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Manchester United vs Aston Villa• Premier League, England

#180.6:1.616:30Today · Old Trafford, Manchester1.8:1.2#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.21PINX4.011XB23.20BFRMargin at best1.4%Books10Markets90Rating46 · 54 levelExp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.214.013.191.5%
Pinnacle2.183.853.252.6%
Marathonbet2.173.953.143.2%
Dafabet2.193.703.203.9%
Betfair2.153.803.204.1%
Betano2.123.853.105.4%
Bet3652.103.903.105.5%
BetVictor2.103.753.007.6%
William Hill2.153.603.007.6%
SBO2.123.262.8413.1%
Best of all books2.214.013.251.0%
Average2.153.773.105.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Manchester UnitedAston Villa
Last 10#18Table position#120.78Points per game1.334Form pts · last 570.6Goals for · last 51.81.6Goals against · last 51.225Attack rating7543Defence rating5721Form rating7971H2H rating2950Goals model5046Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 00:11 UTC

Manchester United

1W 3D 6L · goals 9:20 · per match 0.9 for, 2.0 against

3 NovHAS Roma3-2W
31 OctAChelsea0-2L
25 OctHBournemouth0-3L
21 OctAComo1-4L
18 OctALeeds1-1D
13 OctAAtletico Madrid0-2L
10 OctHTottenham1-1D
20 SepAFulham1-1D
16 SepHBrighton2-3L
13 SepHManchester City0-1L

Aston Villa

6W 2D 2L · goals 21:14 · per match 2.1 for, 1.4 against

3 NovABarcelona0-3L
31 OctHFulham1-1D
28 OctABournemouth0-3L
24 OctHManchester City2-1W
21 OctHViking3-1W
17 OctANewcastle1-0W
14 OctHFenerbahçe6-0W
10 OctHBrentford2-2D
2 OctASevilla3-1W
19 SepATottenham3-2W

Head to head

20Manchester United wins
6draws
3Aston Villa wins

29 meetings · goals 61:28 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Manchester United

15 Mar 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueManchester United3-1Aston Villa
21 Dec 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueAston Villa2-1Manchester United
25 May 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueManchester United2-0Aston Villa
6 Oct 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueAston Villa0-0Manchester United
11 Feb 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueAston Villa1-2Manchester United
26 Dec 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueManchester United3-2Aston Villa
30 Apr 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueManchester United1-0Aston Villa
10 Nov 2022League CupLeague CupManchester United4-2Aston Villa
6 Nov 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueAston Villa3-1Manchester United
23 Jul 2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsManchester United2-2Aston Villa

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 8 Nov 16:01 UTC

In the Premier League table, Manchester United sit 18th with 7 points from 9 games, while Aston Villa are 12th with 12 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Arsenal1090115:5+1027
2Manchester City1070321:13+821
3Brighton961224:7+1719
4Chelsea951319:15+416
5Everton1044212:10+216
6Liverpool943211:9+215
7Brentford935116:9+714
8Leeds1035210:8+214
9Bournemouth933314:13+112
10Tottenham1033410:11-112
11Newcastle1033413:16-312
12Aston Villa933310:13-312
13Hull City1025311:11011
14Ipswich932414:18-411
15Fulham1024410:12-210
16Nottingham Forest102359:13-49
17Coventry1030710:19-99
18Manchester United914410:15-57
19Crystal Palace92169:21-127
20Sunderland91267:17-105

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.16X25%3.74231%3.10

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

5 Nov 00:018 Nov 09:401 2.16X 3.742 3.10
12.22 → 2.16 -2.7%X3.66 → 3.74 +2.2%23.00 → 3.10 +3.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.522.614.1%
Betano1.532.574.3%
Bet3651.532.505.4%
1xBet1.542.475.4%
Betfair1.442.637.5%
Marathonbet1.512.427.5%
BetVictor1.502.378.9%
Best of all books1.542.633.0%
Average1.512.516.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.442.805.2%
Betano1.452.627.1%
1xBet1.462.567.6%
Bet3651.442.627.6%
Marathonbet1.462.528.2%
William Hill1.442.509.4%
BetVictor1.402.639.5%
Best of all books1.462.804.2%
Average1.442.617.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Manchester United 35%Draw 35%Aston Villa 30%

The statistical model rates Manchester United at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Aston Villa at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.16 | 3.74 | 3.10, which imply roughly 46.3% for a Manchester United win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Manchester United are 18th (7 pts, 10-15 goals), Aston Villa 12th (12 pts, 10-13).

