-17 goals), St. Truiden 12th (8 pts, 15-16).

Over their last five matches, KV Mechelen averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; St. Truiden averaged 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : St. Truiden and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

KV Mechelen

3-4-2-1

Goalkeeper

  • 13Nacho Miras

Defence

  • 20Kobe Corbanie
  • 44Mike Eerdhuijzen
  • 3José Marsà

Midfield

  • 23Simion Michez
  • 6Fredrik Hammar
  • 30Marco Decherf
  • 7Thérence Koudou

Attack

  • 14Benito Raman
  • 9Myron Van Brederode
  • 28Bouke Boersma
Substitutes (9)
  • 1Ortwin De Wolf
  • 2Luc Marijnissen
  • 4Gora Diouf
  • 26Dennis Praet
  • 17Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne
  • 29Bill Antonio
  • 19Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi
  • 10Maxim Kireev
  • 21Halil Özdemir

St. Truiden

4-2-3-1

Goalkeeper

  • 16Léo Kokubo

Defence

  • 60Robert-Jan Vanwesemael
  • 5Shogo Taniguchi
  • 4Kota Takai
  • 3Taiga Hata

Midfield

  • 14Ryan Merlen
  • 8Abdoulaye Sissako
  • 38Kaito Matsuzawa
  • 71Ryotaro Araki
  • 10Ilias Sebaoui

Attack

  • 9Samed Baždar
Substitutes (9)
  • 21Matt Lendfers
  • 26Visar Musliu
  • 23Joedrick Pupe
  • 22Wolke Janssens
  • 11Nathanaël Mbuku
  • 18Nelson Ishiwatari
  • 19Frederic Soelle Soelle
  • 77Oumar Diouf
  • 99Shion Shinkawa

Match Statistics

KV MechelenSt. Truiden
3Shots on Goal5
2Shots off Goal7
7Total Shots13
2Blocked Shots1
4Shots insidebox9
3Shots outsidebox4
8Fouls11
2Corner Kicks5
4Offsides1
37%Ball Possession63%
1Yellow Cards2
3Goalkeeper Saves1
286Total passes501
197Passes accurate402
69%Passes %80%
0.64Expected Goals0.84
-3.47Goals Prevented-3.47

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.053.512.19

Double chance

1XX212
1.671.341.27

Draw no bet

12
2.261.59

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.552.31

1st half

1X2
3.512.302.69

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.1215.31.74

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0213.6
1.51.194.32
2.51.662.18
3.52.631.44
4.54.841.16
5.59.111.04
6.518.51.02
7.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.80
1.251.085.70
1.751.203.69
21.263.26
2.251.492.54
2.751.841.93
32.081.70
3.252.321.53
3.753.041.29
43.921.18
4.254.301.15
4.755.751.07
58.101.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.53.131.37
-0.252.631.46
02.281.61
+0.251.881.87
+0.51.682.18
+0.751.482.48
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.511.01.02
-210.01.01
-1.757.901.02
-1.56.061.09
-1.255.671.10
-15.231.12
-0.753.721.24
+11.323.22
+1.251.253.58
+1.51.203.82
+1.751.134.93
+21.067.07
+2.51.037.93
+3.51.0113.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
2.51.303.35
3.51.652.15
4.52.301.57
5.53.301.30
6.54.901.15

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.049.00
5.51.085.73
6.51.174.07
7.51.352.85
8.51.652.13
9.52.061.69
10.52.651.42
11.53.641.21
12.55.021.11
13.56.491.06
14.510.01.03
15.512.01.02
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.075.05
71.173.55
7.751.332.76
81.392.70
8.251.502.35
8.751.702.08
91.841.93
9.251.881.78
9.752.121.57
102.281.55
10.252.471.42
10.752.841.27
112.871.27
123.851.14
135.021.07

Next Jupiler Pro League matches

23 OctKortrijk – KV Mechelen
24 OctAntwerp – Charleroi
24 OctOH Leuven – Lommel United
24 OctRAAL La Louvière – Zulte Waregem
24 OctKVC Westerlo – SK Beveren
25 OctGenk – Standard Liege

All Jupiler Pro League fixtures and the table

Latest Jupiler Pro League results

11 OctKVC Westerlo 5-1 Antwerp
11 OctUnion St. Gilloise 1-1 OH Leuven
11 OctStandard Liege 0-1 Charleroi
10 OctZulte Waregem 0-2 Gent
10 OctGenk 3-0 Kortrijk
10 OctRAAL La Louvière 1-4 Club Brugge KV