Arsenal Tivat vs
Dečić• First League, Montenegro
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 8 Oct 08:24 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.50 | 3.31 | 1.76 | 9.3% |
| BetVictor | 4.60 | 3.30 | 1.73 | 9.8% |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 3.40 | 1.70 | 10.5% |
| 1xBet | 4.58 | 3.28 | 1.71 | 10.8% |
| Marathonbet | 4.45 | 3.28 | 1.69 | 12.1% |
| William Hill | 4.33 | 3.00 | 1.75 | 13.6% |
| Best of all books | 4.60 | 3.40 | 1.76 | 8.0% |
| Average | 4.49 | 3.26 | 1.72 | 10.9% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Oct 09:51 UTC
Arsenal Tivat
1W 4D 5L · goals 5:17 · per match 0.5 for, 1.7 against
| 19 Sep | H | Sutjeska | 0-2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Petrovac | 2-1 | W |
| 10 Sep | H | Mladost DG | 0-1 | L |
| 5 Sep | A | Jezero | 2-5 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Otrant-Olympic | 1-2 | L |
| 23 Aug | A | Bokelj | 0-0 | D |
| 16 Aug | H | Buducnost Podgorica | 0-0 | D |
| 7 Aug | A | Mornar | 0-0 | D |
| 2 Aug | A | Dečić | 0-0 | D |
| 16 Jul | A | Zrinjski | 0-6 | L |
Dečić
4W 3D 3L · goals 11:9 · per match 1.1 for, 0.9 against
| 20 Sep | H | Mornar | 1-1 | D |
| 13 Sep | A | Sutjeska | 0-2 | L |
| 9 Sep | H | Petrovac | 1-1 | D |
| 5 Sep | A | Mladost DG | 0-2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Jezero | 2-1 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | Otrant-Olympic | 3-0 | W |
| 17 Aug | H | Bokelj | 1-0 | W |
| 8 Aug | A | Buducnost Podgorica | 2-0 | W |
| 2 Aug | H | Arsenal Tivat | 0-0 | D |
| 15 Jul | H | FK Liepaja | 1-2 | L |
Head to head
25 meetings · goals 30:31 · last 10: 3W 4D 3L for Arsenal Tivat
| 2 Aug 2026First League | First League | Dečić0-0Arsenal Tivat |
| 4 Jul 2026Friendlies Clubs | Friendlies Clubs | Dečić4-1Arsenal Tivat |
| 20 May 2026First League | First League | Dečić1-2Arsenal Tivat |
| 21 Mar 2026First League | First League | Arsenal Tivat0-1Dečić |
| 30 Nov 2025First League | First League | Dečić4-2Arsenal Tivat |
| 21 Sep 2025First League | First League | Arsenal Tivat1-1Dečić |
| 12 Apr 2025First League | First League | Arsenal Tivat1-0Dečić |
| 22 Feb 2025First League | First League | Dečić0-0Arsenal Tivat |
| 6 Oct 2024First League | First League | Arsenal Tivat0-0Dečić |
| 18 Sep 2024First League | First League | Dečić1-3Arsenal Tivat |
First League tablePrva Ligaupdated 8 Oct 18:11 UTC
In the First League table, Arsenal Tivat sit 10th with 7 points from 9 games, while Dečić are 2nd with 15 points from 9.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Otrant-Olympic | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:12 | +5 | 17 |
| 2 | Dečić | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | +3 | 15 |
| 3 | Bokelj | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8:5 | +3 | 15 |
| 4 | Buducnost Podgorica | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:7 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 | Sutjeska | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:7 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Mornar | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 | Mladost DG | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 11 |
| 8 | Jezero | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 9 |
| 9 | Petrovac | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tivat | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 7 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.7% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 1.65 | 6.1% |
| Pinnacle | 2.23 | 1.62 | 6.6% |
| 1xBet | 2.15 | 1.60 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 2.15 | 1.60 | 9.0% |
| BetVictor | 2.12 | 1.61 | 9.3% |
| Best of all books | 2.23 | 1.65 | 5.4% |
| Average | 2.17 | 1.62 | 8.0% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 1.70 | 8.8% |
| 1xBet | 2.01 | 1.69 | 8.9% |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 1.73 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 2.01 | 1.67 | 9.6% |
| Best of all books | 2.01 | 1.73 | 7.6% |
| Average | 1.99 | 1.70 | 9.1% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Arsenal Tivat at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Dečić at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.02 | 3.37 | 1.65, which imply roughly 29.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the First League table: Arsenal Tivat are 10th (7 pts, 5-11 goals), Dečić 2nd (15 pts, 10-7).
Over their last five matches, Arsenal Tivat averaged 1 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Dečić averaged 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Dečić.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.49 | 3.26 | 1.72 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.91 | 1.14 | 1.26 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 3.40 | 1.30 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.99 | 1.70 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 5.21 | 2.02 | 2.35 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.82 | 7.60 | 1.59 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.05 | 7.85 |
| 1.5 | 1.36 | 2.81 |
| 2.5 | 2.17 | 1.62 |
| 3.5 | 4.01 | 1.18 |
| 4.5 | 8.35 | 1.04 |
| 5.5 | 21.0 | 1.01 |
10 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.06 | 6.25 |
| 1.25 | 1.23 | 3.52 |
| 1.75 | 1.47 | 2.45 |
| 2 | 1.62 | 2.10 |
| 2.25 | 1.90 | 1.79 |
| 2.75 | 2.51 | 1.44 |
| 3 | 3.21 | 1.28 |
| 3.25 | 3.50 | 1.22 |
| 3.75 | 4.79 | 1.11 |
| 4 | 7.10 | 1.04 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| +0.25 | 2.37 | 1.49 |
| +0.5 | 1.95 | 1.80 |
| +0.75 | 1.75 | 1.96 |
| +1 | 1.48 | 2.41 |
| +1.25 | 1.36 | 2.78 |
| +1.5 | 1.28 | 3.16 |
8 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 9.15 | 1.01 |
| -0.75 | 5.80 | 1.07 |
| -0.25 | 3.74 | 1.21 |
| 0 | 3.28 | 1.28 |
| +1.75 | 1.18 | 3.82 |
| +2 | 1.07 | 5.80 |
| +2.25 | 1.06 | 6.05 |
| +2.5 | 1.05 | 6.65 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 1.83 | 1.83 |
| 8.5 | 2.00 | 1.80 |