Over their last five matches, Manchester United averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Aston Villa averaged 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Manchester United or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Manchester United

4-2-3-1

Coach: M. Carrick

Goalkeeper

  • 1S. Lammens

Defence

  • 3N. Mazraoui
  • 15L. Yoro
  • 5H. Maguire
  • 2Diogo Dalot

Midfield

  • 18Y. Tielemans
  • 37K. Mainoo
  • 16A. Diallo
  • 8Bruno Fernandes
  • 10Matheus Cunha

Attack

  • 19B. Mbeumo
Substitutes (9)
  • 38J. Fletcher
  • 7M. Mount
  • 11J. Zirkzee
  • 31S. Lacey
  • 12K. Darlow
  • 4M. de Ligt
  • 26A. Heaven
  • 13P. Dorgu
  • 17Andrey Santos

Aston Villa

4-2-3-1

Coach: Unai Emery

Goalkeeper

  • 1Z. Suzuki

Defence

  • 3V. Lindelöf
  • 4T. Harwood-Bellis
  • 14Pau Torres
  • 22I. Maatsen

Midfield

  • 8B. Kamara
  • 27L. Goretzka
  • 47Alysson Edward
  • 7J. McGinn
  • 44J. Manzambi

Attack

  • 11N. Jackson
Substitutes (9)
  • 5T. Mings
  • 48M. Cissé
  • 6R. Barkley
  • 10E. Buendía
  • 35João Gomes
  • 19I. Mbaye
  • 39Brian Madjo
  • 40M. Bizot
  • 53George Hemmings

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.153.773.10

Double chance

1XX212
1.361.691.26

Draw no bet

12
1.602.26

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.442.61

1st half

1X2
2.592.423.46

2nd half

1X2
2.412.733.13

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.2913.325.8
HT X5.786.567.70
HT 221.013.84.94

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.7518.92.13

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0214.0
1.51.145.24
2.51.512.51
3.52.281.64
4.53.941.24
5.57.271.08
6.511.91.03
7.517.31.02
8.531.3–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.029.95
1.751.164.42
21.214.20
2.251.362.99
2.751.652.21
31.841.98
3.252.101.76
3.752.621.48
43.261.35
4.253.531.29
4.754.761.15
56.331.09
5.256.531.07

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-13.031.38
-0.752.431.55
-0.52.111.73
-0.251.871.97
01.612.34
+0.251.472.67
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.513.01.01
-2.57.431.06
-2.257.001.10
-26.381.09
-1.754.511.17
-1.53.631.25
-1.253.371.31
+0.51.383.04
+0.751.273.75
+11.165.16
+1.251.135.53
+1.51.115.90
+1.751.057.42
+2.51.0211.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
1.51.058.25
2.51.164.75
3.51.363.02
4.51.742.04
5.52.431.53
6.53.301.30
7.54.801.16
8.56.801.08
9.59.251.04
2 more lines
LineOverUnder
41.462.68
52.111.71

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0114.0
4.51.0214.0
5.51.049.00
6.51.086.11
7.51.213.88
8.51.392.73
9.51.692.08
10.52.141.65
11.52.781.39
12.53.781.22
13.55.291.11
14.57.231.06
15.59.751.03
16.511.51.02
17.513.01.01
11 more lines
LineOverUnder
8.751.402.56
91.522.49
9.251.552.20
9.751.751.94
101.971.85
10.252.001.76
10.752.261.56
112.501.52
11.252.601.41
11.753.041.30
12.253.501.22

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