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FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge• Challenge League, Switzerland

#61.8:2.016:00Tomorrow · Aarau0.4:2.2#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.75BTNX4.00BFR24.12PINMargin at best6.4%Books10Markets57Rating68 · 32Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 03:56 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.733.994.127.1%
Dafabet1.734.104.007.2%
Betano1.753.904.007.8%
BetVictor1.704.004.108.2%
Bet3651.703.904.009.5%
Betfair1.674.003.9010.5%
1xBet1.693.853.9410.5%
William Hill1.703.704.0010.9%
Marathonbet1.673.853.8611.8%
SBO1.613.613.6916.9%
Best of all books1.754.104.125.8%
Average1.693.893.9610.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FC AarauÉtoile Carouge
Last 10#6Table position#91.20Points per game0.903Form pts · last 511.8Goals for · last 50.42.0Goals against · last 52.282Attack rating1852Defence rating4883Form rating1760H2H rating4080Goals model2068Overall rating32

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:02 UTC

FC Aarau

3W 2D 5L · goals 16:19 · per match 1.6 for, 1.9 against

18 OctHFC Zurich2-0W
9 OctAStade Nyonnais1-2L
2 OctHBSC Young Boys1-2L
24 SepAGrasshoppers1-4L
18 SepAFC Winterthur1-2L
12 SepHSC Kriens2-2D
4 SepHRapperswil3-2W
31 AugAFC WIL 19002-2D
28 AugHNeuchatel Xamax FC2-1W
23 AugAYverdon Sport1-2L

Étoile Carouge

2W 2D 6L · goals 6:16 · per match 0.6 for, 1.6 against

16 OctAStade Lausanne-Ouchy0-3L
9 OctHYverdon Sport0-2L
18 SepASC Kriens1-4L
11 SepHFC Winterthur0-1L
4 SepHFC WIL 19001-1D
1 SepAStade Lausanne-Ouchy0-3L
28 AugHRapperswil2-1W
21 AugAStade Nyonnais0-0D
15 AugACollex-Bossy2-0W
7 AugHNeuchatel Xamax FC0-1L

Head to head

5FC Aarau wins
1draws
4Étoile Carouge wins

10 meetings · goals 16:14 · last 10: 5W 1D 4L for FC Aarau

24 Jul 2026Challenge LeagueChallenge LeagueÉtoile Carouge3-0FC Aarau
7 Apr 2026Challenge LeagueChallenge LeagueFC Aarau1-3Étoile Carouge
6 Mar 2026Challenge LeagueChallenge LeagueÉtoile Carouge0-3FC Aarau
12 Dec 2025Challenge LeagueChallenge LeagueFC Aarau2-1Étoile Carouge
26 Sep 2025Challenge LeagueChallenge LeagueÉtoile Carouge1-3FC Aarau
16 May 2025Challenge LeagueChallenge LeagueÉtoile Carouge1-3FC Aarau
28 Mar 2025Challenge LeagueChallenge LeagueFC Aarau2-2Étoile Carouge
5 Dec 2024Schweizer CupSchweizer CupFC Aarau0-1Étoile Carouge
1 Nov 2024Challenge LeagueChallenge LeagueÉtoile Carouge2-1FC Aarau
24 Aug 2024Challenge LeagueChallenge LeagueFC Aarau1-0Étoile Carouge

Challenge League tableChallenge Leagueupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the Challenge League table, FC Aarau sit 6th with 12 points from 10 games, while Étoile Carouge are 9th with 9 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Stade Lausanne-Ouchy1073020:3+1724
2Yverdon Sport1054116:9+719
3FC Winterthur1053219:11+818
4SC Kriens1043317:12+515
5Neuchatel Xamax FC1050515:17-215
6FC Aarau1033415:18-312
7Rapperswil1031615:19-410
8FC WIL 19001024416:22-610
9Étoile Carouge102358:14-69
10Stade Nyonnais101278:24-165

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.69X23%3.87223%3.95

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.492.536.6%
Bet3651.502.506.7%
BetVictor1.452.607.4%
Betfair1.442.607.9%
Betano1.502.428.0%
1xBet1.432.4610.6%
Marathonbet1.432.4610.6%
Best of all books1.502.605.1%
Average1.462.518.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.502.506.7%
William Hill1.502.457.5%
Betano1.502.428.0%
Betfair1.452.558.2%
BetVictor1.452.558.2%
1xBet1.452.538.5%
Marathonbet1.452.489.3%
Best of all books1.502.555.9%
Average1.472.508.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FC Aarau 45%Draw 45%Étoile Carouge 10%

The statistical model rates FC Aarau at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Étoile Carouge at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.69 | 3.87 | 3.95, which imply roughly 59.2% for a FC Aarau win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Challenge League table: FC Aarau are 6th (12 pts, 15-18 goals), Étoile Carouge 9th (9 pts, 8-14).

Over their last five matches, FC Aarau averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Étoile Carouge averaged 0.4 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : FC Aarau.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.693.893.96

Double chance

1XX212
1.192.021.20

Draw no bet

12
1.343.10

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.472.50

1st half

1X2
2.162.454.12

2nd half

1X2
2.012.833.86

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.5513.931.8
HT X4.886.769.31
HT 218.414.36.51

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5518.62.41

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0212.9
1.51.125.19
2.51.462.51
3.52.181.61
4.53.681.23
5.56.701.07
6.59.501.03
7.515.01.01
8.521.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0311.0
1.751.124.80
21.144.33
2.251.293.06
2.751.562.24
31.721.99
3.251.951.77
3.752.461.47
42.971.30
4.253.291.25
4.754.461.14
56.051.06
5.256.401.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.771.39
-1.252.491.46
-12.211.59
-0.751.881.84
-0.51.702.07
-0.251.502.38
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.59.401.02
-38.501.03
-2.756.771.07
-2.55.321.11
-2.254.801.14
-24.481.16
-1.753.361.27
01.313.11
+0.251.253.47
+0.51.234.00
+0.751.135.02
+11.037.50
+1.51.018.50

Next Challenge League matches

23 OctFC WIL 1900 – Rapperswil
23 OctStade Lausanne-Ouchy – Neuchatel Xamax FC
23 OctFC Winterthur – Stade Nyonnais
25 OctYverdon Sport – SC Kriens

All Challenge League fixtures and the table

Latest Challenge League results

9 OctStade Nyonnais 2-1 FC Aarau
9 OctÉtoile Carouge 0-2 Yverdon Sport
9 OctNeuchatel Xamax FC 3-0 FC Winterthur
9 OctSC Kriens 1-1 FC WIL 1900
9 OctRapperswil 0-3 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy