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Willem II vs PEC Zwolle• Eredivisie, Netherlands

#180.8:4.019:0006/11 · Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg1.2:1.2#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.85DAFX3.91PIN22.421XBMargin at best2.0%Books10Markets65Rating32 · 68Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Nov 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.853.752.373.9%
1xBet2.803.702.424.1%
Betano2.803.802.354.6%
Pinnacle2.833.912.284.8%
Bet3652.753.602.386.2%
Betfair2.753.752.306.5%
BetVictor2.753.702.306.9%
Marathonbet2.713.582.347.6%
William Hill2.623.502.3010.2%
SBO2.603.312.1515.2%
Best of all books2.853.912.422.0%
Average2.753.662.326.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Willem IIPEC Zwolle
Last 10#18Table position#140.18Points per game1.003Form pts · last 570.8Goals for · last 51.24.0Goals against · last 51.240Attack rating6023Defence rating770Form rating10029H2H rating7129Goals model7132Overall rating68

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 3 Nov 00:01 UTC

Willem II

1W 2D 7L · goals 12:34 · per match 1.2 for, 3.4 against

31 OctAPSV Eindhoven0-7L
27 OctAHelmond Sport4-3W
24 OctHCambuur1-6L
17 OctASparta Rotterdam2-3L
11 OctAUtrecht1-3L
19 SepHFortuna Sittard0-1L
15 SepAAjax1-5L
11 SepAAZ Alkmaar1-1D
5 SepHExcelsior0-3L
30 AugHHeerenveen2-2D

PEC Zwolle

3W 2D 5L · goals 12:20 · per match 1.2 for, 2.0 against

1 NovHADO Den Haag1-0W
28 OctHFC OSS1-2L
24 OctAUtrecht1-1D
18 OctHGO Ahead Eagles4-1W
11 OctHCambuur0-1L
18 SepAGroningen0-3L
13 SepHFeyenoord0-7L
4 SepASparta Rotterdam2-2D
29 AugHNEC Nijmegen1-3L
22 AugAHeerenveen2-0W

Head to head

7Willem II wins
4draws
11PEC Zwolle wins

22 meetings · goals 22:28 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for Willem II

14 May 2025EredivisieEredivisieWillem II1-2PEC Zwolle
13 Dec 2024EredivisieEredivisiePEC Zwolle0-1Willem II
10 Mar 2023Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieWillem II2-3PEC Zwolle
9 Sep 2022Eerste DivisieEerste DivisiePEC Zwolle2-2Willem II
14 Jan 2022EredivisieEredivisiePEC Zwolle2-0Willem II
28 Aug 2021EredivisieEredivisieWillem II1-0PEC Zwolle
22 Jan 2021EredivisieEredivisieWillem II1-3PEC Zwolle
24 Oct 2020EredivisieEredivisiePEC Zwolle0-0Willem II
26 Jan 2020EredivisieEredivisieWillem II0-0PEC Zwolle
2 Aug 2019EredivisieEredivisiePEC Zwolle1-3Willem II

Eredivisie tableEredivisieupdated 4 Nov 00:10 UTC

In the Eredivisie table, Willem II sit 18th with 2 points from 11 games, while PEC Zwolle are 14th with 11 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Feyenoord1174033:12+2125
2Ajax1173130:13+1724
3PSV Eindhoven1172235:13+2223
4Twente1172228:10+1823
5AZ Alkmaar1162320:13+720
6Fortuna Sittard1154218:18019
7Heerenveen1153319:13+618
8Groningen1143426:24+215
9Cambuur1143423:22+115
10GO Ahead Eagles1135323:27-414
11Sparta Rotterdam1133520:26-612
12Utrecht1133519:31-1212
13NEC Nijmegen1125417:19-211
14PEC Zwolle1132612:23-1111
15Excelsior1132616:28-1211
16Telstar1123616:23-79
17ADO Den Haag1113713:24-116
18Willem II1102910:39-292

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.75X26%3.66240%2.32

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

3 Nov 00:004 Nov 03:001 2.75X 3.662 2.32
12.70 → 2.75 +1.9%X3.69 → 3.66 -0.8%22.38 → 2.32 -2.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano1.572.503.7%
Pinnacle1.542.495.1%
Betfair1.502.555.9%
1xBet1.532.446.3%
Bet3651.532.407.0%
BetVictor1.512.339.1%
Marathonbet1.472.3510.6%
Best of all books1.572.552.9%
Average1.522.446.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.502.506.7%
Betano1.472.576.9%
BetVictor1.442.607.9%
1xBet1.432.638.0%
Marathonbet1.432.588.7%
William Hill1.442.509.4%
Best of all books1.502.634.7%
Average1.452.567.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Willem II 0%Draw 50%PEC Zwolle 50%

The statistical model rates Willem II at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and PEC Zwolle at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.75 | 3.66 | 2.32, which imply roughly 27.3% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Eredivisie table: Willem II are 18th (2 pts, 10-39 goals), PEC Zwolle 14th (11 pts, 12-23).

Over their last five matches, Willem II averaged 0.8 goals scored and 4 conceded per game; PEC Zwolle averaged 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or PEC Zwolle.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.753.662.32

Double chance

1XX212
1.561.421.26

Draw no bet

12
2.031.73

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.452.56

1st half

1X2
3.152.382.78

2nd half

1X2
2.842.722.58

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.3413.422.4
HT X6.896.256.16
HT 224.413.23.62

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.9717.31.84

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0213.5
1.51.154.99
2.51.522.44
3.52.291.60
4.53.871.23
5.57.191.07
6.512.81.03
7.518.91.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.029.80
1.751.154.37
21.193.96
2.251.352.87
2.751.632.17
31.821.94
3.252.061.73
3.752.541.47
43.081.33
4.253.401.26
4.754.451.15
55.891.09
5.256.151.07

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.731.44
-0.252.371.55
02.061.73
+0.251.772.00
+0.51.622.28
+0.751.432.65
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.510.81.03
-28.901.02
-1.756.471.08
-1.55.071.14
-1.254.681.16
-14.311.20
-0.753.251.31
+11.293.40
+1.251.243.78
+1.51.194.20
+1.751.125.23
+21.057.19
+2.51.048.07

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.065.09
7.51.153.77
8.51.312.96
9.51.542.27
10.51.951.82
11.52.421.48
12.53.141.27
13.53.771.15
14.54.801.08
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.074.90
81.183.50
91.372.62
101.692.00
112.161.59
122.801.33
133.551.17
144.641.09

Next Eredivisie matches

7 NovFortuna Sittard – Telstar
7 NovADO Den Haag – Sparta Rotterdam
7 NovExcelsior – GO Ahead Eagles

All Eredivisie fixtures and the table

Latest Eredivisie results

1 NovGroningen 2-3 Sparta Rotterdam
1 NovTelstar 4-2 Utrecht
1 NovExcelsior 0-9 Twente
1 NovPEC Zwolle 1-0 ADO Den Haag
31 OctAjax 1-0 AZ Alkmaar
31 OctCambuur 4-0 GO Ahead Eagles