MVV vs Vitesse• Eerste Divisie, Netherlands

#81.2:2.013:30Tomorrow · De Geusselt, Maastricht0.8:1.4#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.35BTNX3.70B36522.19DAFMargin at best2.5%Books10Markets67Rating46 · 54 levelExp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 20:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.10	3.70	2.19	4.9%
Pinnacle	3.14	3.64	2.19	5.0%
Betano	3.35	3.65	2.02	6.8%
Bet365	3.00	3.70	2.15	6.9%
Betfair	3.00	3.60	2.15	7.6%
1xBet	3.10	3.56	2.10	8.0%
Marathonbet	3.08	3.56	2.08	8.6%
BetVictor	3.00	3.60	2.10	8.7%
William Hill	3.00	3.40	2.15	9.3%
SBO	2.78	3.26	2.06	15.2%
Best of all books	3.35	3.70	2.19	2.5%
Average	3.06	3.57	2.12	8.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MVVVitesse

Last 10#8Table position#101.43Points per game1.384Form pts · last 571.2Goals for · last 50.82.0Goals against · last 51.460Attack rating4041Defence rating5944Form rating5650H2H rating5032Goals model6846Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 00:01 UTC

MVV

2W 1D 7L · goals 10:27 · per match 1.0 for, 2.7 against

8 Nov	A	Emmen	2-0	W
31 Oct	H	VVV Venlo	1-2	L
28 Oct	H	Excelsior	0-3	L
23 Oct	A	Den Bosch	2-2	D
18 Oct	H	Heracles	1-5	L
9 Oct	A	NAC Breda	0-1	L
3 Oct	A	FC OSS	1-4	L
26 Sep	H	Helmond Sport	2-0	W
18 Sep	A	Waalwijk	1-6	L
11 Sep	H	Almere City FC	0-4	L

Vitesse

4W 2D 4L · goals 11:12 · per match 1.1 for, 1.2 against

2 Nov	A	Jong Ajax	1-1	D
28 Oct	A	VVV Venlo	2-0	W
23 Oct	H	Emmen	0-2	L
16 Oct	A	FC Eindhoven	1-0	W
9 Oct	A	FC Volendam	0-2	L
3 Oct	H	NAC Breda	2-2	D
26 Sep	A	Heracles	0-2	L
19 Sep	H	Jong PSV U21	3-1	W
12 Sep	A	Roda	0-1	L
4 Sep	H	FC OSS	2-1	W

Head to head

1MVV wins

2draws

1Vitesse wins

4 meetings · goals 5:5 · last 4: 1W 2D 1L for MVV

17 Apr 2026Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Vitesse0-0MVV
21 Oct 2025Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	MVV3-2Vitesse
1 Mar 2025Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Vitesse1-0MVV
6 Dec 2024Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	MVV2-2Vitesse

Eerste Divisie tableEerste Divisie: Regular seasonupdated 14 Nov 21:40 UTC

In the Eerste Divisie table, MVV sit 8th with 20 points from 14 games, while Vitesse are 10th with 18 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Heracles	14	11	2	1	44:15	+29	35
2	VVV Venlo	14	9	2	3	37:22	+15	29
3	Almere City FC	14	9	1	4	30:14	+16	28
4	NAC Breda	15	8	4	3	29:22	+7	28
5	Roda	14	7	4	3	18:17	+1	25
6	Emmen	15	8	1	6	28:30	-2	25
7	FC Volendam	14	7	1	6	33:24	+9	22
8	MVV	14	6	2	6	19:29	-10	20
9	Den Bosch	14	5	4	5	24:22	+2	19
10	Vitesse	13	5	3	5	17:18	-1	18
11	Waalwijk	14	3	8	3	23:20	+3	17
12	Jong AZ	14	5	2	7	33:31	+2	17
13	Jong PSV U21	14	4	5	5	18:22	-4	17
14	Jong Ajax	14	4	4	6	22:30	-8	16
15	De Graafschap	13	4	3	6	17:27	-10	15
16	FC OSS	14	4	2	8	20:23	-3	14
17	Helmond Sport	14	3	3	8	25:31	-6	12
18	Dordrecht	14	3	3	8	18:34	-16	12
19	Jong Utrecht	14	3	2	9	23:34	-11	11
20	FC Eindhoven	14	3	2	9	18:31	-13	11

