Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen• Eredivisie, Netherlands

#111.6:2.419:00Today · Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht1.2:1.4#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.43PINX3.95DAF22.761XBMargin at best2.7%Books10Markets77Rating58 · 43Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.43	3.93	2.74	3.1%
Dafabet	2.37	3.95	2.75	3.9%
1xBet	2.37	3.88	2.76	4.2%
Bet365	2.35	3.90	2.70	5.2%
Betano	2.35	3.90	2.70	5.2%
BetVictor	2.30	3.90	2.63	7.1%
Marathonbet	2.33	3.70	2.66	7.5%
Betfair	2.30	3.80	2.63	7.8%
William Hill	2.25	3.60	2.70	9.3%
SBO	2.27	3.33	2.44	15.1%
Best of all books	2.43	3.95	2.76	2.7%
Average	2.33	3.79	2.67	6.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

UtrechtNEC Nijmegen

Last 10#11Table position#141.09Points per game1.0010Form pts · last 581.6Goals for · last 51.22.4Goals against · last 51.457Attack rating4337Defence rating6364Form rating3680H2H rating2037Goals model6358Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 00:11 UTC

Utrecht

4W 3D 3L · goals 18:25 · per match 1.8 for, 2.5 against

1 Nov	A	Telstar	2-4	L
29 Oct	A	Kozakken Boys	1-0	W
24 Oct	H	PEC Zwolle	1-1	D
18 Oct	A	Twente	2-1	W
11 Oct	H	Willem II	3-1	W
20 Sep	A	Feyenoord	0-5	L
13 Sep	A	Excelsior	2-1	W
8 Sep	H	GO Ahead Eagles	3-3	D
30 Aug	H	PSV Eindhoven	1-6	L
22 Aug	A	Sparta Rotterdam	3-3	D

NEC Nijmegen

2W 5D 3L · goals 14:19 · per match 1.4 for, 1.9 against

5 Nov	H	Omonia Nicosia	3-1	W
31 Oct	A	Heerenveen	0-1	L
25 Oct	H	Groningen	2-2	D
22 Oct	A	Dinamo Zagreb	4-2	W
18 Oct	H	Fortuna Sittard	2-2	D
15 Oct	H	Levski Sofia	1-1	D
10 Oct	A	Ajax	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	GO Ahead Eagles	1-1	D
17 Sep	A	Juventus	0-5	L
12 Sep	A	Cambuur	0-3	L

Head to head

10Utrecht wins

6draws

6NEC Nijmegen wins

22 meetings · goals 30:22 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Utrecht

11 Feb 2026Eredivisie	Eredivisie	NEC Nijmegen1-3Utrecht
2 Nov 2025Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Utrecht1-0NEC Nijmegen
15 Mar 2025Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Utrecht0-1NEC Nijmegen
24 Nov 2024Eredivisie	Eredivisie	NEC Nijmegen1-2Utrecht
17 Mar 2024Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Utrecht1-0NEC Nijmegen
23 Sep 2023Eredivisie	Eredivisie	NEC Nijmegen3-0Utrecht
12 Mar 2023Eredivisie	Eredivisie	NEC Nijmegen2-2Utrecht
16 Sep 2022Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Utrecht0-0NEC Nijmegen
29 Apr 2022Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Utrecht1-0NEC Nijmegen
22 Sep 2021Eredivisie	Eredivisie	NEC Nijmegen0-3Utrecht

Eredivisie tableEredivisieupdated 8 Nov 15:20 UTC

In the Eredivisie table, Utrecht sit 11th with 12 points from 11 games, while NEC Nijmegen are 14th with 11 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Feyenoord	12	7	4	1	36:17	+19	25
2	Ajax	11	7	3	1	30:13	+17	24
3	PSV Eindhoven	11	7	2	2	35:13	+22	23
4	Twente	11	7	2	2	28:10	+18	23
5	Heerenveen	12	6	3	3	24:16	+8	21
6	AZ Alkmaar	11	6	2	3	20:13	+7	20
7	Fortuna Sittard	12	5	5	2	20:20	0	20
8	GO Ahead Eagles	12	4	5	3	24:27	-3	17
9	Groningen	11	4	3	4	26:24	+2	15
10	Cambuur	11	4	3	4	23:22	+1	15
11	Utrecht	11	3	3	5	19:31	-12	12
12	Sparta Rotterdam	12	3	3	6	21:29	-8	12
13	PEC Zwolle	12	3	3	6	13:24	-11	12
14	NEC Nijmegen	11	2	5	4	17:19	-2	11
15	Excelsior	12	3	2	7	16:29	-13	11
16	Telstar	12	2	4	6	18:25	-7	10
17	ADO Den Haag	12	2	3	7	16:25	-9	9
18	Willem II	12	0	3	9	11:40	-29	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.33X25%3.79235%2.67

