OddsFilter

Stade Nyonnais vs FC Aarau• Challenge League, Switzerland

#100.8:3.42-1FTToday · Colovray Sports Centre, Nyon2.0:1.8#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.66PINX4.94PIN21.52BTNMargin at best3.7%Books10Markets88Rating31 · 69Exp. goals L54.0

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle5.685.011.475.6%
Dafabet5.404.701.506.5%
Betano5.104.451.527.9%
BetVictor5.504.751.458.2%
Bet3655.254.331.489.7%
1xBet5.514.551.4210.5%
Betfair5.504.601.4011.3%
Marathonbet5.304.551.4111.8%
William Hill5.004.401.4412.2%
SBO4.844.241.4214.7%
Best of all books5.685.011.523.4%
Average5.314.561.459.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Stade NyonnaisFC Aarau
Last 10#10Table position#50.22Points per game1.331Form pts · last 540.8Goals for · last 52.03.4Goals against · last 51.829Attack rating7135Defence rating6511Form rating8929H2H rating7146Goals model5431Overall rating69

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:51 UTC

Stade Nyonnais

1W 2D 7L · goals 9:24 · per match 0.9 for, 2.4 against

18 SepAFC WIL 19000-5L
11 SepHNeuchatel Xamax FC1-3L
6 SepAYverdon Sport1-4L
1 SepHFC Winterthur2-2D
28 AugASC Kriens0-3L
21 AugHÉtoile Carouge0-0D
15 AugAAmical Saint-Prex3-1W
7 AugAFC Aarau1-2L
31 JulHRapperswil1-2L
24 JulAStade Lausanne-Ouchy0-2L

FC Aarau

3W 3D 4L · goals 18:21 · per match 1.8 for, 2.1 against

2 OctHBSC Young Boys1-2L
24 SepAGrasshoppers1-4L
18 SepAFC Winterthur1-2L
12 SepHSC Kriens2-2D
4 SepHRapperswil3-2W
31 AugAFC WIL 19002-2D
28 AugHNeuchatel Xamax FC2-1W
23 AugAYverdon Sport1-2L
16 AugABiel-Bienne3-3D
7 AugHStade Nyonnais2-1W

Head to head

4Stade Nyonnais wins
2draws
7FC Aarau wins

13 meetings · goals 23:27 · last 10: 2W 2D 6L for Stade Nyonnais

7 Aug 2026Challenge LeagueChallenge LeagueFC Aarau2-1Stade Nyonnais
8 May 2026Challenge LeagueChallenge LeagueFC Aarau5-1Stade Nyonnais
20 Feb 2026Challenge LeagueChallenge LeagueStade Nyonnais1-1FC Aarau
22 Nov 2025Challenge LeagueChallenge LeagueFC Aarau0-1Stade Nyonnais
22 Aug 2025Challenge LeagueChallenge LeagueStade Nyonnais4-5FC Aarau
23 May 2025Challenge LeagueChallenge LeagueFC Aarau1-1Stade Nyonnais
24 Jan 2025Challenge LeagueChallenge LeagueStade Nyonnais1-2FC Aarau
25 Oct 2024Challenge LeagueChallenge LeagueFC Aarau1-0Stade Nyonnais
27 Sep 2024Challenge LeagueChallenge LeagueStade Nyonnais1-2FC Aarau
20 May 2024Challenge LeagueChallenge LeagueStade Nyonnais4-3FC Aarau

Challenge League tableChallenge Leagueupdated 9 Oct 19:31 UTC

In the Challenge League table, Stade Nyonnais sit 10th with 2 points from 9 games, while FC Aarau are 5th with 12 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Stade Lausanne-Ouchy963017:3+1421
2FC Winterthur953119:8+1118
3Yverdon Sport944114:9+516
4SC Kriens942316:11+514
5FC Aarau933314:16-212
6Neuchatel Xamax FC940512:17-512
7Rapperswil931515:16-110
8Étoile Carouge92348:12-49
9FC WIL 1900923415:21-69
10Stade Nyonnais90276:23-172

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg115%6.07X19%4.83266%1.38

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Oct 00:019 Oct 09:301 5.31X 4.552 1.45
15.66 → 5.31 -6.2%X4.77 → 4.55 -4.6%21.41 → 1.45 +2.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.353.185.5%
Bet3651.333.256.0%
BetVictor1.333.107.4%
Betano1.422.658.2%
Betfair1.303.208.2%
1xBet1.332.8310.5%
Marathonbet1.332.8310.5%
Best of all books1.423.251.2%
Average1.343.017.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.502.457.5%
Betfair1.442.607.9%
Bet3651.572.258.1%
Betano1.532.328.5%
1xBet1.472.478.5%
BetVictor1.442.558.7%
Marathonbet1.472.429.3%
Best of all books1.572.602.2%
Average1.492.448.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Stade Nyonnais 10%Draw 45%FC Aarau 45%

The statistical model rated Stade Nyonnais at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and FC Aarau at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 6.07 | 4.83 | 1.38, which imply roughly 20.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Challenge League table: Stade Nyonnais are 10th (2 pts, 6-23 goals), FC Aarau 5th (12 pts, 14-16).

Over their last five matches, Stade Nyonnais averaged 0.8 goals scored and 3.4 conceded per game; FC Aarau averaged 2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or FC Aarau.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
5.314.561.45

Double chance

1XX212
2.481.111.15

Draw no bet

12
4.181.20

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.492.44

1st half

1X2
4.882.631.91

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.7323.01.42

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0213.6
1.51.086.41
2.51.343.01
3.51.921.81
4.53.031.33
5.55.301.12
6.58.171.05
7.511.51.02
8.517.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0213.0
1.751.085.55
21.105.10
2.251.223.50
2.751.462.52
31.542.31
3.251.732.01
3.752.151.63
42.471.47
4.252.741.35
4.753.581.21
54.701.12
5.255.001.10
69.001.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.52.571.49
+0.752.321.55
+12.041.72
+1.251.801.95
+1.51.622.17
+1.751.482.48
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.59.701.01
-19.001.02
-0.756.701.07
-0.55.501.15
-0.254.701.14
04.251.17
+0.253.141.31
+21.333.05
+2.251.283.38
+2.51.233.62
+2.751.164.46
+31.086.12
+3.251.116.60
+3.51.046.75

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.075.31
7.51.243.35
8.51.502.40
9.51.901.82
10.52.361.51
11.53.101.28
12.54.491.12
13.56.881.02
22 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.026.98
6.751.085.06
71.104.82
7.251.173.90
7.751.273.17
81.303.00
8.251.402.63
8.751.552.26
91.712.08
9.251.741.98
9.751.951.76
102.091.68
10.252.211.58
10.752.541.43
112.831.34
11.252.981.31
11.753.521.21
124.121.15
12.254.301.13
12.755.251.08
136.451.03
13.256.661.02