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg130%3.04X26%3.56244%2.12

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.5% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.63	2.27	5.4%
Betano	1.60	2.32	5.6%
Betfair	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Bet365	1.62	2.25	6.2%
1xBet	1.60	2.23	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.60	2.23	7.3%
BetVictor	1.59	2.17	9.0%
Best of all books	1.63	2.32	4.5%
Average	1.61	2.25	6.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.50	2.55	5.9%
William Hill	1.53	2.40	7.0%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
1xBet	1.51	2.39	8.1%
Betano	1.50	2.40	8.3%
BetVictor	1.50	2.40	8.3%
Marathonbet	1.51	2.35	8.8%
Best of all books	1.53	2.55	4.6%
Average	1.51	2.41	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

MVV 10%Draw 45%Vitesse 45%

The statistical model rates MVV at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Vitesse at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.04 | 3.56 | 2.12, which imply roughly 28.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Eerste Divisie table: MVV are 8th (20 pts, 19-29 goals), Vitesse 10th (18 pts, 17-18).

Over their last five matches, MVV averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Vitesse averaged 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Vitesse.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.06	3.57	2.12

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.67	1.34	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
2.25	1.59

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.51	2.41

1st half

1	X	2
3.50	2.30	2.61

2nd half

1	X	2
3.19	2.63	2.41

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.02	13.3	21.4
HT X	7.33	5.93	5.55
HT 2	26.9	13.3	3.30

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.13	15.4	1.76

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	13.1
1.5	1.17	4.46
2.5	1.61	2.25
3.5	2.45	1.50
4.5	4.34	1.18
5.5	8.17	1.05
6.5	16.3	1.02
7.5	34.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.40
1.25	1.06	6.00
1.75	1.18	3.93
2	1.23	3.44
2.25	1.40	2.62
2.75	1.74	2.00
3	1.95	1.77
3.25	2.20	1.59
3.75	2.83	1.34
4	3.58	1.21
4.25	3.91	1.18
4.75	5.25	1.09
5	7.20	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.62	1.44
0	2.27	1.58
+0.25	1.89	1.86
+0.5	1.70	2.10
+0.75	1.49	2.44
+1	1.35	3.00

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	12.0	1.02
-2	9.50	1.01
-1.75	8.00	1.02
-1.5	6.03	1.09
-1.25	5.69	1.10
-1	5.22	1.12
-0.75	3.66	1.24
-0.5	3.05	1.38
+1.25	1.26	3.44
+1.5	1.23	3.68
+1.75	1.14	4.77
+2	1.07	6.60
+2.25	1.07	6.63
+2.5	1.05	7.95
+3.5	1.01	13.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.23	3.60
8.5	1.43	2.58
9.5	1.74	1.98
10.5	2.20	1.60
11.5	2.85	1.35
12.5	3.81	1.19
13.5	5.00	1.11

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
9	1.57	2.29
9.25	1.59	2.10
9.75	1.80	1.86
10	2.00	1.79
10.25	2.06	1.68
10.75	2.35	1.51
11	2.40	1.52
11.25	2.71	1.38

Latest Eerste Divisie results

14 Nov	Dordrecht 1-2 Heracles
14 Nov	Waalwijk 4-0 Den Bosch
14 Nov	VVV Venlo 1-2 FC Eindhoven
14 Nov	Roda 3-1 FC Volendam
14 Nov	De Graafschap 1-2 FC OSS
14 Nov	Almere City FC 6-1 Helmond Sport