Dordrecht vs Heracles• Eerste Divisie, Netherlands

#181.0:2.01-2FTToday · GN Bouw Stadion, Dordrecht3.2:0.6#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

17.50BVCX5.96PIN21.38B365Margin at best2.6%Books10Markets80Rating20 · 80Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 12:32 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	6.68	5.54	1.39	5.0%
Dafabet	7.00	5.60	1.37	5.1%
Bet365	7.00	4.75	1.40	6.8%
Betano	7.10	4.85	1.38	7.2%
1xBet	6.81	5.20	1.35	8.0%
Marathonbet	6.75	5.20	1.34	8.7%
Betfair	6.50	5.00	1.36	8.9%
BetVictor	7.00	5.00	1.33	9.5%
William Hill	6.00	5.00	1.36	10.2%
SBO	5.80	4.84	1.34	12.5%
Best of all books	7.10	5.60	1.40	3.4%
Average	6.66	5.10	1.36	8.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

DordrechtHeracles

Last 10#18Table position#10.86Points per game2.504Form pts · last 5101.0Goals for · last 53.22.0Goals against · last 50.624Attack rating7623Defence rating7724Form rating767H2H rating9319Goals model8120Overall rating80

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Nov 00:10 UTC

Dordrecht

2W 2D 6L · goals 12:21 · per match 1.2 for, 2.1 against

6 Nov	H	NAC Breda	0-0	D
2 Nov	A	Jong Utrecht	2-3	L
28 Oct	A	SC Genemuiden	2-3	L
24 Oct	H	VVV Venlo	2-4	L
19 Oct	A	Jong PSV U21	1-0	W
9 Oct	H	Emmen	0-3	L
3 Oct	A	Den Bosch	1-1	D
25 Sep	H	Almere City FC	3-2	W
18 Sep	A	FC OSS	0-3	L
11 Sep	A	FC Eindhoven	1-2	L

Heracles

6W 2D 2L · goals 23:9 · per match 2.3 for, 0.9 against

6 Nov	H	Roda	5-1	W
2 Nov	H	FC OSS	2-0	W
29 Oct	A	De Treffers	0-1	L
23 Oct	A	NAC Breda	1-1	D
18 Oct	A	MVV	5-1	W
9 Oct	H	Waalwijk	3-0	W
2 Oct	A	Helmond Sport	2-2	D
26 Sep	H	Vitesse	2-0	W
18 Sep	A	Almere City FC	0-1	L
11 Sep	H	Jong AZ	3-2	W

Head to head

0Dordrecht wins

1draws

4Heracles wins

5 meetings · goals 5:18 · last 5: 0W 1D 4L for Dordrecht

5 May 2023Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Dordrecht1-3Heracles
16 Dec 2022Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Heracles8-1Dordrecht
18 Dec 2019KNVB Beker	KNVB Beker	Heracles3-0Dordrecht
4 Apr 2015Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Dordrecht2-3Heracles
12 Dec 2014Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Heracles1-1Dordrecht

Eerste Divisie tableEerste Divisie: Regular seasonupdated 14 Nov 21:40 UTC

In the Eerste Divisie table, Dordrecht sit 18th with 12 points from 14 games, while Heracles are 1st with 35 points from 14.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Heracles	14	11	2	1	44:15	+29	35
2	VVV Venlo	14	9	2	3	37:22	+15	29
3	Almere City FC	14	9	1	4	30:14	+16	28
4	NAC Breda	15	8	4	3	29:22	+7	28
5	Roda	14	7	4	3	18:17	+1	25
6	Emmen	15	8	1	6	28:30	-2	25
7	FC Volendam	14	7	1	6	33:24	+9	22
8	MVV	14	6	2	6	19:29	-10	20
9	Den Bosch	14	5	4	5	24:22	+2	19
10	Vitesse	13	5	3	5	17:18	-1	18
11	Waalwijk	14	3	8	3	23:20	+3	17
12	Jong AZ	14	5	2	7	33:31	+2	17
13	Jong PSV U21	14	4	5	5	18:22	-4	17
14	Jong Ajax	14	4	4	6	22:30	-8	16
15	De Graafschap	13	4	3	6	17:27	-10	15
16	FC OSS	14	4	2	8	20:23	-3	14
17	Helmond Sport	14	3	3	8	25:31	-6	12
18	Dordrecht	14	3	3	8	18:34	-16	12
19	Jong Utrecht	14	3	2	9	23:34	-11	11
20	FC Eindhoven	14	3	2	9	18:31	-13	11

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg114%6.78X17%5.31269%1.35

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

16.37 → 6.78 +6.4%X4.83 → 5.31 +9.9%21.39 → 1.35 -2.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.41	2.91	5.3%
Bet365	1.30	3.50	5.5%
Betfair	1.36	3.10	5.8%
Betano	1.36	3.00	6.9%
BetVictor	1.36	2.90	8.0%
1xBet	1.33	2.83	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.33	2.83	10.5%
Best of all books	1.41	3.50	-0.5%
Average	1.35	3.01	7.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.53	2.45	6.2%
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
William Hill	1.57	2.30	7.2%
Betano	1.52	2.37	8.0%
1xBet	1.55	2.30	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.55	2.26	8.8%
BetVictor	1.53	2.30	8.8%
Best of all books	1.57	2.50	3.7%
Average	1.54	2.35	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Dordrecht 0%Draw 50%Heracles 50%

The statistical model rated Dordrecht at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Heracles at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 6.78 | 5.31 | 1.35, which imply roughly 18.8% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Eerste Divisie table: Dordrecht are 18th (12 pts, 18-34 goals), Heracles 1st (35 pts, 44-15).

