OddsFilter
Live

Twente vs Ajax• Eredivisie, Netherlands

#43.2:1.02-2FTToday · De Grolsch Veste, Enschede2.2:1.2#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.13SBOX4.24PIN23.60PINMargin5.8%Books10Markets81Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.944.283.523.3%
Dafabet1.944.203.503.9%
1xBet1.954.093.514.2%
BetVictor1.934.203.405.0%
Betano1.934.053.505.1%
Bet3651.914.103.505.3%
Marathonbet1.893.963.407.6%
Betfair1.914.003.258.1%
William Hill1.913.803.309.0%
SBO2.133.422.5715.1%
Best of all books2.134.283.52-1.3%
Average1.944.013.346.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

TwenteAjax
Last 10#4Table position#22.09Points per game2.1812Form pts · last 5153.2Goals for · last 52.21.0Goals against · last 51.259Attack rating4155Defence rating4548Form rating5250H2H rating5033Goals model6749Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 23:10 UTC

Twente

8W 1D 1L · goals 33:7 · per match 3.3 for, 0.7 against

5 NovHPafos3-1W
1 NovAExcelsior9-0W
25 OctAAZ Alkmaar2-0W
22 OctALincoln Red Imps FC4-1W
18 OctHUtrecht1-2L
15 OctHFC Thun1-0W
10 OctAFortuna Sittard1-1D
2 OctHWerder Bremen7-0W
20 SepHPSV Eindhoven3-2W
12 SepHADO Den Haag2-0W

Ajax

7W 2D 1L · goals 30:11 · per match 3.0 for, 1.1 against

5 NovAFC Midtjylland6-1W
31 OctHAZ Alkmaar1-0W
25 OctASparta Rotterdam2-1W
22 OctHAtalanta2-0W
18 OctAGroningen5-2W
15 OctAHNK Hajduk Split1-2L
10 OctHNEC Nijmegen1-1D
19 SepHExcelsior2-2D
15 SepHWillem II5-1W
12 SepAFortuna Sittard5-1W

Head to head

6Twente wins
10draws
16Ajax wins

32 meetings · goals 38:64 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Twente

16 Apr 2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsAjax0-1Twente
4 Apr 2026EredivisieEredivisieAjax1-2Twente
26 Oct 2025EredivisieEredivisieTwente2-3Ajax
18 May 2025EredivisieEredivisieAjax2-0Twente
10 Nov 2024EredivisieEredivisieTwente2-2Ajax
14 Apr 2024EredivisieEredivisieAjax2-1Twente
17 Sep 2023EredivisieEredivisieTwente3-1Ajax
28 May 2023EredivisieEredivisieTwente3-1Ajax
9 Feb 2023KNVB BekerKNVB BekerTwente0-1Ajax
14 Jan 2023EredivisieEredivisieAjax0-0Twente

Eredivisie tableEredivisieupdated 8 Nov 15:20 UTC

In the Eredivisie table, Twente sit 4th with 23 points from 11 games, while Ajax are 2nd with 24 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Feyenoord1274136:17+1925
2Ajax1173130:13+1724
3PSV Eindhoven1172235:13+2223
4Twente1172228:10+1823
5Heerenveen1263324:16+821
6AZ Alkmaar1162320:13+720
7Fortuna Sittard1255220:20020
8GO Ahead Eagles1245324:27-317
9Groningen1143426:24+215
10Cambuur1143423:22+115
11Utrecht1133519:31-1212
12Sparta Rotterdam1233621:29-812
13PEC Zwolle1233613:24-1112
14NEC Nijmegen1125417:19-211
15Excelsior1232716:29-1311
16Telstar1224618:25-710
17ADO Den Haag1223716:25-99
18Willem II1203911:40-293

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg150%1.88X23%4.09227%3.55

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

5 Nov 00:018 Nov 09:101 1.95X 3.982 3.34
12.25 → 1.95 -13.3%X3.79 → 3.98 +5.0%22.78 → 3.34 +20.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.393.094.3%
Betano1.422.954.3%
Bet3651.402.886.2%
1xBet1.402.846.6%
Betfair1.333.008.5%
BetVictor1.333.008.5%
Marathonbet1.352.7410.6%
Best of all books1.423.092.8%
Average1.372.936.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano1.392.857.0%
Bet3651.402.757.8%
1xBet1.372.868.0%
Betfair1.333.008.5%
BetVictor1.333.008.5%
Marathonbet1.372.808.7%
William Hill1.362.809.2%
Best of all books1.403.004.8%
Average1.362.878.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Twente 35%Draw 35%Ajax 30%

The statistical model rated Twente at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Ajax at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.88 | 4.09 | 3.55, which imply roughly 53.2% for a Twente win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Eredivisie table: Twente are 4th (23 pts, 28-10 goals), Ajax 2nd (24 pts, 30-13).

