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Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven• Jupiler Pro League, Belgium

#43.2:0.41-1FT11/10 · Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels0.8:1.4#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.30BTNX6.311XB212.0PINMargin at best1.1%Books10Markets97Rating82 · 18Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano1.306.2010.52.6%
Dafabet1.286.209.804.5%
Pinnacle1.256.1112.04.7%
1xBet1.256.3111.04.9%
Marathonbet1.236.0010.57.5%
BetVictor1.226.0011.07.7%
Bet3651.255.509.009.3%
William Hill1.225.5010.010.1%
SBO1.245.227.9112.4%
Betfair1.185.5010.012.9%
Best of all books1.306.3112.01.1%
Average1.245.8510.27.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Union St. GilloiseOH Leuven
Last 10#4Table position#152.50Points per game0.6311Form pts · last 583.2Goals for · last 50.80.4Goals against · last 51.480Attack rating2078Defence rating2279Form rating2185H2H rating15100Goals model082Overall rating18

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 19:50 UTC

Union St. Gilloise

8W 2D 0L · goals 28:4 · per match 2.8 for, 0.4 against

22 OctHHapoel Beer Sheva4-0W
18 OctHNijlen3-0W
15 OctHReal Sociedad1-1D
11 OctHOH Leuven1-1D
20 SepAAntwerp2-0W
17 SepAPlzen3-0W
12 SepHLommel United5-0W
5 SepACharleroi3-2W
2 SepASt. Truiden3-0W
30 AugHAnderlecht3-0W

OH Leuven

2W 2D 6L · goals 10:20 · per match 1.0 for, 2.0 against

17 OctHFrancs Borains1-0W
11 OctAUnion St. Gilloise1-1D
19 SepHRAAL La Louvière2-0W
12 SepHCercle Brugge1-1D
6 SepASK Beveren0-3L
3 SepAGent0-1L
29 AugHStandard Liege1-2L
15 AugHClub Brugge KV0-3L
9 AugACharleroi1-3L
1 AugHLille3-6L

Head to head

14Union St. Gilloise wins
6draws
6OH Leuven wins

26 meetings · goals 49:24 · last 10: 7W 2D 1L for Union St. Gilloise

24 Jan 2026Jupiler Pro LeagueJupiler Pro LeagueOH Leuven0-0Union St. Gilloise
3 Aug 2025Jupiler Pro LeagueJupiler Pro LeagueUnion St. Gilloise5-0OH Leuven
19 Jan 2025Jupiler Pro LeagueJupiler Pro LeagueUnion St. Gilloise1-0OH Leuven
24 Nov 2024Jupiler Pro LeagueJupiler Pro LeagueOH Leuven1-1Union St. Gilloise
2 Mar 2024Jupiler Pro LeagueJupiler Pro LeagueOH Leuven0-2Union St. Gilloise
12 Aug 2023Jupiler Pro LeagueJupiler Pro LeagueUnion St. Gilloise5-1OH Leuven
21 Jan 2023Jupiler Pro LeagueJupiler Pro LeagueUnion St. Gilloise1-0OH Leuven
1 Oct 2022Jupiler Pro LeagueJupiler Pro LeagueOH Leuven0-3Union St. Gilloise
11 Mar 2022Jupiler Pro LeagueJupiler Pro LeagueOH Leuven1-4Union St. Gilloise
26 Nov 2021Jupiler Pro LeagueJupiler Pro LeagueUnion St. Gilloise1-3OH Leuven

Jupiler Pro League tablePro Leagueupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the Jupiler Pro League table, Union St. Gilloise sit 4th with 20 points from 8 games, while OH Leuven are 15th with 5 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Gent871015:4+1122
2Club Brugge KV870119:4+1521
3Charleroi870116:7+921
4Union St. Gilloise862022:4+1820
5Anderlecht85129:6+316
6KVC Westerlo841320:17+313
7Genk833216:12+412
8Zulte Waregem832310:9+111
9Standard Liege832313:13011
10Lommel United83239:9011
11SK Beveren83058:14-69
12St. Truiden822415:16-18
13Antwerp821512:20-87
14KV Mechelen81349:17-86
15OH Leuven81256:14-85
16RAAL La Louvière81168:18-104
17Kortrijk81072:18-163
18Cercle Brugge80359:16-73

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg176%1.23X16%5.9829%10.9

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Oct 00:0211 Oct 12:401 1.24X 5.852 10.2
11.22 → 1.24 +1.6%X6.06 → 5.85 -3.5%210.3 → 10.2 -0.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano1.522.624.0%
Pinnacle1.492.654.8%
Bet3651.442.706.5%
BetVictor1.452.607.4%
Betfair1.442.607.9%
1xBet1.422.4910.6%
Marathonbet1.422.4910.6%
Best of all books1.522.702.8%
Average1.452.597.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano1.901.856.7%
Bet3651.951.806.8%
Betfair1.851.858.1%
1xBet1.891.818.2%
BetVictor1.851.838.7%
William Hill1.831.858.7%
Marathonbet1.891.798.8%
Best of all books1.951.855.3%
Average1.881.838.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Union St. Gilloise 50%Draw 50%OH Leuven 0%

The statistical model rated Union St. Gilloise at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and OH Leuven at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.23 | 5.98 | 10.87, which imply roughly 81.3% for a Union St. Gilloise win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Jupiler Pro League table: Union St. Gilloise are 4th (20 pts, 22-4 goals), OH Leuven 15th (5 pts, 6-14).