Over their last five matches, Dordrecht averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Heracles averaged 3.2 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Heracles and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Dordrecht

3-4-2-1

Coach: Paul Nuijten

Goalkeeper

28T. Coremans

Defence

15Y. M'Bemba
3S. Henderikx
44B. Hardley

Midfield

22J. van Aken
2A. Lechkar
8Senne Vugts
5C. Mpanzu
21M. Vetkal
11N. Rossi

Attack

9J. de Bie

Substitutes (6)

17Y. Younous
12Guus Huitzing
13Dean Hogervorst
27Ilias Azaouagh
1Finn Oldenstam
16L. Román

Heracles

4-2-3-1

Coach: V. Heilmann

Goalkeeper

1F. de Keijzer

Defence

15David Vicente
4D. Mirani
14M. Wrusch
25Manny

Midfield

11J. Reine-Adélaïde
32S. Scheperman
7C. Abbas
10T. Bruns
18M. Hauswirth

Attack

27J. N'djoli

Substitutes (12)

35S. Bultman
80F. Fofana
22Tarik Hamamioglu
16T. Jansink
2M. Benita
9V. Poppler
6D. Tomić
38J. Wijnreder
33L. Zeevalkink
23M. te Wierik
26D. van Kaam
3Mario Borac

Match Statistics

DordrechtHeracles

0.32Expected Goals2.62

203Passes accurate408

3Shots insidebox22

5Shots outsidebox7

4Blocked Shots11

14Free Kicks6

2Shots on Goal13

11Goalkeeper Saves1

2Shots off Goal5

1Offsides4

295Total passes485

8Total Shots29

2Yellow Cards2

1Corner Kicks17

7Fouls14

0Red Cards0

36%Ball Possession64%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
6.66	5.10	1.36

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.96	1.09	1.13

Draw no bet

1	2
5.40	1.13

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.54	2.35

1st half

1	X	2
5.74	2.76	1.77

2nd half

1	X	2
5.58	3.23	1.62

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	11.6	17.4	16.8
HT X	15.2	8.76	4.40
HT 2	44.4	16.6	1.89

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.01	24.0	1.37

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	18.2
1.5	1.09	6.51
2.5	1.35	3.01
3.5	1.92	1.84
4.5	3.03	1.34
5.5	5.36	1.13
6.5	9.13	1.06
7.5	15.9	1.02
8.5	31.5	1.01
9.5	51.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	13.0
1.75	1.08	5.65
2	1.10	5.15
2.25	1.23	3.51
2.75	1.45	2.55
3	1.54	2.33
3.25	1.75	1.99
3.75	2.16	1.65
4	2.50	1.47
4.25	2.61	1.44
4.75	3.51	1.23
5	4.65	1.12
5.25	4.95	1.11
6	8.90	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.75	2.67	1.42
+1	2.37	1.52
+1.25	2.02	1.74
+1.5	1.80	1.95
+1.75	1.61	2.19
+2	1.44	2.61

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	10.5	1.02
-1	9.90	1.01
-0.5	6.80	1.10
-0.25	5.88	1.09
0	5.42	1.11
+0.25	3.72	1.23
+0.5	3.05	1.38
+2.25	1.36	2.92
+2.5	1.30	3.20
+2.75	1.22	3.74
+3	1.12	5.00
+3.25	1.11	5.37
+3.5	1.10	5.80
+4	1.03	9.75
+4.5	1.04	8.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.26	3.32
9.5	1.48	2.44
10.5	1.82	1.90
11.5	2.26	1.56
12.5	2.91	1.34
13.5	3.50	1.23
14.5	4.70	1.12

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
9.75	1.49	2.38
10	1.66	2.14
10.25	1.66	2.09
10.75	1.83	1.83
11	2.11	1.68
11.25	2.06	1.63
11.75	2.33	1.48
12	2.52	1.48

Next Eerste Divisie matches

15 Nov

MVV – Vitesse

All Eerste Divisie fixtures and the table

Latest Eerste Divisie results

14 Nov	Waalwijk 4-0 Den Bosch
14 Nov	VVV Venlo 1-2 FC Eindhoven
14 Nov	Roda 3-1 FC Volendam
14 Nov	De Graafschap 1-2 FC OSS
14 Nov	Almere City FC 6-1 Helmond Sport
14 Nov	NAC Breda 4-2 Emmen