Over their last five matches, Twente averaged 3.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Ajax averaged 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Twente or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Twente

4-2-3-1

Coach: J. van den Brom

Goalkeeper

  • 16J. Drommel

Defence

  • 28B. van Rooij
  • 3R. Pröpper
  • 4R. Nijstad
  • 29A. Adelgaard

Midfield

  • 6R. Zerrouki
  • 8D. Weidmann
  • 11D. Rots
  • 10Y. Taha
  • 27S. Ørjasæter

Attack

  • 9W. Weghorst
Substitutes (9)
  • 18Jordy Bawuah
  • 31Yannick Gerritsen
  • 14K. Hlynsson
  • 24K. Kurowski
  • 22R. Pasveer
  • 7M. Pjaca
  • 2M. Rosiak
  • 20T. van den Belt
  • 25Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink

Ajax

4-3-3

Coach: Míchel

Goalkeeper

  • 1M. ter Stegen

Defence

  • 2Lucas Rosa
  • 30A. Bouwman
  • 15Y. Baas
  • 5O. Wijndal

Midfield

  • 24J. Mokio
  • 28Y. Bissouma
  • 36D. Janse

Attack

  • 18D. Klaassen
  • 99T. Arokodare
  • 10O. Gloukh
Substitutes (11)
  • 26M. Paes
  • 21Jofre Torrents
  • 38Marcos Leonardo
  • 22J. Heerkens
  • 68A. Ouazane
  • 20O. Edvardsen
  • 12Caio Henrique
  • 43Rayane Bounida
  • 17D. Blind
  • 67Mohamed Abdalla
  • 4S. Amrabat

Match Statistics

TwenteAjax
428Passes accurate350
15Shots insidebox5
7Shots outsidebox1
6Blocked Shots2
11Free Kicks10
5Shots on Goal2
11Shots off Goal2
3Offsides2
503Total passes412
22Total Shots6
3Yellow Cards5
9Corner Kicks2
0Goalkeeper Saves4
10Fouls11
0Red Cards0
55%Ball Possession45%
2.58Expected Goals0.72

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.944.013.35

Double chance

1XX212
1.311.801.22

Draw no bet

12
1.502.48

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.362.87

1st half

1X2
2.402.553.52

2nd half

1X2
2.202.863.29

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.9513.124.5
HT X5.557.168.28
HT 218.213.55.24

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.7223.02.11

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0216.0
1.51.106.50
2.51.372.93
3.51.951.82
4.53.121.34
5.55.481.13
6.59.431.05
7.514.91.02
8.526.3–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.029.80
1.751.105.35
21.134.93
2.251.253.47
2.751.472.54
31.602.30
3.251.801.98
3.752.181.64
42.571.48
4.252.791.37
4.753.631.23
54.681.15
5.254.951.12
68.601.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.831.40
-12.531.50
-0.752.111.68
-0.51.911.89
-0.251.742.08
01.482.62
15 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.510.81.03
-39.801.02
-2.55.741.11
-2.255.751.14
-25.081.14
-1.753.671.23
-1.53.131.33
+0.251.382.91
+0.51.353.31
+0.751.234.01
+11.115.63
+1.251.105.96
+1.51.096.25
+1.751.057.57
+2.51.0210.6

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
2.51.572.30
3.52.251.60
4.53.451.28

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0211.0
5.51.056.75
6.51.115.50
7.51.233.63
8.51.432.57
9.51.771.97
10.52.221.60
11.52.911.35
12.54.021.19
13.55.571.10
14.57.251.06
15.510.01.03
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
8.751.462.38
91.522.43
9.251.632.06
9.751.831.83
101.951.86
10.252.121.64
10.752.421.47
112.511.49
11.252.821.34
11.753.281.25

Next Eredivisie matches

8 NovUtrecht – NEC Nijmegen

All Eredivisie fixtures and the table

Latest Eredivisie results

8 NovHeerenveen 5-3 Feyenoord
7 NovExcelsior 0-1 GO Ahead Eagles
7 NovADO Den Haag 3-1 Sparta Rotterdam
7 NovFortuna Sittard 2-2 Telstar
6 NovWillem II 1-1 PEC Zwolle
1 NovGroningen 2-3 Sparta Rotterdam