Over their last five matches, Union St. Gilloise averaged 3.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; OH Leuven averaged 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Union St. Gilloise.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Union St. Gilloise

3-1-4-2

Goalkeeper

  • 12Hervé Koffi

Defence

  • 4Nohim Chibani
  • 29Massire Sylla
  • 55Nikki Havenaar

Midfield

  • 6Kamiel Van de Perre
  • 27Louis Patris
  • 28Darius Olaru
  • 23Besfort Zeneli
  • 11Guilherme Smith

Attack

  • 9Mateo Biondic
  • 38Relebohile Mofokeng
Substitutes (8)
  • 1Vic Chambaere
  • 71Keo Boets
  • 21Denzel De Roeve
  • 33Dennis Egel
  • 14Ivan Pavlić
  • 30Raul Florucz
  • 10Anouar Ait El Hadj
  • 20Dylan Aquino

OH Leuven

3-4-3

Goalkeeper

  • 13Kiany Vroman

Defence

  • 5Jamie Lawrence
  • 3Noë Dussenne
  • 34Roggerio Nyakossi

Midfield

  • 27Óscar Gil
  • 6Wouter George
  • 24Łukasz Łakomy
  • 99Davis Opoku

Attack

  • 21William Balikwisha
  • 18Robin Mirisola
  • 8Siebe Schrijvers
Substitutes (11)
  • 98Arnaud Jacques
  • 61Owen Jochmans
  • 30Alessandro Fontanarosa
  • 28Ewoud Pletinckx
  • 26Takuya Ogiwara
  • 72Sebastian Murru
  • 7Emmanuel Addai
  • 4Birger Verstraete
  • 20Shin Yamada
  • 19Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi
  • 17Kyan Vaesen

Match Statistics

Union St. GilloiseOH Leuven
2Shots on Goal1
8Shots off Goal5
15Total Shots12
5Blocked Shots6
10Shots insidebox8
5Shots outsidebox4
9Fouls10
8Corner Kicks3
1Offsides2
62%Ball Possession38%
0Yellow Cards3
0Goalkeeper Saves2
516Total passes335
414Passes accurate234
80%Passes %70%
1.06Expected Goals1.19
-0.91Goals Prevented-0.91

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.245.8510.2

Double chance

1XX212
1.043.821.11

Draw no bet

12
1.077.78

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.881.83

1st half

1X2
1.612.838.37

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.2720.53.80

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0217.1
1.51.125.41
2.51.452.59
3.52.201.65
4.53.661.25
5.56.701.08
6.512.01.03
7.522.51.01
8.550.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0214.0
1.751.124.64
21.154.20
2.251.293.04
2.751.552.28
31.732.04
3.251.971.81
3.752.461.49
42.991.35
4.253.141.27
4.754.151.16
55.451.08
5.255.751.07
69.20–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-2.52.731.41
-2.252.421.50
-22.181.64
-1.751.911.87
-1.51.722.09
-1.251.512.41
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-4.58.201.02
-47.601.03
-3.755.841.09
-3.54.751.14
-3.254.301.17
-33.991.19
-2.753.191.31
-11.353.05
-0.751.273.47
-0.51.263.70
-0.251.135.01
01.037.60

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
2.51.303.35
3.51.672.12
4.52.321.57
5.53.451.28
6.55.201.14

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.039.75
6.51.076.15
7.51.144.39
8.51.293.07
9.51.532.34
10.51.881.85
11.52.391.50
12.53.041.29
13.54.091.17
14.55.151.11
15.57.301.07
16.59.251.04
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.074.90
81.183.50
8.751.312.86
91.372.62
9.251.422.45
9.751.592.15
101.722.04
10.251.821.92
10.752.041.73
112.211.61
11.252.241.50
11.752.581.39
122.801.33
12.252.791.28
133.551.17
144.641.09

Next Jupiler Pro League matches

23 OctKortrijk – KV Mechelen
24 OctAntwerp – Charleroi
24 OctOH Leuven – Lommel United
24 OctRAAL La Louvière – Zulte Waregem
24 OctKVC Westerlo – SK Beveren
25 OctGenk – Standard Liege

All Jupiler Pro League fixtures and the table

Latest Jupiler Pro League results

11 OctKV Mechelen 4-3 St. Truiden
11 OctKVC Westerlo 5-1 Antwerp
11 OctStandard Liege 0-1 Charleroi
10 OctZulte Waregem 0-2 Gent
10 OctGenk 3-0 Kortrijk
10 OctRAAL La Louvière 1-4 Club Brugge KV