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Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw• Ekstraklasa, Poland

#111.2:1.83-2FT17/10 · Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin1.0:2.2#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.83B365X4.04PIN24.33PINMargin at best2.5%Books6Markets75Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.784.044.334.0%
1xBet1.773.784.008.0%
Marathonbet1.753.784.008.6%
Bet3651.833.603.759.1%
BetVictor1.733.704.109.2%
William Hill1.753.604.009.9%
Best of all books1.834.044.332.5%
Average1.773.754.038.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Motor LublinSlask Wroclaw
Last 10#11Table position#171.09Points per game0.557Form pts · last 501.2Goals for · last 51.01.8Goals against · last 52.255Attack rating4555Defence rating4580Form rating2080H2H rating2046Goals model5463Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:01 UTC

Motor Lublin

3W 2D 5L · goals 13:15 · per match 1.3 for, 1.5 against

12 OctARadomiak Radom3-2W
19 SepHGornik Zabrze0-0D
11 SepARaków Częstochowa1-2L
5 SepHLegia Warszawa2-3L
1 SepHLegia Warszawa3-0W
29 AugHPiast Gliwice0-2L
22 AugAKorona Kielce1-1D
16 AugHGKS Katowice1-0W
8 AugAPogon Szczecin1-3L
31 JulHJagiellonia1-2L

Slask Wroclaw

1W 3D 6L · goals 11:20 · per match 1.1 for, 2.0 against

10 OctHLech Poznan1-4L
3 OctHSlovan Liberec0-3L
18 SepAWisla Krakow1-2L
12 SepHKorona Kielce1-2L
6 SepAJagiellonia1-2L
3 SepHPogon Szczecin2-1W
28 AugALegia Warszawa1-1D
22 AugHWidzew Łódź3-3D
15 AugAZaglebie Lubin1-2L
9 AugHCracovia Krakow0-0D

Head to head

1Motor Lublin wins
1draws
0Slask Wroclaw wins

2 meetings · goals 3:2 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for Motor Lublin

5 Apr 2025EkstraklasaEkstraklasaSlask Wroclaw1-1Motor Lublin
28 Sep 2024EkstraklasaEkstraklasaMotor Lublin2-1Slask Wroclaw

Ekstraklasa tableEkstraklasaupdated 18 Oct 18:41 UTC

In the Ekstraklasa table, Motor Lublin sit 11th with 12 points from 11 games, while Slask Wroclaw are 17th with 6 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Gornik Zabrze1182120:10+1026
2Lech Poznan1081127:9+1825
3Legia Warszawa1165022:9+1323
4Pogon Szczecin1063115:6+921
5GKS Katowice1160522:16+618
6Wisla Krakow1153317:14+318
7Zaglebie Lubin1153313:13018
8Piast Gliwice1152419:17+217
9Korona Kielce1143413:18-515
10Cracovia Krakow1133513:16-312
11Motor Lublin1133515:19-412
12Jagiellonia1040613:17-412
13Wisla Plock93249:15-611
14Widzew Łódź1117314:15-110
15Wieczysta Kraków1122716:21-58
16Radomiak Radom102269:23-148
17Slask Wroclaw1113714:22-86
18Raków Częstochowa1120915:26-116

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.77X25%3.75223%4.03

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 00:0117 Oct 12:101 1.77X 3.752 4.03
11.93 → 1.77 -8.3%X3.73 → 3.75 +0.5%23.45 → 4.03 +16.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.722.184.0%
Bet3651.702.106.4%
1xBet1.692.087.2%
Marathonbet1.692.087.2%
BetVictor1.692.018.9%
Best of all books1.722.184.0%
Average1.702.096.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.672.107.5%
Bet3651.702.057.6%
1xBet1.642.137.9%
BetVictor1.652.108.2%
Marathonbet1.642.108.6%
Best of all books1.702.135.8%
Average1.662.108.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Motor Lublin 45%Draw 45%Slask Wroclaw 10%

The statistical model rated Motor Lublin at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Slask Wroclaw at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.77 | 3.75 | 4.03, which imply roughly 56.5% for a Motor Lublin win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ekstraklasa table: Motor Lublin are 11th (12 pts, 15-19 goals), Slask Wroclaw 17th (6 pts, 14-22).