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.37 → 2.33 -1.7%X3.74 → 3.79 +1.3%22.64 → 2.67 +1.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.47	2.78	4.0%
Betano	1.45	2.85	4.1%
Betfair	1.40	2.88	6.2%
Bet365	1.44	2.70	6.5%
1xBet	1.43	2.72	6.7%
BetVictor	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Marathonbet	1.41	2.52	10.6%
Best of all books	1.47	2.88	2.7%
Average	1.43	2.74	6.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.40	2.88	6.2%
Betano	1.39	2.85	7.0%
William Hill	1.40	2.80	7.1%
Bet365	1.40	2.75	7.8%
1xBet	1.36	2.89	8.1%
BetVictor	1.36	2.88	8.3%
Marathonbet	1.39	2.72	8.7%
Best of all books	1.40	2.89	6.0%
Average	1.39	2.82	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Utrecht 45%Draw 45%NEC Nijmegen 10%

The statistical model rates Utrecht at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and NEC Nijmegen at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.33 | 3.79 | 2.67, which imply roughly 42.9% for a Utrecht win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Eredivisie table: Utrecht are 11th (12 pts, 19-31 goals), NEC Nijmegen 14th (11 pts, 17-19).

Over their last five matches, Utrecht averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; NEC Nijmegen averaged 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Utrecht or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.33	3.79	2.67

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.44	1.57	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.74	2.02

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.39	2.82

1st half

1	X	2
2.76	2.45	3.08

2nd half

1	X	2
2.53	2.77	2.85

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.60	12.9	22.1
HT X	6.15	6.63	6.94
HT 2	20.5	13.2	4.25

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.83	19.8	1.94

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.3
1.5	1.12	5.85
2.5	1.43	2.74
3.5	2.08	1.73
4.5	3.43	1.29
5.5	6.22	1.11
6.5	10.9	1.04
7.5	15.7	1.02
8.5	31.3	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.80
1.75	1.12	4.95
2	1.15	4.52
2.25	1.28	3.22
2.75	1.53	2.39
3	1.69	2.14
3.25	1.92	1.86
3.75	2.35	1.56
4	2.78	1.42
4.25	3.01	1.32
4.75	3.93	1.19
5	5.13	1.12
5.25	5.37	1.10
6	9.00	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.68	1.43
-0.5	2.34	1.60
-0.25	2.06	1.74
0	1.78	2.02
+0.25	1.58	2.30
+0.5	1.48	2.63

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	13.0	1.01
-2.5	8.39	1.05
-2	6.94	1.07
-1.75	5.13	1.13
-1.5	4.03	1.20
-1.25	3.73	1.25
-1	3.41	1.31
+0.75	1.34	3.11
+1	1.22	4.09
+1.25	1.17	4.37
+1.5	1.15	4.78
+1.75	1.09	6.04
+2	1.02	8.45
+2.5	1.02	10.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.57	2.32
3.5	2.20	1.62
4.5	3.35	1.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.05	8.50
6.5	1.09	5.90
7.5	1.20	3.94
8.5	1.38	2.73
9.5	1.68	2.07
10.5	2.11	1.66
11.5	2.66	1.42
12.5	3.67	1.22
13.5	5.10	1.12
14.5	6.75	1.07
15.5	9.25	1.04
16.5	11.3	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8.75	1.40	2.56
9	1.52	2.41
9.25	1.56	2.18
9.75	1.74	1.93
10	1.91	1.87
10.25	1.99	1.73
10.75	2.25	1.54
11	2.47	1.50
11.25	2.59	1.40
11.75	3.04	1.29

Latest Eredivisie results

8 Nov	Twente 2-2 Ajax
8 Nov	Heerenveen 5-3 Feyenoord
7 Nov	Excelsior 0-1 GO Ahead Eagles
7 Nov	ADO Den Haag 3-1 Sparta Rotterdam
7 Nov	Fortuna Sittard 2-2 Telstar
6 Nov	Willem II 1-1 PEC Zwolle