Over their last five matches, Motor Lublin averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Slask Wroclaw averaged 1 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Motor Lublin or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Motor Lublin

4-1-4-1

Coach: M. Misiura

Goalkeeper

  • 33G. Tratnik

Defence

  • 17K. Lukoszek
  • 39M. Bartoš
  • 4T. Plavotić
  • 24F. Luberecki

Midfield

  • 27Y. Bourhane
  • 30M. Ndiaye
  • 9Rony Lopes
  • 8C. Simon
  • 70M. Aïko

Attack

  • 10K. Czubak
Substitutes (12)
  • 71M. Popa
  • 23F. Haxha
  • 18B. Bereszyński
  • 5A. Akatov
  • 2Paskal Konrad Meyer
  • 29T. Santos
  • 6M. Łęgowski
  • 47Alioune Tall
  • 11Fábio Ronaldo
  • 22M. Zlomanczuk
  • 77Mateusz Posmyk
  • 90Dominik Gregorski

Slask Wroclaw

5-3-2

Coach: A. Šimundža

Goalkeeper

  • 1K. Niemczycki

Defence

  • 21A. Timossi Andersson
  • 33E. Matsenko
  • 5L. Ba
  • 44M. Malec
  • 8Marc Llinares

Midfield

  • 7P. Samiec-Talar
  • 17K. Linetty
  • 77E. Shabani

Attack

  • 19P. Banaszak
  • 11L. Marjanac
Substitutes (9)
  • 10M. Dembélé
  • 88A. Ciucka
  • 18K. Borys
  • 20G. Tomasiewicz
  • 2D. Szala
  • 27Jan Jurčec
  • 4M. Dijakovic
  • 25M. Szromnik
  • 9Ieltsin Camões

Match Statistics

Motor LublinSlask Wroclaw
4.08Expected Goals0.8
401Passes accurate181
19Shots insidebox4
10Shots outsidebox2
8Blocked Shots1
16Free Kicks10
11Shots on Goal3
1Goalkeeper Saves8
10Shots off Goal2
477Total passes254
29Total Shots6
2Yellow Cards3
10Corner Kicks1
0Offsides1
12Fouls18
0Red Cards0
66%Ball Possession34%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.773.754.03

Double chance

1XX212
1.211.941.23

Draw no bet

12
1.353.00

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.662.10

1st half

1X2
2.312.324.41

2nd half

1X2
2.132.643.92

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.6914.234.7
HT X4.835.979.20
HT 221.715.16.70

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5913.62.46

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0212.3
1.51.204.11
2.51.702.09
3.52.681.41
4.54.961.14
5.59.501.02
6.522.01.01
7.545.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.30
1.251.095.30
1.751.233.48
21.283.08
2.251.502.45
2.751.871.86
32.131.63
3.252.411.49
3.753.081.28
44.001.17
4.254.331.14
4.755.801.07
57.901.02
5.256.901.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.53.011.34
-1.252.691.41
-12.341.53
-0.751.961.77
-0.51.772.03
-0.251.532.34
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.55.701.09
-2.255.421.11
-25.021.13
-1.753.671.24
01.353.06
+0.251.273.47
+0.51.253.92
+0.751.134.87
+11.057.07
+1.251.057.45
+1.51.028.10

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.045.59
6.51.105.10
7.51.233.45
8.51.482.45
9.51.791.93
10.52.251.58
11.52.971.32
12.53.901.19
13.55.401.09
14.57.401.03
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.045.57
71.124.10
81.272.88
8.751.502.34
91.572.24
9.251.692.04
9.751.881.80
101.991.76
10.252.151.61
10.752.431.44
112.591.43
123.291.20
134.351.10
145.521.05

Next Ekstraklasa matches

19 OctWisla Plock – Radomiak Radom

All Ekstraklasa fixtures and the table

Latest Ekstraklasa results

18 OctLech Poznan 6-1 Korona Kielce
18 OctZaglebie Lubin 1-0 Jagiellonia
18 OctGornik Zabrze 1-1 Piast Gliwice
17 OctCracovia Krakow 1-1 Legia Warszawa
17 OctGKS Katowice 0-1 Pogon Szczecin
16 OctWidzew Łódź 0-0 Wisla Krakow